January 30, 2009
Al Gore and
Venus Envy - Al Gore has a new argument for why carbon dioxide is the
global warming boogeyman -- and it’s simply out of this world. (Steven
Milloy, FoxNews.com)
His
Winter of Discontent - Al Gore braved a midwinter snowstorm yesterday
to tell a Senate committee that the world is heating up and the only thing
that can save us is "conservation and renewables." (William
Tucker, American Spectator)
With
Al Due Respect, We're Doomed - The lawmakers gazed in awe at the
figure before them. The Goracle had seen the future, and he had come to
tell them about it.
What the Goracle saw in the future was not good: temperature changes that
"would bring a screeching halt to human civilization and threaten the
fabric of life everywhere on the Earth -- and this is within this century,
if we don't change."
The chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, John Kerry
(D-Mass.), appealed to hear more of the Goracle's premonitions.
"Share with us, if you would, sort of the immediate vision that you
see in this transformative process as we move to this new economy,"
he beseeched.
"Geothermal energy," the Goracle prophesied. "This has
great potential; it is not very far off."
Another lawmaker asked about the future of nuclear power. "I have
grown skeptical about the degree to which it will expand," the
Goracle spoke.
A third asked the legislative future -- and here the Goracle spoke in
riddle. "The road to Copenhagen has three steps to it," he said.
(Dana Milbank, Washington Post)
Dennis
Miller: Al Gore Is a Doofus Hogging The Thermostat - While the rest of
the climate alarmists in the media gushed and fawned over Nobel Laureate
Al Gore's testimony on Capitol Hill Wednesday, at least Americans had
Dennis Miller to offer some sanity to the global warming absurdity: (News
Busters)
Al Gore, The Lobbyist
- In a letter dated January 26th, 2009 Al Gore’s company Generation
Investment Management sent a coalition letter along with other
institutional investors representing $1.7 trillion in assets to Senate
Majority leader Harry Reid. The letter asked for: (Julie Walsh, Open
Market)
Does Gore Gain from
Green Policies He Also Advocates? - Gore’s company, Generation
Investment Management, states that its investment strategy, in part, is to
“find, fund and accelerate green business.” The companies targeted by
renewable energy subsidies, grants and other federal spending are the same
ones Gore and his partners are betting on to turn large profits. There’s
nothing wrong with making a profit, but doing so at taxpayer expense
rather than in a competitive marketplace is generally considered cynical
and greedy – far from the disinterested environmental activist image
that Gore presents to the world. (Richard Morrison, CEI)
Obama's
snow jibe meets icy rebuff in Washington - Shivering Washington
residents gave a chilly reception Thursday to a sarcastic dig from
President Barack Obama over their inability to cope with wintry weather.
Obama got an icy blast from the Washington Post after the city's most
famous incomer expressed disbelief that his daughters' school had shut
down Wednesday -- in line with schools in the city's suburbs -- because of
"some ice."
"Mr Obama can make pronouncements from inside his well-shoveled
bubble, but we can report that it was pretty treacherous out there in the
real world," the Post wrote in an editorial after a number of road
accidents. (AFP)
No! Some
of Earth's climate troubles should face burial at sea, scientists say
- Making bales with 30 percent of global crop residues - the stalks and
such left after harvesting - and then sinking the bales into the deep
ocean could reduce the build up of global carbon dioxide in the atmosphere
by up to 15 percent a year, according to just published calculations.
That is a significant amount of carbon, the process can be accomplished
with existing technology and it can be done year after year, according to
Stuart Strand, a University of Washington research professor. Further the
technique would sequester - or lock up - the carbon in seafloor sediments
and deep ocean waters for thousands of years, he says.
All these things cannot be said for other proposed solutions for taking
carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere, methods such as ocean fertilisation,
growing new forests or using crop residues in other ways, says Strand, who
is lead author of a paper on the subject in the journal Environmental
Science and Technology, published by the American Chemical Society.
(Science Centric)
We absolutely do not need or want to deny the biosphere one of its
most prized resources. We are carbon-based life forms, we use it to
construct our own bodies and we specifically combine it with oxygen to
release the energy bound within when its bonds with oxygen were broken
by photosynthesizing plants harvesting it from the atmosphere.
Atmospheric carbon dioxide is good -- it is specifically
life-friendly.
Put your hands in the air and step away from the carbon controls!
The
Amazing Story Behind The Global Warming Scam - The key players are now
all in place in Washington and in state governments across America to
officially label carbon dioxide as a pollutant and enact laws that tax we
citizens for our carbon footprints. Only two details stand in the way, the
faltering economic times and a dramatic turn toward a colder climate. The
last two bitter winters have lead to a rise in public awareness that CO2
is not a pollutant and is not a significant greenhouse gas that is
triggering runaway global warming.
How did we ever get to this point where bad science is driving big
government we have to struggle so to stop it? (John Coleman, KUSI)
Science
Group Erred Giving Hansen Top Honor - It normally does not make news
when the American Meteorological Society (AMS) gives out awards at its
annual meetings, but this year is an exception. At their 2009 meeting in
Phoenix earlier this month, the AMS bestowed its highest honor, the
"Carl-Gustaf Rossby Research Medal," to James (Jim) E. Hansen of
NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies. Hansen is arguably the
country's (if not the world's) most prominent climate scientist, but he
also is a well-known climate activist who has been pushing for significant
reductions in greenhouse gas emissions.
Keep reading for more on Hansen, and why AMS was mistaken in granting him
its top honor... (Washington Post Capital Weather Gang)
Murdock: Even left now
laughing at Global Warming - So-called "global warming" has
shrunk from problem to punch line. And now, Leftists are laughing, too.
It's hard not to chuckle at the idea of Earth boiling in a carbon cauldron
when the news won't cooperate: (Scripps Howard News Service)
Teach-In,
turn out, cool off - By now the practice of educational indoctrination
by environmental extremists is well known, from public school showings of
Al Gore’s “An Inconvenient Truth,” to widespread emphasis every year
on Earth Day, to daily guilt trips thrown at students by eco-conscious
teachers.
The latest scheme in the enviros’ toolbox arrives next week with the
National Teach-In on Global Warming. Scheduled for Feb. 5, the
collaborating educators endeavor to “engage over a million Americans in
solutions-driven dialogue.”
You might ask, “solutions to what” – the devastatingly decreasing
global surface temperatures over the last 10 years? The catastrophically
cooling oceans? The awful all-time record extent of Antarctic ice?
No, those actual, observed phenomena are not what these panickers will
screech and teach. Contrarily, they instead harp about the predictions
churned out in their Carnackian computer models that have for years
foretold of massive global temperature increase because of burned fossil
fuels that release heat-trapping gasses into the atmosphere. The
temperature data show otherwise, but that doesn’t stop their schtick:
(Paul Chesser, DC Examiner)
Climate
Change Guru May Be Special ‘Envoy of Disappointment,’ Critic Charges
- Todd Stern was named Special Envoy for Climate Change on Monday by
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (Courtesy of Center for American
Progress)
– Signaling a departure from the Bush administration’s
environmental policies, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has named Todd
Stern as special envoy for climate change and vowed that America will
“vigorously pursue negotiations, those sponsored by the United Nations,
and those at sub-global, regional, and bilateral level that can lead to
binding international climate agreements.”
In his acceptance speech on Monday, Stern, a veteran of the Clinton
administration, also foreshadowed the United States signing on to
international environmental treaties, including the Kyoto Protocol.
“The time for denial, delay, and dispute is over,” Stern said. “The
time for the United States to take up its rightful place at the table is
here.”
But William Yeatman, an energy policy analyst with the Competitive
Enterprise Institute, a free market group, said Stern and the State
Department cannot act unilaterally to approve global agreements. (CNSNews.com)
So far,
coal winning out over nuclear - Initially, the confirmation of Energy
Secretary Steven Chu seemed to have brightened the future of both nuclear
power and clean coal — two controversial energy lobbies vying for green
stimulus funding. But for now, coal is emerging as the favorite.
The most recent version of the House economic stimulus package, set for a
floor vote on Wednesday, allots $2.4 billion for carbon capture technology
but nothing for nuclear power. (Politico)
$2,400,000,000 to do explicit harm to the biosphere by denying it an
essential resource... what a crime.
Remembering to visit harm on poor people, too: Europe
tells poor nations to curb emissions - The European Union made its
opening gambit in negotiations for a global framework on climate change on
Wednesday with proposals that developing nations curb the growth of their
greenhouse gas emissions.
Rich countries, including those in the EU as well as the US, are adamant
that poor countries must take on such obligations if negotiations this
year on a successor to the Kyoto protocol – the main provisions of which
expire in 2012 – are to be successful.
The proposal, tabled by the European Commission, said developing countries
should curb emissions by 15-30 per cent of their projected growth by 2020.
(Financial Times)
Climate
change: Commission sets out proposals for global pact on climate change at
Copenhagen - The European Commission today set out its proposals for a
comprehensive and ambitious new global agreement to tackle climate change
and how it could be financed. The new pact is due to be concluded at the
Copenhagen UN climate conference in December. In order to keep temperature
increase below 2°C, developing countries will require substantially
higher funding from the developed world and multilateral institutions to
help them shoulder their contribution to addressing climate change. The
Commission’s proposals include the creation of an OECD-wide carbon
market by 2015 and of innovative international funding sources based on
countries' emissions and ability to pay. (Press Release)
EUROPE: No Money
on the Table Yet - BRUSSELS, Jan 29 - Figures indicating how much the
European Union should give to poor countries affected by climate change
have been removed at the last minute from a new environmental blueprint
published in Brussels Jan. 28.
As part of preparations for a crucial round of talks due to culminate at a
United Nations conference in Copenhagen in late 2009, the European
Commission, the executive arm of the EU, has presented a new paper urging
greater international coordination against global warming.
But while a draft of the plan suggested that up to 30 billion euros (39.7
billion dollars) should be made available to help poor countries adapt to
water shortages and other effects of climate change, the figure has been
erased from the final version.
Stavros Dimas, Europe's environment commissioner, said that firm financing
pledges will be vital in order to clinch an agreement on fighting climate
change in Copenhagen. "No money, no deal," he added.
Still, the lack of specific recommendations on funding in Dimas's plan has
angered green and anti-poverty campaigners. (IPS)
Real
Climate Suffers from Foggy Perception by Henk Tennekes - Roger Pielke
Sr. has graciously invited me to add my perspective to his discussion with
Gavin Schmidt at RealClimate. If this were not such a serious matter, I
would have been amused by Gavin’s lack of knowledge of the differences
between weather models and climate models. As it stands, I am appalled.
Back to graduate school, Gavin! (Climate Science)
Follow
Up To Henk Tennekes’s Guest Weblog - In response to today’s weblog
Real Climate Suffers from Foggy Perception by Henk Tennekes, Gavin Schmidt
and I have e-mailed to each other several times today. He is offended by
the weblog and stated that it inaccurately reported on his professional
credentials. Thus I invited him to write a response as a guest weblog on
Climate Science to refute the claims make in the weblog from earlier
today. Hopefully, he will accept. (Roger Pielke Sr., Climate Science)
More slurs from
realclimate.org - Realclimate.org continues with its same line of
attack. Wishfulclimate.org writers try again and again to concoct what
appears to be deep critiques against skeptic arguments, but end up doing a
very shallow job. All in the name of saving the world. How gallant of
them.
A recap. According to realclimate.org, everything my "skeptic"
friends and I say about the effect of cosmic rays and climate is wrong. In
particular, all the evidence summarized in the box below is, well, a
figment in the wild imagination of my colleagues and I. The truth is that
the many arguments trying to discredit this evidence simply don't hold
water. The main motivation of these attacks is simply to oppose the theory
which would remove the gist out of the arguments of the greenhouse gas
global warming protagonists. Since there is no evidence which proves that
20th century warming is human in origin, the only logically possible way
to convict humanity is to prove that there is no alternative explanation
to the warming (e.g., see here). My motivation (as is the motivation of my
serious colleagues) is simply to do the science as good as I can. (Nir
Shaviv, Science Bits)
Another
NASA Defection to the Skeptics’ Camp - Something about retirement
apparently frees people up to say what they really believe. I retired
early from NASA over seven years ago to have more freedom to speak my mind
on global warming.
You might recall that after Dr. Joanne Simpson retired from NASA she
admitted to a long-held skepticism regarding the role of mankind in global
warming.
And who can forget NASA’s Administrator, Michael Griffin, admitting that
he was skeptical of the urgency of the global warming problem? After the
outrage that ensued, I suspect he wishes he had never brought it up.
And now my old boss when I was at NASA (as well as James Hansen’s old
boss), John Theon, has stated very clearly that he doesn’t believe
global warming is manmade…and adding “climate models are useless”
for good measure. Even I wouldn’t go quite that far, since I use simple
ones in my published research. (Roy W. Spencer)
No
Reporting of Slowing Greenland Glaciers: Shame on the MSM - SUCH has
been the fear of Greenland’s melting glaciers that well known Australian
science journalist Robyn Williams has claimed sea levels could rise by 100
metres within the next 100 years. Mr Williams, and other journalists, have
been quick to report on what has become known as the “Greenland Ice
Armageddon”.
Last Friday there was an article in one of the most read science journals,
Science, entitled “Galloping Glaciers of Greenland have Reined
Themselves In” by Richard A. Kerr.
Yes, as the title suggests, the article explains that a wide-ranging
survey of glacier conditions across south eastern Greenland, indicates
that glacier melt has slowed significantly and that it would be wrong to
attribute the higher rates of melt prior to 2005 to global warming or to
extrapolate the higher melt rates of a few years ago into the future.
Mr Kerr was reporting on a presentation by glaciologist Tavi Murray at the
American Geophysical Union Conference in San Francisco last December. The
paper by Dr Murray was co-authored by many other members of the group at
Swansea University in the UK, a team often quoted by Al Gore and others.
When I read the article last Friday I wondered how Robyn “100 metres”
Williams and other journalists in the mainstream media (MSM) might report
the story. To my amazement they have simply ignored it. (Jennifer Marohasy)
Australian Heatwave Sign Of
Climate Change - SYDNEY - A heatwave scorching southern Australia,
causing transport chaos by buckling rail lines and leaving more than
140,000 homes without power, is a sign of climate change, the government
said on Thursday.
The Bureau of Meteorology is forecasting a total of six days of 40-plus
Celsius (104 Fahrenheit) temperatures for southern Australia, which would
equal the worst heatwave in 100 years. (Reuters)
So, the reappearance of summers 'like we used to have' is yet another
sign of 'climate change'? Funny that, despite a century of population
growth and urbanization the forecast 'could equal' the 'worst heatwave'
in 100 years, no? So much for allegedly increasing frequency of hot
weather events then.
BELLAMY/DUCHAMP:
World is getting colder - It's the sun, not CO2, that's to blame
After the wet and cold centuries of the Little Ice Age (around 1550-1850
A.D.), the world's climate recuperated some warmth, but did not replicate
the balmy period known as the Middle Age Warm Period (around 800-1300
A.D.), when the margins of Greenland were green and England had vineyards.
Climate began to cool again after World War II, for about 30 years. This
is undisputed. The cooling occurred at a time when emissions of C02 were
rising sharply from the reconstruction effort and from unprecedented
development. It is important to realize that.
By 1978 it had started to warm again, to everybody's relief. But two
decades later, after the temperature peaked in 1998 under the influence of
El Nino, climate stopped warming for eight years; and in 2007 entered a
cooling phase marked by lower solar radiation and a reversal of the cycles
of warm ocean temperature in the Atlantic and the Pacific. And here again,
it is important to note that this new cooling period is occurring
concurrently with an acceleration in CO2 emissions, caused by the
emergence of two industrial giants: China and India.
To anyone analyzing this data with common sense, it is obvious that
factors other than CO2 emissions are ruling the climate. And the same
applies to other periods of the planet's history. Al Gore, in his famous
movie "The Inconvenient Truth," had simply omitted to say that
for the past 420,000 years that he cited as an example, rises in CO2
levels in the atmosphere always followed increases in global temperature
by at least 800 years. It means that CO2 can't possibly be the cause of
the warming cycles.
So, if it's not CO2, what is it that makes the world's temperature
periodically rise and fall? The obvious answer is the sun, and sea
currents in a subsidiary manner. (David J. Bellamy and Mark Duchamp,
Washington Times)
Video: Global
Warming - Global Warming is a "hot" topic. This video looks
at the evidence and focuses on these two questions; Is the Earth getting
warmer? and What ARE the effects of Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere?
Check it out, the answers may surprise you. (cassiopeiaproject)
Climate
change: Scientists doubt claims over sea 'fertilisation' - Proposals
to combat global warming by sowing the sea with iron to promote
carbon-gobbling plankton may be badly overblown, according to a study
published on Wednesday.
Ocean "fertilisation" has ignited fierce scientific controversy,
with supporters saying these schemes could stave off damaging climate
change and critics warning that swathes of ocean may turn stagnant or
acidic. (AFP)
Putin’s
Grasp of Energy Drives Russian Agenda - In the past year, Russia has
formed a cartel-like group with Middle Eastern nations with the goal of
dampening global competition in natural gas, sewn up sources of supply in
Central Asia and North Africa with long-term contracts to thwart
competitors and used its military to occupy an important pipeline route in
Georgia.
And this broader struggle extends over a dozen countries from Azerbaijan
to Austria. In its sprawl and slow pace, it is often compared to the
19th-century struggle for colonial possession in Central Asia known as the
Great Game. In the modern variant, Mr. Putin, a master strategist, has
proved far more effective than his European counterparts.
“He has been thinking for some time, ‘What are the means and tools at
Russia’s disposal, to make Russia great?’ ” said Lilia Shevtsova, a
researcher at the Carnegie Moscow Center. In the post-Soviet world, she
said, Mr. Putin concluded that “military power would no longer be
sufficient.”
A spokesman for Mr. Putin, Dmitri S. Peskov, said that the energy market
“was, is and will remain a strategic sphere for Russia” and that
government leaders in Moscow should be versed in the topic. Mr. Peskov
denied the Kremlin used exports for political purposes. Of Mr. Putin’s
deep personal knowledge of the business, he said the prime minister showed
a similar attention to detail in other matters, too.
In this contest, Russia’s overarching goal is to prevent the West from
breaking a monopoly on natural gas pipelines from Asia to Europe. Boris E.
Nemtsov, a former Russian first deputy prime minister who is now in the
opposition, said: “It is the typical behavior of the monopolist. The
monopolist fears competition.” (New York Times)
Scepticism
grows over the viability of green projects - Lord Turner of
Ecchinswell is to investigate the collapse of funding for renewable energy
projects in Britain after the recent exit of a string of companies,
including BP and Shell.
Speaking on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum, Lord Turner,
chairman of the Financial Services Authority (FSA) and of the
Government’s Committee on Climate Change, said that the study was a
response to mounting scepticism over the Government’s plans for a huge
expansion of wind and tidal power.
He said he was concerned that a number of key projects had been thrown
into jeopardy, including London Array, a £3 billion scheme to build the
world’s largest offshore wind park in the Thames Estuary. “We have to
make sure that the present climate does not set back our plans,” he
said. (The Times)
BP's Hayward Says World Needs
A Carbon Price - DAVOS - The world must establish a price for carbon
emissions as part of the drive to ensure diverse and secure energy
supplies, BP Chief Executive Tony Hayward said on Thursday.
"We need the world to put a price on carbon," he told the World
Economic Forum.
Carbon pricing involves penalizing every ton of planet-warming greenhouse
gas emissions, whether using a carbon tax or a carbon market which
allocates a fixed quota of emissions permits which countries or companies
must redeem permits for every ton of emissions.
The idea is to tilt competitiveness in favor of clean energy compared to
carbon-emitting fossil fuels. (Reuters)
Researchers define
challenging carbon-emissions targets for U.S. auto industry -- U.S.
automakers must achieve an eightfold reduction in automobile-related
carbon emissions to help stabilize the amount of heat-trapping carbon
dioxide gas in the atmosphere by 2050, according to University of Michigan
researchers. (PhysOrg.com)
Study: Learning
Science Facts Doesn't Boost Science Reasoning -- A study of college
freshmen in the United States and in China found that Chinese students
know more science facts than their American counterparts -- but both
groups are nearly identical when it comes to their ability to do
scientific reasoning. (PhysOrg.com)
Efforts
to preserve health care in the Southwest continue - New Mexico is
following in Arizona’s footsteps. NM Senator William E. Sharer has
introduced Senate bill SJR 1, patterned after Arizona’s “Freedom of
Choice in Health Care Act” (Proposition 101), that would ensure the
freedom of New Mexico residents to purchase private health insurance and
to pay directly for lawful medical care. It would make it unconstitutional
to penalize or fine someone for choosing to get or decline healthcare
coverage or to participate in a particular healthcare system or plan.
(Junkfood Science)
Nutritionist
sceptical of sausage-leukaemia link - Children who regularly eat cured
and processed meat may be at a greater risk of leukaemia, a study
suggests, but an Australian nutritionist says parents need not panic if
their children have been tucking into hot dogs and salami. (Sydney Morning
Herald)
Cleaning
your home may worsen your asthma - NEW YORK - Scrubbing the kitchen
floor or doing other cleaning chores around the home may trigger a spike
in breathing problems in women with asthma, Ohio-based doctors warn in a
report published this month.
"We certainly know that cleaning as an occupation and cleaning agent
exposures are major risks for asthma and asthma exacerbations," Dr.
Jonathan A. Bernstein, of the University of Cincinnati College of
Medicine, told Reuters Health. "So we wanted to see what was going on
in the general population (because) obviously people clean their
homes." (Reuters Health)
Wonder how the rates would compare with people who don't clean
their homes?
Hair
dyes not linked to multiple myeloma risk - NEW YORK - Women who've
used hair dyes, even for decades, do not seem to have an elevated risk of
multiple myeloma, a cancer in which malignant plasma cells accumulate in
the bone marrow, a new U.S. study suggests.
In recent years, some studies have linked the use of hair dyes -- in
particular, older formulations used before the 1980s -- to an elevated
risk of certain cancers, including lymphoma, (lymph cell cancer) and
leukemia (blood cell cancer).
A few risk factors for multiple myeloma have been established, such as
older age and African-American background, but some studies have suggested
that hairdressers and cosmetologists may also have a higher-than-normal
risk. (Reuters Health)
"Cello
scrotum" -- the truth at last - LONDON - "Cello
scrotum," a nasty ailment allegedly suffered by musicians, does not
exist and the condition was just a hoax, a senior British doctor has
admitted.
Back in 1974, in a letter to the British Medical Journal, Elaine Murphy
reported that cellists suffered from the painful complaint caused by their
instrument repeatedly rubbing against their body.
The claim had been inspired by reports in the BMJ about the alleged
condition guitar nipple, caused by irritation when the guitar was pressed
against the chest.
But Murphy, now a Baroness and a former Professor of Psychiatry of Old Age
at Guy's Hospital in London, has admitted her supposed medical complaint
was a spoof.
"Perhaps after 34 years it's time for us to confess we invented cello
scrotum," she wrote with her husband John, who had signed the
original letter, which was published in the BMJ Wednesday.
"Anyone who has ever watched a cello being played would realize the
physical impossibility of our claim."
Murphy, who said the couple had been "dining out" on their story
ever since they made it up, said they had decided to reveal the hoax after
it was referred to in a recent BMJ article on health problems associated
with making music.
She also said she suspected "guitar nipple" had been a joke.
(Reuters)
More
evidence pre-term birth tied to autism: study - WASHINGTON - A U.S.
study looking at children born more than three months prematurely provided
fresh evidence on Thursday linking pre-term birth and autism.
These children were about two to three times as likely to show signs of
autism at age 2 as measured in a standard screening tool compared to other
children, the researchers wrote in the Journal of Pediatrics.
Autism refers to a group of developmental problems known as autism
spectrum disorders that appear in early childhood and harm one's ability
to communicate and interact with others.
Its causes remain unclear, and experts have pointed to possible genetic
and environmental factors. (Reuters)
Analysis shows
exposure to ash from TVA spill could have 'severe health implications'
-- A report by Duke University scientists who analyzed water and ash
samples from last month’s coal sludge spill in eastern Tennessee
concludes that “exposure to radium- and arsenic-containing particulates
in the ash could have severe health implications” in the affected areas.
(PhysOrg.com)
She's doing her job as Governor? Imagine that... Suing
the Belugas - In October, while Gov. Sarah Palin of Alaska was
campaigning to be vice president, the federal government added the beluga
whales in the state’s Cook Inlet to the endangered species list. At the
time, Governor Palin opposed the listing, saying it would be
“premature.” (She said the same thing about protecting polar bears.)
Now Ms. Palin has announced that she will sue to remove the whales from
the protection of the Endangered Species Act.
In Governor Palin’s view, what is really endangered is Alaska’s
economic growth. Cook Inlet, the long arm of water that reaches toward
Anchorage from the Gulf of Alaska, is one of the busiest and
fastest-developing regions in the state. There are plans for gas and oil
development, an expansion of the Port of Anchorage, as well as a possible
new bridge. (New York Times)
Snow Study Shows California
Faces Historic Drought - SAN FRANCISCO - A new survey of California
winter snows on Thursday showed the most populous state is facing one of
the worst droughts in its history, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger said.
The state, which produces about half the United States' vegetables and
fruit, is in its third year of drought and its main system supplying water
to cities and farms may only be able to fulfill 15 percent of requests,
scientists said.
The snowpack on California's mountains is carrying only 61 percent of the
water of normal years, according to the survey by the state Department of
Water Resources. Last year the snowpack held 111 percent of the normal
amount of water, but spring was the driest ever recorded. (Reuters)
Scientists examine
effect of wolves' absence and see an ecosystem 'unraveling' - No trace
remains of the wolves whose howls ricocheted for millennia down the lush
valleys of the Olympic Peninsula. Settlers and trappers killed them all in
little more than three decades.
But the loss of the stealthy predators in the early 1900s left a hole in
the landscape that scientists say they are just beginning to grasp. The
ripples extend throughout what is now Olympic National Park, leading to a
boom in elk populations, overbrowsing of shrubs and trees, and erosion so
severe it has altered the very nature of the rivers, says a team of Oregon
State University biologists. The result, they argue, is an environment
that is less rich, less resilient and - perhaps - in peril.
"We think this ecosystem is unraveling in the absence of
wolves," said OSU ecologist William Ripple.
Everything from salmon to songbirds could feel the fallout from the
missing predators, the scientists say.
It sounds hard to believe, but the research adds to growing evidence that
key predators do more than simply keep prey species in check. Most
famously, Ripple and his OSU colleague Robert Beschta showed that within
three years after wolves were reintroduced to Yellowstone National Park
and elk populations fell, pockets of trees and shrubs began rebounding.
Beavers returned, coyote numbers dropped and habitat flourished for fish
and birds.
It was an "explosive" discovery, said David Graber, regional
chief scientist for the National Park Service. "The whole ecosystem
re-sorted itself after those wolf populations got large enough."
(Seattle Times)
What we don’t
know still hurts us, environmental researchers warn - Knowledge gaps
continue to hobble scientists' assessments of the environment, a Michigan
State University researcher and colleagues warn. Their warning follows
sobering conclusions drawn from what they do know and could help set the
global agenda for research funding in the years to come. (Michigan State
University)
Translation: we want more money to run ridiculous environmental
scares.
Blood
test may screen for mad cow disease - WASHINGTON - Researchers at the
University of Calgary have developed a blood test that can diagnose fatal
chronic wasting disease in elk, and believe it may provide a cheap way to
screen cattle for mad cow disease.
The test looks for signs of damaged cells in the blood, they reported in
the journal Nucleic Acids Research. It may also offer a way to diagnose
people with a related disease called Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease, or CJD,
they said on Thursday. (Reuters)
Liberian Army Worms Threaten
W. Africa Plague: FAO - LIBERIA - A plague of hungry caterpillars
known as army worms has eaten crops and plants in 100 Liberian villages
and may spread across West Africa if left unchecked, the U.N. Food and
Agriculture Organization said on Thursday.
Liberia, ravaged by a 14-year civil war that ended in 2003, declared a
national state of emergency this week due to the army worms, a type of
moth caterpillar which grows to 5 cm (2 inches) long and can swarm to
destroy large swathes of vegetation.
Millions of the caterpillars have stripped fields and polluted wells and
streams with their excrement in Bong County, northeast of Liberia's
capital Monrovia.
The Rome-based FAO said six communities across the border in neighboring
Guinea had already been hit by the army worms.
Large tracts of West Africa were at risk, it said, particularly when the
caterpillars, now burrowing underground to form cocoons, emerged as adult
moths. (Reuters)
January 29, 2009
Obama's Oval Office Hypocrisy - The New
York Times reported
this morning that,
The capital flew into a bit of a tizzy when, on his first full day in
the White House, President Obama was photographed in the Oval Office
without his suit jacket. There was, however, a logical explanation: Mr.
Obama, who hates the cold, had cranked up the thermostat.
"He's from Hawaii, O.K.?" said Mr. Obama's senior adviser,
David Axelrod, who occupies the small but strategically located office
next door to his boss. "He likes it warm. You could grow orchids in
there."
Could this be the same Barack Obama who said last May that,
"We can't drive our SUVs and eat as much as we want and keep our
homes on 72 degrees at all times... and then just expect that other
countries are going to say "OK"... That's not leadership.
That's not going to happen."
And could this be the same Barack Obama who is looking to sign a stimulus
bill that would spend billions of dollars installing millions of
"smart meters" that would enable your power company to prevent
you from being as comfortable as Bambi on hot and cold days?
While Bambi is warm-and-toasty in the Oval Office, is he considering
the plight of Michigan's Marvin
Schur, a 93-year World War II veteran, who was recently found frozen
to death courtesy of a malfunctioning electricity "limiter"
device installed by his power company?
Change has come to Washington. Elitism is dead. Long live elitism.
What do you believe? We've
Arrived at a Moment of Decision - We are here today to talk about how
we as Americans and how the United States of America as part of the global
community should address the dangerous and growing threat of the climate
crisis.
We have arrived at a moment of decision. Our home - Earth - is in grave
danger. What is at risk of being destroyed is not the planet itself, of
course, but the conditions that have made it hospitable for human beings.
Moreover, we must face up to this urgent and unprecedented threat to the
existence of our civilization at a time when our country must
simultaneously solve two other worsening crises. Our economy is in its
deepest recession since the 1930s. And our national security is endangered
by a vicious terrorist network and the complex challenge of ending the war
in Iraq honorably while winning the military and political struggle in
Afghanistan.
As we search for solutions to all three of these challenges, it is
becoming clearer that they are linked by a common thread - our dangerous
over-reliance on carbon-based fuels. (Al Gore)
Hands up those who think Al actually believes this crap. Now how many
think he shovels this purely as part of a personal enrichment scheme?
No
Scientific Forecasts to Support Global Warming - YESTERDAY, a former
chief at NASA, Dr John S. Theon, slammed the computer models used to
determine future climate claiming they are not scientific in part because
the modellers have “resisted making their work transparent so that it
can be replicated independently by other scientists”.
Today, a founder of the International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of
Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, and International
Symposium on Forecasting, and the author of Long-range Forecasting (1978,
1985), the Principles of Forecasting Handbook, and over 70 papers on
forecasting, Dr J. Scott Armstrong, tabled a statement declaring that the
forecasting process used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC) lacks a scientific basis. [2]
What these two authorities, Drs Theon and Armstrong, are independently and
explicitly stating is that the computer models underpinning the work of
many scientific institutions concerned with global warming, including
Australia’s CSIRO, are fundamentally flawed. (Jennifer Marohasy)
Here's a really good question:
Frederick T. Dykes
##### Richland Valley Drive
Great Falls, Virginia 22066-1411
Phone: ### ###-####, Email: *******@*****.***
January 28, 2009
The Honorable Lisa Jackson
Administrator
Environmental Protection Agency
Ariel Rios Building
1200 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
Washington, DC 20460
RE: FREEDOM OF INFORMATION ACT REQUEST
Dear Ms. Jackson:
Pursuant to the rights granted under the Freedom of Information Act, Title
5 of the United State Code section 552 (“FOIA”), I hereby request the
following information:
Evidence that carbon dioxide (CO2) is harmful to the environment and that
carbon dioxide is the predominant driver of climate change. Following this
paragraph, I present reasons why I do not think that carbon dioxide is
harmful to our environment and is not the predominant driver of climate
change. I request evidence that disproves each of these statements.
“Evidence” does not include computer models that try to forecast
temperatures for years, decades or a century into the future.
Our computer models do not model impacts on the climate by thunderstorms,
volcanos, or impacts by meteorites and cannot forecast temperatures to
within 1degree Fahrenheit for one month into the future and certainly not
for a century into the future.
I hereby request evidence disproving the following statements that I
believe to be true:
1. Water vapor is the prevailing greenhouse gas and retains heat more than
all other gasses combined. Without the greenhouse effect, the average
temperature of Planet Earth would be below zero.
2. Plants need CO2 to grow. Wood charcoal is mainly carbon that trees
extracted from carbon dioxide in the air. CO2 is what actually greens
Planet Earth.
3. Plants grow faster in higher concentrations of CO2 and extract more CO2
from the air. Many operators of commercial greenhouses add CO2 to the
ambient air which increases plant growth.
4. Man generates 3 billion tons of CO2 annually while plants absorb 75
billion tons of CO2 annually. Plants need all the anthropogenic
(man-generated) CO2 plus an additional 72 billion tons of CO2 from natural
sources including the oceans
5. The oceans hold 39,000 billion tons of CO2. In high latitudes, cold
water adsorbs more CO2 than it expels. In low latitudes, warm water expels
more CO2 that it adsorbs.
6. If the oceans release just .000077 of their CO2, that is more than all
man-generated CO2.
7. NASA found that the atmosphere of Mars is 95% CO2 and is not effective
at retaining heat from the Sun. If an atmosphere of 95% CO2 on Mars is not
an effective greenhouse gas, why would less than ½ of 1 percent of CO2 on
Earth be an effective greenhouse gas and be the controlling factor for
climate change?
8. Some people who claim that CO2 causes global warming use a graph that
shows correlation between global temperature and the concentration of CO2
in the atmosphere over thousands of years. The point they miss is that the
warming occurred hundreds of years before the increase of CO2. Increased
CO2 did not cause warming that occurred hundreds of years earlier.
I agree to pay processing fees for this request up to $ 100.00. If there
are additional costs, please notify me and get my agreement to pay before
incurring such costs.
If you need additional information about the requested items, please
contact me at the above address Also, I ask that if for any reason you
deny my request or withhold certain information, that you:
1. Provide a list of the denied or withheld materials,
2. Justify these deletions and withholdings by referencing specific
exemption in the FOIA, and
3. Release all parts of the withheld material that are not exempt and can
be released under the FOIA.
Thank you for your prompt attention to this request.
Respectfully,
Frederick T. Dykes
Copies to: President Obama; all U.S. Senators; all Members of the House of
Representatives; The Democratic National Committee; the Republican
National Committee; Association of International Automobile Manufacturers;
Ford Motor Company; General Motors Corp; Chrysler Corp; Charles
Krauthammer, The Washington Post; Peter Baker, The New York Times; The
Washington Times; Kimberley Strassel, The Wall Street Journal; National
Review; The Weekly Standard; ABC; CBS; NBC; Fox News; Glen Beck; Monica
Crowley; Sean Hannity.
Recycling
'could be adding to global warming' - Recycling could be adding to
global warming rather than reducing it, a key government adviser on waste
management has said.
Peter Jones suggested that much of the country's waste should simply be
burnt to generate electricity Photo: PA
Peter Jones suggested that an "urgent" review of Labour's policy
on recycling was needed to make sure the collection, transportation and
processing of recyclable material was not causing a net increase in
greenhouse gases.
Mr Jones, a former director of the waste firm Biffa and now an adviser to
environment ministers and the London Mayor, Boris Johnson, also dismissed
kerbside recycling collections in many areas as "stupid" because
they mixed together different materials, rendering them useless for
recycling.
He suggested that much of the country's waste should simply be burnt to
generate electricity.
"It might be that the global warming impact of putting material
through an incinerator five miles down the road is actually less than
recycling it 3,000 miles away," he said. (Daily Telegraph)
He's quite right about the majority of recycling being a stupid waste
of everyone's time and effort, not to mention energy but worrying over
gorebull warming is the wrong justification for anything.
Britain's
big polluters accused of abusing EU's carbon trading scheme - Smoke
from a factory chimney. Carbon trading is leading to the use of more
polluting fossil fuels. Photograph: Joel W. Rogers/Corbis
Britain's biggest polluting companies are abusing a European emissions
trading scheme (ETS) designed to tackle global warming by cashing in their
carbon credits in order to bolster ailing balance sheets.
The sell-off has helped trigger a collapse in the price of carbon, making
it cheaper to burn high-carbon fossil fuels and leading to a fall in the
number of clean energy projects. The moves were seized on by
environmentalists and other critics who have previously criticised the
European Union's ETS for delivering more windfall profits for business
than climate change. (The Guardian)
Success! Europe
proposes global carbon market - The European Commission, the governing
body of the European Union, has proposed the creation of a global carbon
market and called for more vigorous carbon reduction targets, leaving
Canada’s reduction target behind.
The Commission set out its environmental objectives yesterday, urging
developed countries to cut carbon emissions by 30% from 1990 levels by
2020 to limit global warming to 2°C. The target is a step ahead of
Canada’s plan to reduce emissions by 20% of 1990 levels by the same
time. However, Canada’s goals remain in line with the EC’s longer-term
objective to cut emissions by 50% by 2050. (Financial Post)
Given that humans cannot raise the planet's temperature by 2 °C
through emission of any amount of carbon dioxide the proposed limits
have succeeded even prior to imposition. How good are they?
Europe
to U.S.: You’re a Big Polluter - Now that George W. Bush has left
the White House, European Union leaders are piling pressure on President
Barack Obama to adopt regulations on climate change.
The ideal scenario for Europe would be for the United States quickly to
establish a system to cap and trade carbon dioxide, and then pledge to put
pressure on other rich countries to do the same thing.
The European Union already has adopted potentially costly policies that
could hurt the trade bloc’s industrial competitiveness. If the United
States resists that model, or delays action, Europe’s policies could
lose their legitimacy.
Another consideration for Europe is to break free of the relative
isolation it experienced in international negotiations during the Bush
years. Many European leaders want to go to the next round of talks in
Copenhagen ten months from now working in tandem with the Americans to
push other nations to cut emissions. (James Kanter, New York Times)
Geography
Is Dividing Democrats Over Energy - WASHINGTON — President Obama is
moving quickly to act on the environmental promises that were a
centerpiece of his campaign. But tackling global warming will be far more
difficult — and more costly — than the new emissions standards for
automobiles he ordered with the stroke of a pen on Monday.
Already, the Congressional Democrats Mr. Obama will need to carry out his
mandate are feuding with one another.
By coincidence or design, most of the policy makers on Capitol Hill and in
the administration charged with shaping legislation to address global
warming come from California or the East Coast, regions that lead the
country in environmental regulation and the push for renewable energy
sources.
That is a problem, says a group of Democratic lawmakers from the Midwest
and Plains States, which are heavily dependent on coal and manufacturing.
The lawmakers have banded together to fight legislation they think might
further damage their economies.
“There’s a bias in our Congress and government against manufacturing,
or at least indifference to us, especially on the coasts,” said Senator
Sherrod Brown, Democrat of Ohio. “It’s up to those of us in the
Midwest to show how important manufacturing is. If we pass a climate bill
the wrong way, it will hurt American jobs and the American economy, as
more and more production jobs go to places like China, where it’s
cheaper.”
This brown state-green state clash is likely to encumber any effort to set
a mandatory ceiling on the carbon dioxide emissions blamed as the biggest
contributor to global warming, something Mr. Obama has declared to be one
of his highest priorities. Mr. Obama has said he intends to press ahead on
such an initiative, despite opposition within his own party in Congress
and divisions among some of his advisers over the timing, scope and cost
of legislation to curb carbon emissions. (New York Times)
Submitted
Paper “Assessment Of Temperature Trends In The Troposphere Deduced From
Thermal Winds By Pielke Sr. Et Al - Yesterday, Climate Audit announced
the submission of a paper on tropospheric temperature trends (see).
We have also submitted a paper which relates to his study. It is Pielke
Sr., R.A., T.N. Chase, J.R. Christy, B. Herman, and J.J. Hnilo, 2009:
Assessment of temperature trends in the troposphere deduced from thermal
winds. Int. J. Climatol., submitted
“Recent work has concluded that there has been significant warming in
the tropical upper troposphere using the thermal wind equation to diagnose
temperature trends from observed winds; a result which diverges from all
other observational data. In our paper we examine evidence for this
conclusion from a variety of directions and find that evidence for a
significant tropical tropospheric warming is weak. In support of this
conclusion we provide evidence that, for the period 1979-2007, except for
the highest latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere, both the thermal wind,
as estimated by the zonal averaged 200 hPa wind and the tropospheric
layer-averaged temperature, are consistent with each other, and show no
statistically significant trends.” (Roger Pielke Sr., Climate
Science)
Oh dear... New
Paper on the Economics of Air Capture - I have a paper in press on the
economics of the air capture of carbon dioxide. Here are the details:
Pielke, Jr. R. A. 2009 (in press). An Idealized Assessment of the
Economics of Air Capture of Carbon Dioxide in Mitigation Policy,
Environmental Science & Policy.
Abstract
This paper discusses the technology of direct capture of carbon dioxide
from the atmosphere called air capture. It develops a simple arithmetic
description of the magnitude of the challenge of stabilizing atmospheric
concentrations of carbon dioxide as a cumulative allocation over the 21st
century. This approach, consistent with and based on the work of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, sets the stage for an analysis
of the average costs of air capture over the 21st century under the
assumption that technologies available today are used to fully offset net
human emissions of carbon dioxide. The simple assessment finds that even
at a relatively high cost per ton of carbon, the costs of air capture are
directly comparable to the costs of stabilization using other means as
presented by recent reports of the IPCC and the Stern Review Report.
For a pre-publication copy when proofs arrive (I expect them next week)
please contact pielke@colorado.edu. (Roger Pielke, Jr., Prometheus)
... we are prepared to bet this operates under the mistaken premise
there is some advantage in reducing atmospheric carbon dioxide (aCO2)
levels rather than recognizing aCO2 as a major resource and
its accidental increase a significant benefit. In fact, from a biosphere
perspective any loss (sequestration) of carbon from the active cycle is
a cost to be avoided and any addition (restoration) to the available
pool is a profit.
Now
Revkin is a Denier - Maybe Joe Romm’s employers over at the Center
for American Progress have a vision for how his tantrums and fits serve
their interests on advancing climate policy. I certainly can’t see how
his antics do anything more than paint the CAP as a hotbed for intolerance
and ignorance. In Joe’s latest rant he calls the NYTs Andy Revkin a
climate denier, or I think he does, as Joe speaks a language unto himself.
Here is an excerpt (emphasis added): (Roger Pielke, Jr., Prometheus)
Oops! Columbia struck a more skeptical response than they expected: Cool
on Global Warming - The Fall issue of Columbia prompted dozens of
letters disputing the cover article’s central premise — that climate
scientists agree the earth’s atmosphere is warming because of human
activity. Many readers proposed instead that natural factors, such as
sunspots or variations in the earth’s orbit, are warming the atmosphere.
(Columbia Magazine)
The
turning point—it’s becoming chic to be a skeptic - This must be
it, surely, the point where being a skeptic has more scientific cachet
than being a believer. The trickle is becoming a flood. We are reaching
the stage where independent scientists will want to make sure they are
known to be on the skeptical side of the fence. (Joanne Nova)
What
is Science’s Rightful Place? - ScienceBlogs wants to answer the
above question in light of the following phrase from the President’s
inaugural address:
“We will restore science to its rightful place”
Never mind that the phrasing suggests this rightful place existed at some
time in the past, the folks at Scienceblogs and SEED Magazine are
soliciting contributions of what is the rightful place for science. Watch
the wishful thinking take flight. (David Bruggeman, Prometheus)
Government
officials were overruled by UN on CCS - British government fought to
have Carbon Capture and Storage included in clean development mechanism
British government officials pushed heavily for Carbon Capture and Storage
(CCS) technology to be included in the clean development mechanism (CDM)
at recent climate change talks in Poznan, but were overruled by the United
Nations.
The CDM allows developed countries to invest in an emissions reduction
scheme in the developing world in return for carbon credits that count
towards emissions targets.
Bronwen Northmore, director of the cleaner fossil fuels policy group
within the Department of Energy and Climate Change, said that the
developing world needed a mechanism to finance CCS projects – which take
carbon emissions from dirty power stations and stores them underground –
as they couldn't afford to develop the technology themselves.
"We fought to get CCS included in the CDM but unfortunately weren't
successful," she said in a speech to the World Future Energy Summit
last week.
"We need a robust financing mechanism for CCS in developing
countries, whether it is the CDM or something else." (Tom Young,
BusinessGreen)
No, that's wrong. We don't need or want CCS, ever. What
carbon capture and storage (sequestration) really is is the waste of a
magnificent resource and who wants to do that, especially as that waste
involves a massive squandering of energy to achieve in the first place?
Plain bad idea, no matter how it's viewed.
How
Kyoto credit scams work - When it comes to throwing people in the
Third World off their land, nothing works better than building hydro dams
-- dams have displaced several million in the last decade alone, typically
without fairly compensating its victims. And when it comes to financing
hydro dams, nothing these days works better than carbon credits, the
mechanism of choice for many who want to counter climate change. (Lawrence
Solomon, Financial Post)
Not stuck, just can't move: Trapped
with icebreaker, cruise passengers party - Coast Guard downplays its
vessel's problems, but passenger says the Terry Fox not up to the job
MONTREAL–It wasn't something they had expected, getting stuck in the
thick ice of the St. Lawrence River. Nor did the 300 guests aboard the
Vacancier cruise ship expect the Canadian Coast Guard icebreaker that came
to get them out would suffer the same fate.
But the Canadian Coast Guard ship Terry Fox, considered one of Canada's
two "heavy" icebreakers, did get caught in the ice, leading some
to wonder whether the Coast Guard has adequate icebreaking capabilities,
given that Canada is an Arctic country. (Toronto Star)
Interior
Secretary Says Open To New Offshore Drilling - WASHINGTON - U.S.
Interior Secretary Ken Salazar said on Wednesday the Obama administration
was open to oil drilling in new offshore areas as part of a comprehensive
plan to overhaul U.S. energy policy.
But he would not specify which tracts could be opened to energy
exploration.
"As we move forward with the development of our oil and gas
resources, both on-shore and off-shore, they have to be part of a set of a
comprehensive energy program," Salazar told reporters at the White
House.
"There are places where it is appropriate to explore and to develop
oil and gas resources, and there are places that are not
appropriate," Salazar said. (Reuters)
Car
industry to fight Barack Obama's green proposals - Car industry groups
are gearing up for a long fight and the likelihood of legal action against
proposals by President Barack Obama to allow California and other states
to set their own regulations on greenhouse gas emission from vehicles.
(Daily Telegraph)
California Takes
Aim At Big, Energy-Hungry TVs - LOS ANGELES - California may be still
waiting for the go-ahead to force higher fuel economy in its cars, but the
Golden State is moving to crack down on a less obvious energy glutton --
the television set.
As television screens grow steadily in size and numbers, sucking more
juice from the U.S. power grid, California regulators has crafted the
nation's first mandatory energy curbs on TVs -- and meeting resistance
from the industry that makes them.
Having pioneered energy-efficiency rules over the past 30 years for
appliances and gadgets ranging from refrigerators to cell-phone chargers,
the California Energy Commission has now turned to TVs, which account for
10 percent of home electric bills in the state. (Reuters)
Coal:
China’s Energy Pillar - China has experienced huge change over the
past 30 years. But even amidst that change, coal has been the pillar of
the country’s energy sector and its dominance will likely continue for
the next 30 years. And that will be true even though coal is exacting a
heavy toll in terms of pollution, land destruction, and human health.
Ever since 1978, when Deng Xiaoping launched the economic reforms, coal
has been dominant. Without it, Chinese industry would literally grind to a
halt. This year, coal will account for about 75 percent of industrial fuel
use, 76 percent of electricity generation, 80 percent of civil and
commercial energy, and 60 percent of chemical feedstock. (Lee Geng and
Michael J. Economides, Energy Tribune)
Europe's
Pipeline War - The most recent conflict between Moscow and Kiev over
natural gas supplies has reignited the controversy over new transit
routes. Europe could get its future gas from the highly controversial Nord
Stream pipeline to the north, or via the Nabucco pipeline to the south.
But will either ever get built? (Der Spiegel)
Severn
Barrage is environmental balancing act - Whichever, if any, tidal
scheme is built on the Severn, it is sure to anger some environmentalists.
Being a renewable source of electricity, tidal generators might be assumed
to be popular with the green lobby. Yet there are serious reservations
over the environmental costs of a barrage or lagoon in the estuary — and
they have split the environmentalist movement.
On the one hand there is the appeal of doing something positive about
climate change by turning to a renewable, rather than burnable, source of
energy. Environmental activists have been urging governments, power
companies and the public to embrace renewable energy because it is cleaner
than fossil fuels and nuclear power.
On the other hand, thousands of hectares of shoreline will be destroyed as
a feeding ground for birds — an internationally important feeding
ground, no less.
There are also deep concerns about the impact on the fish and
invertebrates in the Severn. Barrages and, to a lesser extent, lagoons
form a physical barrier to species such as salmon and eels as they
migrate. (The Times)
Third
Heathrow runway would scupper Stansted and Glasgow expansion - A new
runway at Heathrow would result in every other British airport having to
abandon expansion plans to meet the Government’s climate change target,
a study has suggested.
The increase in carbon dioxide emissions from an enlarged Heathrow would
be so great that other airports might be forced to cut thousands of
flights a year to avoid a breach of the target. That could mean scrapping
new runways at Stansted and in Scotland. (The Times)
It won't but it just might help bring down the carbon dioxide farce.
Plans
for thousands of wind turbines and tidal barrage threatened by costs -
Ambitious plans to build thousands of wind turbines off the coast of
Britain and a controversial tidal barrage may never be realised due to
environmental concerns and spiralling costs, according to energy experts.
(Daily Telegraph)
Chill
wind as companies pull out of projects - The UK is losing its
attraction for renewable energy generators, putting future energy security
and the government's climate change targets in jeopardy, Lord Smith has
told the Financial Times in an interview.
The chairman of the Environment Agency said he was concerned about several
recent announcements from big energy companies that they were
reconsidering plans for offshore wind farms.
"I'm very worried by the fact that a number of companies have said
they are no longer actively considering major schemes in the UK," he
said. (Financial Times)
Studies Find
Mercury In Much U.S. Corn Syrup - WASHINGTON - Many common foods made
using commercial high fructose corn syrup contain mercury as well,
researchers reported on Tuesday, while another study suggested the corn
syrup itself is contaminated.
Food processors and the corn syrup industry group attacked the findings as
flawed and outdated, but the researchers said it was important for people
to know about any potential sources of the toxic metal in their food.
(Reuters)
The
latest Scare du Jour: mercury in HFCS - Our bodies are designed and
have adapted to thrive on the planet earth. As such, our bodies naturally
detoxify and can deal with elements, minerals, chemicals and even bugs,
found naturally in our foods and environment. We’re made of tough stuff
and not nearly as wimpy and vulnerable as some want us to fear. That
resilience is a good thing for the survival of the human species!
There will always be people who try to scare us about some food (it’s
always something they don’t think we should eat) by telling us a small
amount of some “toxin” — or “neurotoxin” (that sounds even
scarier) — has been detected. This is our heads up that we are being
manipulated and someone’s trying to take advantage of the fact a lot of
people think a chemical or toxin means danger. (Junkfood Science)
Still not rating season? Cured
meats tied to childhood leukemia risk - NEW YORK - Children who
regularly eat cured meats like bacon and hot dogs may have a heightened
risk of leukemia, while vegetables and soy products may help protect
against cancer, a new study suggests.
Researchers found that among 515 Taiwanese children and teenagers with and
without acute leukemia, those who ate cured meats and fish more than once
a week had a 74 percent higher risk of leukemia than those who rarely ate
these foods.
On the other hand, kids who often ate vegetables and soy products, like
tofu, had about half the leukemia risk of their peers who shunned
vegetables and soy.
The findings, reported in the online journal BMC Cancer, point to an
association between these foods and leukemia risk - but do not prove
cause-and-effect. (Reuters Health)
Or, even more likely, these 'results' point to the outcome desired by
the anti-meat mobs who fund this kind of dredge.
Want
to get healthy? Exercise 7 minutes a week - LONDON - Rigorous workouts
lasting as little as three minutes may help prevent diabetes by helping
control blood sugar, British researchers said on Wednesday.
The findings published in the journal BioMed Central Endocrine Disorders
suggest that people unable to meet government guidelines calling for
moderate to vigorous exercise several hours per week can still benefit
from exercise.
"This is such a brief amount of exercise you can do it without
breaking a sweat," said James Timmons, an exercise biologist at
Heriot-Watt University in Edinburgh, who led the study.
"You can make just as big as an effect doing this as you can by doing
hours and hours of endurance training each week." (Reuters)
Plastic
chemical may stay in body longer: study - WASHINGTON - A controversial
chemical used in many plastic products may remain in the body longer than
previously thought, and people may be ingesting it from sources other than
food, U.S. researchers said on Wednesday.
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration in December said it planned more
research into the safety of bisphenol A, or BPA, but the agency indicated
no immediate plans to curb the chemical, found in baby bottles and other
products. (Reuters)
Reminding us intimidation attempts extend far beyond gorebull
warming: Scientists
threatened with prosecution (Google translated page) - Two Swedish
researchers are threatened with prosecution after they published a
scientific article that condemns the use of lie detectors. The company
Nemesysco, which manufactures detectors, writes in a letter to the
researchers publishers that they can be sued for libel if the writing on
the subject again. (STHLM) -- h/t Niclas S. Engberg
Science News: Super Mario Gravity, inter alia, from slate V:
Anti-capitalist Sachs is at it again: Rewriting
the rulebook for 21st-century capitalism - Technology is at the core
of Obama's plans for a sustainable future. In this new era of public
action, the US is back in the lead
One of President Barack Obama's historic contributions will be a grand act
of policy jujitsu - turning the crushing economic crisis into the launch
of a new age of sustainable development. His macroeconomic stimulus may or
may not cushion the recession, and bitter partisan fights over priorities
no doubt lie ahead. But Obama is already setting a new historic course by
reorienting the economy from private consumption to public investments
directed at the great challenges of energy, climate, food production,
water and biodiversity. (Jeffrey Sachs, The Guardian)
Senator
Warns White House Will 'Create Crisis' and 'Panic' to Push Stimulus -
Sen. Jim DeMint, R-S.C., criticizes mainstream media for not reporting
loads of pork in proposed legislation.
Is the new Obama administration taking cues from the Bush administration
to get Congress to act? It certainly seemed that way to, South
Carolina’s junior Republican senator, Jim DeMint.
DeMint, speaking Jan. 27 at The Heritage Foundation in Washington, D.C.,
explained the Obama administration will “create crisis and widespread
panic” just like its predecessor in order to get Congress to act
expeditiously.
“I’ve been around long enough to know whenever someone tells me I have
to make a decision right now, my response is no,” DeMint said. “That
clears it up right away and I think more and more the Bush administration
and now this administration knows that they’re not going to get a quick
reaction out of Congress unless they create crisis and widespread panic.
And that’s going to be their M.O. to get Congress to act.” (Jeff Poor,
Business & Media Institute)
Ireland
faces fines if food waste not recycled, EPA warns - Diverting food
waste from landfill must become the main waste management priority if
Ireland is to avoid EU sanctions, the Environmental Protection Agency has
said.
In a new report today, the environmental watchdog said the amount of
biodegradable municipal waste disposed of to landfill increased by 5 per
cent to 1,485,968 tonnes in 2007, leaving Ireland in “danger” of
missing its EU targets.
According to the agency, the increase in food waste is moving Ireland
further from the first Landfill Directive target of less than one million
tonnes of biodegradable municipal waste to be landfilled in 2010.
Under the 1999 EU landfill directive, Ireland will be fined if it fails to
meet the target, and at present, 50 per cent more biodegradable waste,
including food and garden waste, paper, cardboard, wood and textiles, is
being sent to landfill than the target level for 2010. (Irish Times)
Where do they get this nonsense? CLIMATE
CHANGE: Tropical Forests Fight for Survival - UXBRIDGE, Canada, Jan 28
- Current rates of deforestation suggest there will hardly be any tropical
forests left in 20 years. Sixty percent of the rainforests, which survived
for 50 million consecutive years, are already gone. (IPS)
Where tropical forests now stand mostly dry savannah existed just
12,000 years ago, where would forests have existed for 50 million
consecutive years and still exist today? Certainly they can't be talking
about northern boreal forests, they were under a mile of ice for much of
the last 100,000 years. Granted Antarctica once had rainforests but
that's going back a few million years and people can't really be blamed
for their loss either.
Moreover, as anyone who has tried to wrest a living by clearing land
for agriculture knows, forests are resilient, constantly infiltrating
and reclaiming cleared areas. The only way we could get rid of tropical
forests in 20 years would be to nuke the damn things, something neither
likely nor recommended.
Exceptionally absurd piece, even for Stephen Leahy.
Key Food, Biofuel
Crop Sorghum's Genome Deciphered - WASHINGTON - Scientists have
deciphered the genetic make-up of sorghum, a drought-tolerant crop and
important food and biofuel source, and said the breakthrough could help
develop better crops for arid regions.
Sorghum is one of the world's leading cereals, along with corn, wheat,
oats and barley, and can thrive in hot, dry conditions other crops cannot
tolerate.
An international scientific team, writing in the journal Nature on
Wednesday, mapped the genome which includes about 30,000 genes.
They said this new understanding could point to ways of creating even more
drought-tolerant types while providing a blueprint for developing, through
breeding or genetic engineering, improved forms of other crops such as
corn. (Reuters)
January 28, 2009
James
Hansen’s Former NASA Supervisor Declares Himself a Skeptic - Says Hansen
‘Embarrassed NASA’ & ‘Was Never Muzzled’
Washington DC: NASA warming scientist James Hansen, one of former
Vice-President Al Gore’s closest allies in the promotion of man-made
global warming fears, is being publicly rebuked by his former supervisor
at NASA.
Retired senior NASA atmospheric scientist, Dr. John S. Theon, the former
supervisor of James Hansen, NASA’s vocal man-made global warming fear
soothsayer, has now publicly declared himself a skeptic and declared that
Hansen “embarrassed NASA” with his alarming climate claims and said
Hansen was “was never muzzled.” Theon joins the rapidly growing ranks
of international scientists abandoning the promotion of man-made global
warming fears. (E&PW)
Breakthrough!
By Sir Hugh Jerrors, Professor of Modelling Those Little Fluffy Bits Round
The Edges Of Clouds at the Metropolitan University of Nether Wallop
What splendid news that President Obama is to give $140,000,000 to the
climate modelling industry. That a man who has shown such wisdom
throughout his presidency should recognise the importance of this vital
economic activity must be a blow to the two or three remaining denialists,
who are able to make so much noise thanks to heavy funding from the fossil
fuel industry.
Climate modelling has provided employment to hundreds of highly-skilled
workers. They, in turn, by their purchasing power provide stimulus to
strained local economies in areas such as East Anglia . Also, they will
inspire a new stream of university graduates, all highly skilled additions
to the new industrial scene, thereby reducing unemployment. They will
certainly deserve the large bonuses that are no doubt in the offing.
Doubters might think the move is unnecessary, as we all know what the
outcome of the modelling will be, but it is not just enough to know that
catastrophe is on the way unless we dismantle most of our existing
industries. The extent of the catastrophe has to be known to greater and
greater precision. As humankind advances towards a new dawn of zero-energy
economics, it is the modellers who are in the van.
Climate modelling is the ideal industry for the modern world. Admittedly,
its super-computers are responsible for certain carbon emissions, but
these are easily offset by purchasing credits from Mr Gore. It is an
industry that creates no waste, noise or even products, to sully our
planet, which it is destined to save. It does not clog up the transport
systems with the unpleasant consequences of trade. It is clean, green and
inoffensive.
Let us hope that other nations, and particularly the UK , will seek to
emulate the foresight of the American taxpayers, who have willingly made
this generous investment in the future. How grateful their grandchildren
will be, when they are able to see the outputs of the models during
climate change lessons!
This is the start of a brave new world, in which national economies are
decoupled from the sordid activities of manufacture and trade. Let us go
forward, hand in hand, towards that Promised Land. (Number Watch)
activism.plc@gov.ac.uk
- At the risk of getting all Exxon-Secrets ‘on yo asses’… Thanks to
the reader who let us know about Bob Ward’s latest career move. Ward, if
you remember, left his post of director of communications at the Royal
Society to join global risk analysis firm RMS as Director of Global
Science Networks. It was a perfectly natural progression that allowed him
to continue both his pseudo-scientific catastrophe-mongering and his
crusade against Exxon and Martin Durkin. Which he did. (Climate
Resistance)
The Green Stimulus
- The House Ways and Means Committee on Thursday voted for $20 billion in
tax breaks for wind and solar power and energy-efficiency improvements.
Since loans for new windmills have dried up, the bill tries to spur
investment by allowing an immediate 30% investment tax credit in place of
the current production tax credit taken over ten years. According to a
Reuters story, Senator Max Baucus (D-Mont.), Chairman of the Senate
Finance Committee, today unveiled his version of the $275 billion tax cuts
that are part of the stimulus package. It includes “about $30 billion in
tax breaks and incentives aimed at creating energy jobs.” We’ll have
to wait to see how many green jobs they claim will be created by the House
and Senate tax provisions. (Myron Ebell, Cooler Heads Digest)
Obama's Expensive
Energy Medicine Is Wrong for Ailing Economy - Perhaps Obama's team of
the best and the brightest can make sense of it, but I, for one, am very
confused: How does expensive energy stimulate the economy? (William
Yeatman, Cooler Heads Digest)
Kerry
Seeks Action on Climate Pact - WASHINGTON -- Senate Foreign Relations
Committee Chairman John Kerry said Tuesday that it was "not
critical" for the U.S. to begin regulating power-plant emissions in
advance of renewed talks toward a global climate-change treaty.
The Massachusetts Democrat will be an influential player in efforts to
forge such a treaty and reshape U.S. policy on climate issues.
In an interview with The Wall Street Journal, Sen. Kerry said that an $825
billion economic-stimulus bill making its way through Congress should
include more money for low-carbon technologies and less for "nontargeted
tax cuts" that would, he said, do little to create jobs quickly.
"We're staring at an incredible economic opportunity," he said
of the stimulus bill, "let's spend it on the right things."
(Wall Street Journal)
If you say it quickly enough... Spend
a trillion a year to save planet: report - TACKLING climate change
will be much cheaper than most governments expect, according to a major
report by global consultancy McKinsey.
Nearly $1 trillion a year would need to be invested in clean power, energy
efficiency and forestry around the world by 2030 - a huge sum but less
than most governments have predicted and much less than the expected
damage bill should climate change go unaddressed. (Sydney Morning Herald)
New
Method For Estimating The Impact Of Heterogeneous Forcing On Atmospheric
Circulations by Vukicevic et al. 2009 - Our research has shown that
the forcing of weather systems from diabatic heating by the human input of
aerosols is on the order of 60 times that of the forcing from the diabatic
heating due to the human addition of well-mixed greenhouse gases (with the
dominate gas being CO2); i.e. see Matsui, T., and R.A. Pielke Sr., 2006:
Measurement-based estimation of the spatial gradient of aerosol radiative
forcing. Geophys. Res. Letts., 33, L11813, doi:10.1029/2006GL025974.
We now have a new paper that presents a quantitative methodology to assess
the importance of this type of climate forcing. It is Vukicevic, T., R. A.
Pielke Sr., and A. Beltran-Przekurat, 2009: New Method For Estimating The
Impact Of Heterogeneous Forcing On Atmospheric Circulations. J. Geophys.
Res., doi:10.1029/2008JD010418, in press. (Roger Pielke Sr., Climate
Science)
Just reread that: diabatic heating by the human input of aerosols
is on the order of 60 times that of the forcing from the diabatic
heating due to the human addition of well-mixed greenhouse gases (with
the dominate gas being CO2)
With carbon dioxide then accounting for perhaps 1.5% of atmospheric
warming just what does anyone expect to achieve by devastating the
global energy supply in an effort to control its emission? And why would
anyone believe climate model prognostication of massive global
warming due to carbon dioxide-driven enhanced greenhouse when carbon
dioxide is such a trivial bit player in the global climate play?
Horse feathers! Emperor
penguin 'marching to extinction by end of the century' - The Emperor
penguin is marching towards extinction because the Antarctic sea ice on
which it depends for survival is shrinking at a faster rate than the bird
is able evolve if it is to avoid disaster, a study has found.
By the end of the century there could be just 400 breeding pairs of
Emperor penguins left standing, a dramatic decline from the population
about about 6,000 breeding pairs that existed in the 1960s, scientists
estimated. (Steve Connor, The Independent)
According to Antarctic
Connection's "Wildlife
of Antarctica" the Emperors must have had something of a
population explosion: Quick facts: Population: 200,000 pairs.
That and the fact that Antarctic sea ice is increasing and has been
doing for as long as we have had satellites observing it kind of tells
you all you need to know about The Indy and its 'science editor'.
If things were different they could be, different... or not: Climate
change’s impact on invasive plants in Western US may create restoration
opportunities - Princeton, NJ – January 27, 2009 – A new study by
researchers at Princeton University’s Woodrow Wilson School of Public
and International Affairs has found that global climate change may lead to
the retreat of some invasive plant species in the western United States,
which could create unprecedented ecological restoration opportunities
across millions of acres throughout America. At the same time, global
warming may enable other invasive plants to spread more widely. (ScienceMode)
“Houston Chronicle”
Editorial: A Global-Warming Scare Story - Wow. Could the Houston
Chronicle have fit more distortions about climate change into a 420-word
editorial than it managed to do in its January 25th piece, “The heat is
on: New data debunk claims that global warming is hype”? It’s hard to
figure out how. (Chip Knappenberger, Master Resource)
Meteorologists
know nothing about climate change - A pretty interesting headline
isn’t that? I admit that is probably a bit more sensationalistic than
what is really called for. However, that would seem to be one of the
conclusions from the author and analyst of a recent survey. (Tony Hake,
Denver Weather Examiner)
Runaway
Climate Concerns: Man-made global warming has become an ex cathedra
doctrine that can be challenged only at great risk - For evidence of
the inertia of bureaucracy, look no further than the UN climate conference
in Poznan that concluded recently. Like a meeting in Bali last year and
another in Copenhagen in December, the aim is to go beyond the Kyoto
Protocol to try to halt global warming. This is serious stuff, since
implementing the Kyoto Protocol could possibly cost up to $180 billion
annually.
These meetings and Kyoto reflect an underlying premise promoted by the UN
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). For its part, IPCC lives
and dies by the hypothesis that human contributions to greenhouse gases
are the primary cause of climate change.
Man-made global warming has become what scientists call an ex cathedra
doctrine that, like a superstition, can be challenged at great risk to
reputation or financial support. (Christopher Lingle, Live Mint)
Germany OKs
Atlantic global warming experiment - Germany dropped its opposition
Monday to a controversial experiment to dump iron sulphate in the South
Atlantic to see if it can absorb greenhouse gases and possibly help to
halt global warming. (AFP)
Indian
scientists conduct anti-warming experiment in Antarctic Ocean - Indian
and German scientists began strewing iron powder on hundreds of square
kilometres of the Antarctic ocean in a momentous experiment that may yield
a solution to the global warming crisis.
Some environmentalists have opposed the work of Indian and German
scientists aboard the Polarstern, a German research icebreaker, but Berlin
ruled Monday the project is safe and breaks no laws. (DPA)
?!! Comet
impact theory disproved - New data, published today, disproves the
recent theory that a large comet exploded over North America 12,900 years
ago, causing a shock wave that travelled across North America at hundreds
of kilometres per hour and triggering continent-wide wildfires.
Dr Sandy Harrison from the University of Bristol and colleagues tested the
theory by examining charcoal and pollen records to assess how fire regimes
in North America changed between 15 and 10,000 years ago, a time of large
and rapid climate changes.
Their results provide no evidence for continental-scale fires, but support
the fact that the increase in large-scale wildfires in all regions of the
world during the past decade is related to an increase in global warming.
(University of Bristol)
Al
Gore’s Propaganda - The methods used by global warming alarmists to
convince you that more carbon dioxide is going to ruin the Earth are
increasingly laced with insults and attacks directed toward anyone who
might disagree with them. For instance, one of the many intellectually
lazy (& false) claims is that I am paid by Big Oil.
Mr. Gore’s tactics have been a little more subtle, and reminiscent of
propaganda methods which have proved to be effective throughout history at
influencing public opinion. One should keep in mind that his main
scientific adviser, NASA’s James Hansen, has the most extreme views of
any climate researcher when it comes to predicting a global warming
induced Armageddon.
Listed below are ten propaganda techniques I have excerpted from
Wikipedia. Beneath each are one or more examples of Mr. Gore’s rhetoric
as he has attempted to goad the rest of us into reducing our CO2
emissions. Except where indicated, most quotes are from his testimony
before the U.S. Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, March 21,
2007. (Mr. Gore is scheduled to testify again tomorrow, January 28, 2009,
before the Senate’s Foreign Relations Committee…if the cold and snowy
weather doesn’t cause them to reschedule.) (Roy W. Spencer)
Obama,
Fight The Green Agenda - In his remarkable rise to power, President
Barack Obama has overcome some of the country's most formidable
politicians--from the Bushes and the Clintons to John McCain. But he may
have more trouble coping with a colleague he professes to admire: former
Vice President Al Gore.
To date, motivations from sweet reason to hard-headed accommodation have
defined Obama's Cabinet choices, most notably in such areas as defense and
finance. Oddly enough, though, his choices on the environmental front are
almost entirely Gore-ite in nature. Obama's green team, for example,
includes longtime Gore acolyte Carol Browner as climate and energy czar,
physicist Steven Chu as energy secretary and, perhaps most alarmingly,
John Holdren as science adviser.
These individuals are not old-style conservationists focused on cleaning
up the air and water, or protecting and expanding natural areas. They
represent a more authoritarian and apocalyptic strain of true believers
who see in environmental issues--mainly, global warming--a license to push
a radical agenda irrespective of its effects on our economy, our society
or even our dependence on foreign energy.
We should not underestimate the power of these extreme greens. They can
count on the media to cover climate and other green issues with all the
impartiality of the Soviet-era Pravda. Stories that buttress the notion of
man-made global warming--like reports of long-term warming in
Antarctica--receive lavish attention in The New York Times and on Yahoo!.
(Joel Kotkin, Forbes)
Philadelphia’s
Climate in the Early Days - Guest Post by Steven Goddard
January, 1790 was a remarkable year in the northeastern US for several
reasons. It was less than one year into George Washington’s first term,
and it was one of the warmest winter months on record. Fortunately for
science, a diligent Philadelphia resident named Charles Pierce kept a
detailed record of the monthly weather from 1790 through 1847, and his
record is archived by Google Books. Below is his monthly report from that
book. (Watts Up With That?)
The
UK Climate Impact Programme Forecasting Scoresheet - Guest Post by
Steven Goddard
The UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP) is a government funded
organization with the following scientifically neutral mission statement
on their home page “The UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP) helps
organisations to adapt to inevitable climate change. While it’s
essential to reduce future greenhouse gas emissions, the effects of past
emissions will continue to be felt for decades.“
On their headline messages page they have a list of global warming
predictions and supporting evidence. In this article we will examine some
of their claims and evidence. (Watts Up With That?)
Humans adapting to
climate change help mosquitoes spread disease - Humans adjusting to
water shortages caused by global warming could help a dengue
fever-carrying mosquito expand into new parts of Australia, according to a
study released Tuesday. (AFP) | Hoarding
rainwater could 'dramatically' expand range of dengue-fever mosquito
(Wiley)
Actually rainwater storage tanks were once ubiquitous in Australia
but had been discouraged in favor of decent water reticulation.
Fashionable gorebull warming hysteria and misguided government policy
has seen a return of these neglected water stores but that is their only
connection to "global warming".
From CO2 Science this week:
Editorial:
Super Rice to
Match Super Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations: In
the not-too-distant future, we will need crops that can take fullest
advantage of the yield-enhancing benefits of the ongoing rise in the air's
CO2 content. What is the outlook for rice in this
regard?
Medieval
Warm Period Record of the Week:
Was there a Medieval Warm Period? YES, according to data
published by 658
individual scientists from 385
separate research institutions in 40
different countries ... and counting! This issue's Medieval Warm
Period Record of the Week comes from Owens
Valley, White Mountains, California, USA. To access the entire
Medieval Warm Period Project's database, click
here.
Subject Index Summary:
Herbivory
(General): How might it differ from what it is now in a CO2-enriched
and warmer world of the future?
Plant Growth Data:
This week we add new results (blue background) of plant growth responses
to atmospheric CO2 enrichment obtained from
experiments described in the peer-reviewed scientific literature for: Kentucky
Bluegrass, Little
Bluestem, Sundial
Lupine, and Thale
Cress.
Journal Reviews:
Global Warming and
Atlantic Hurricane Intensity: Does the former promote the latter?
Tropical
Cyclones Off the Northwestern Coast of Australia: How did their
intensities vary over the period 1968/69 to 2000/01?
The World's
Water Tower: What is it? Where is it? Why is it? And how has it
responded to the past half-century of global warming?
The Progressive
Nitrogen Limitation Hypothesis Takes Another Hit: A scrub-oak
ecosystem finds the nitrogen it needs for its growth to continue
responding to atmospheric CO2 enrichment.
Amphibian
Population Declines: Are they caused by global warming?
CO2 Truth-Alert: Elevated
CO2: How Sweet it is ... for Sugarcane!
(co2science.org)
New
science could help solve climate crisis - LONDON: A new science that
seeks to fight climate change using methods like giant space mirrors might
not work on its own, but when combined with cuts in greenhouse gases it
may help reverse global warming, a research report said.
In the report published on Wednesday, researchers at Britain's University
of East Anglia assessed the climate cooling potential of "geoengineering"
schemes that also include pumping aerosol into the atmosphere and
fertilizing the oceans with nutrients.
"We found that some geoengineering options could usefully complement
mitigation, and together they could cool the climate, but geoengineering
alone cannot solve the climate problem," said Professor Tim Lenton,
the report's lead author.
Geoengineering involves large-scale manipulation of the environment in an
attempt to combat the potentially devastating effects of increased
atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) levels. (Reuters)
Except that improvements in the levels of magnificent resource and
essential trace gas carbon dioxide is all gain for no pain. The biggest
problem the world faces today is people wanting to "do something
about" carbon dioxide.
Nuclear
Fusion-Fission Hybrid Could Destroy Nuclear Waste And Contribute to
Carbon-Free Energy Future - AUSTIN, Texas — Physicists at The
University of Texas at Austin have designed a new system that, when fully
developed, would use fusion to eliminate most of the transuranic waste
produced by nuclear power plants.
The invention could help combat global warming by making nuclear power
cleaner and thus a more viable replacement of carbon-heavy energy sources,
such as coal. (Insciences)
I'm all for viable energy sources but the carbon fixation and reach
for gorebull warming as a justification for development costs is always
cause for great suspicion.
Britain Starts Search For New
Nuclear Build Sites - LONDON - Budding nuclear power plant builders
have two months to nominate sites for the next generation of nuclear power
stations in Britain, the government said on Tuesday.
Europe's biggest utilities, which have been clubbing together this month
in readiness to build the nuclear power plants Britain hopes will replace
an aging fleet of state built reactors, have until March 31 to submit
their site proposals.
"The industry continues to gear up to invest and we are on course to
see new nuclear feeding into the grid by 2018," Britain's Energy
Secretary Ed Miliband told the Nuclear Development Forum on Tuesday.
(Reuters)
Senators Debate Alternative
Energy Tax Breaks - WASHINGTON - The Senate Finance Committee on
Tuesday began debating some $31 billion in tax credits and financial
incentives to boost alternative energy supplies and promote energy-savings
steps as part of the Obama administration's much bigger U.S. economic
recovery plan.
The tax breaks being considered would, in part, help wind power and solar
energy companies that are having a difficult time getting financing
because of tight credit conditions. The incentives also come at time that
sharply lower petroleum prices have made alternative energy projects less
cost competitive. (Reuters)
RINO rampage: U.S.
Should Adopt California Car Rules: Schwarzenegger - SAN FRANCISCO -
California on Monday hailed President Barack Obama's move toward letting
it and other states regulate greenhouse gases from cars as an
"historic win" for clean air and said the federal government
should adopt similar national standards.
California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, a former Hollywood actor now a
champion of the environmental movement, said it would be a great idea for
the entire United States to follow California's lead on rules for more
efficient cars that would cut their greenhouse gas emissions by 30 percent
by 2016. (Reuters)
A
bariatric patient wants other women to know… - A young nursing
assistant had sought help for a back injury five years ago, and her doctor
recommended bariatric surgery. She lost 120-pounds, but it has not been a
happy ending. Looking shockingly decades older than her real age,
malnutrition has cost her her health, her job, and most of her hair and
teeth. She and other women around Modesto believe that more attention
deserves to be given to the long-term complications of bariatric surgeries
and bravely shared their stories with the Modesto Bee this weekend.
These are the truer pictures of the pain and complications of bariatric
surgeries that those of us who’ve cared for these women see more often
than those glowing before-and-after stories in the media.
These women showed tremendous courage in opening their hearts and going
public, hoping to help other women. Their stories deserve to be heard.
Please be sure to watch Sandi’s touching video interview [halfway down
the page]. As reporter Ken Carlson wrote: (Junkfood Science)
Money
For Nothin' - California's politicians have played Russian roulette
with the state's future, nearly bankrupting it in the process. Now, it
looks like they might get bailed out from the problems they created.
The Golden State expects a record $42 billion deficit over the next year
and a half, the largest pool of red ink ever in a state. Can it plug such
a big fiscal hole? Maybe.
Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has pushed a wide range of new taxes — excuse
us, "fees" — on everything from golfers and car repairs to
veterinary care and tickets to sporting events. And now, the $825 billion
stimulus bill may bring billions more to California.
The stimulus will dole out about $200 billion to the states to help shore
up their budgets. California is slated to get $22 billion of that.
Is that a good thing? Probably not. It's not aid, per se; it's a bailout.
Basically, California's irresponsible, Democrat-dominated legislature has
spent the state into near fiscal oblivion. Now it will get bailed out by
its big-spending friends in Washington.
So expect more fiscal irresponsibility in California, not less. (IBD)

Real
Power In Washington Resides In Person Of Environmental Chief - Think
the most powerful person in the U.S. government is President Obama? Think
again. It reality it may be Environmental Protection Agency Chief Lisa
Jackson.
In the race for action on climate change and to curb man-made greenhouse
gases that moves swifter than the pace of legislative change, many are
turning to the EPA and the Clean Air Act, which empowered the federal
government to enforce clean air standards to improve human health and
living conditions.
If President Obama moves to classify carbon dioxide as a dangerous
pollutant to be regulated by the EPA, as he pledged during the campaign,
the change in policy could significantly alter the lives of Americans.
While the Clean Air Act has been legitimately and usefully used to combat
ozone depletion, acid rain, pollution and smog, using it to curb
greenhouse gases is about as good an idea as using a power drill to do
brain surgery. (Margo Thorning, IBD)
UN Chief Warns More Could Go
Hungry In Crisis Year - MADRID - U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon on
Tuesday said rich nations had to do more to prevent the economic crisis
from adding to an already intolerable 1 billion people going hungry in the
world.
Food prices had come down for the time being but the number of hungry
people was set to rise again, Ban told the High Level Meeting on Food
Security for All in Madrid.
"Continuing hunger is a deep stain on our world. The time has come to
remove it forever. We have the wealth and know-how to do so," Ban
said.
Apparently they can recognize a real problem when they see, so what's
with all this gorebull warming hysteria nonsense that can only make
everything much worse?
Mapping
the Zone: Improving Flood Map Accuracy - Federal Emergency Management
Agency (FEMA) Flood Insurance Rate Maps portray the height and extent to
which flooding is expected to occur, and they form the basis for setting
flood insurance premiums and regulating development in the floodplain. As
such, they are an important tool for individuals, businesses, communities,
and government agencies to understand and deal with flood hazard and flood
risk. Improving map accuracy is therefore not an academic question--better
maps help everyone.
Making and maintaining an accurate flood map is neither simple nor
inexpensive. Even after an investment of more than $1 billion to take
flood maps into the digital world, only 21 percent of the population has
maps that meet or exceed national flood hazard data quality thresholds.
Even when floodplains are mapped with high accuracy, land development and
natural changes to the landscape or hydrologic systems create the need for
continuous map maintenance and updates.
Mapping the Zone examines the factors that affect flood map accuracy,
assesses the benefits and costs of more accurate flood maps, and
recommends ways to improve flood mapping, communication, and management of
flood-related data. (NAP)
January 27, 2009
Obama's Inaugural
Address - President Barack Obama in his brief inaugural address on
Tuesday mentioned energy and global warming several times, but gave no
specifics. He vowed to “restore science to its rightful place,” yet
has nominated Dr. John P. Holdren to the post of White House Science
Adviser. He later faintly echoed Holdren’s Malthusianism when he said,
“…[N]or can we consume the world’s resources without regard to the
effect.” The effect of consuming the world’s resources has been
unprecedented prosperity and well-being and an expanding abundance of
those resources. (Myron Ebell, Cooler Heads Digest)
Holdren
all wrong - At the end of “Science and Government,” his Godkin
Lectures at Harvard nearly a half-century ago that revealed some
disastrous wartime scientific misjudgments of the British government, Sir
Charles P. Snow offered one reason why it is important to have scientists
in government: They have something to give that “our kind of existential
society is desperately short of: That is foresight.”
It is because he so demonstrably lacks foresight that John P. Holdren,
professor of environmental policy at Harvard’s Kennedy School, should
not be confirmed as President Obama’s science adviser.
William Yeatman, an analyst for the Competitive Enterprise Institute, has
done a service by examining Holdren’s record of bad predictions. (Boston
Herald)
Climate:
Change You Can't Believe In - Barack Obama campaigned for the White
House on a promise he'd deliver "change you can believe in." And
the popular totals suggest that 52% of voters believed indeed. But
according to a recent Rasmussen Poll, there's one change that only 41% of
Americans can believe in - manmade climate change. That's down from 47%
just nine months ago, and before moving the country down an unpopular
green-paved road to disaster, the "unity" promising freshman
president would be well advised to understand why. (Marc Sheppard,
American Thinker)
Europe
to Ask Wealthy Nations to Adopt Carbon Trading System - BRUSSELS —
The European Commission was preparing an appeal on Friday to wealthy
countries — and to the United States in particular — to adopt carbon
trading as one of the main mechanisms for curbing greenhouse gas
emissions.
The Europeans are drafting their proposal as the United States enters a
period of intense debate over the wisdom of adopting such market-based
systems following the inauguration of President Obama.
Mr. Obama endorsed a similar system to cap and trade carbon dioxide, the
main greenhouse gas, during his election campaign. That system sets a
limit on emissions, and those who exceed it must buy or trade permits to
meet it.
The main alternative to a cap-and-trade system is a tax on emissions. Many
analysts say that would be a more straightforward way of limiting
planet-warming gases from industry. (New York Times)
Clinton
climate change envoy vows 'dramatic diplomacy' - WASHINGTON, Jan 26 -
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton named a special envoy on Monday to lead
U.S. efforts to fight global warming and forge new international accords
on reducing carbon emissions and developing clean energy.
The appointment -- which accompanied other energy policy steps announced
by President Barack Obama -- signaled a break from the Bush
administration's climate policies, and Clinton's pick promised
"vigorous, dramatic diplomacy."
Todd Stern, a senior White House official under former President Bill
Clinton, will be the administration's principal adviser on international
climate policy and strategy and its chief climate negotiator.
"With the appointment today of a special envoy we are sending an
unequivocal message that the United States will be energetic, focused,
strategic and serious about addressing global climate change and the
corollary issue of clean energy," Clinton said at a State Department
ceremony. (Reuters)
Senate
calls for more Gore - Former Vice President Al Gore returns to Capitol
Hill Wednesday to testify before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
Sen. John Kerry, who chairs the committee, had kind words for his fellow
former Democratic presidential nominee: "Al Gore has been sounding
the alarm on climate change for over three decades, and he understands the
urgent need for American engagement and leadership on this issue."
Mr. Gore, who has opted to stay in private life rather than return with
the Democratic administration, still has easy access with President
Obama's team. (Washington Times)
China
dams reveal flaws in climate-change weapon - The hydroelectric dam, a
low wall of concrete slicing across an old farming valley, is supposed to
help a power company in distant Germany contribute to saving the climate -
while putting lucrative "carbon credits" into the pockets of
Chinese developers.
But in the end the new Xiaoxi dam may do nothing to lower global-warming
emissions as advertised. And many of the 7,500 people displaced by the
project still seethe over losing their homes and farmland. (Associated
Press)
Fast Action Needed To Avoid
Climate Chaos: Study - BRUSSELS - Global temperature rises due to
climate change could be kept below the critical 2 degree mark by fast
international action to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 70 percent by
2030, a report said on Monday.
Scientists say that if temperatures increase beyond 2 degrees, humanity
faces severe environmental fallout, such as melting polar ice caps and
rising sealevels.
Increasing numbers of scientists and politicians question whether the 2
degrees goal is achievable, given the slow progress of international
negotiations so far. (Reuters)
Bloody idiots! We couldn't warm the planet 2 °C even if we
wanted to.
Don't
use air conditioners, state told - THE South Australian Government is
urging people not to use their air conditioners as the state swelters in
three days of 40C-plus temperatures.
Citing the community's environmental responsibilities, the State
Government today put our a press release saying there were many
alternatives to using air conditioners, urging South Australians to
instead insulate ceilings and use external blinds or a pergola to shade
windows, AdelaideNow reports.
The Transport, Energy and Infrastructure Department's energy division's
press release said residents should close curtains and use portable and
ceiling fans instead of air conditioners. (The Advertiser)
Yeah? How about not voting such idiot politicians back into office?
Solar
industry cash dries up - AUSTRALIA is forfeiting billions of dollars
in investment and thousands of jobs through its lack of support for solar
energy, according to European companies that have shunned the sunburnt
country.
An Age investigation has found that potential investors courted by federal
and state governments have rejected Australia, the world's sunniest
continent, citing a lack of business incentives such as tax breaks and the
nation's unwillingness to regulate in favour of renewable energy. (The
Age)
What, I'm supposed to be disappointed not to be paying vastly more
for energy and more taxes just to provide these twits with profits? Get
a life, you dopey buggers! Australia has coal to burn for literally
millennia, which we will do until something cheaper and more convenient
comes along and that for sure is not intermittent, inadequate,
inefficient and woefully unreliable surface-level sunlight harvesting.
Lomborg repeats many of his common errors but still makes sense: The
climate change safari park - Barack Obama in his inaugural speech
promised to “roll back the spectre of a warming planet.” In this
context, it is worth contemplating a passage from his book Dreams from My
Father. It reveals a lot about the way we view the world’s problems.
Obama is in Kenya and wants to go on a safari. His Kenyan sister Auma
chides him for behaving like a neo-colonialist. “Why should all that
land be set aside for tourists when it could be used for farming? These
wazungu care more about one dead elephant than they do for a hundred black
children.” Although he ends up going on safari, Obama has no answer to
her question. That anecdote has parallels with the current preoccupation
with global warming. Many people — including America’s new President
— believe that global warming is the pre-eminent issue of our time, and
that cutting CO2 emissions is one of the most virtuous things we can do.
To stretch the metaphor a little, this seems like building ever-larger
safari parks instead of creating more farms to feed the hungry.
Make no mistake: global warming is real, and it is caused by manmade CO2
emissions. The problem is that even global, draconian, and hugely costly
CO2 reductions will have virtually no impact on the temperature by
mid-century. Instead of ineffective and costly cuts, we should focus much
more of our good climate intentions on dramatic increases in R&D for
zero-carbon energy, which would fix the climate towards mid-century at low
cost. But, more importantly for most of the planet’s citizens, global
warming simply exacerbates existing problems.
Consider malaria. Models shows global warming will increase the incidence
of malaria by about 3% by the end of the century, because mosquitoes are
more likely to survive when the world gets hotter. But malaria is much
more strongly related to health infrastructure and general wealth than it
is to temperature. Rich people rarely contract malaria or die from it;
poor people do.
Strong carbon cuts could avert about 0.2% of the malaria incidence in a
hundred years. The other option is simply to prioritise eradication of
malaria today. It would be relatively cheap and simple, involving expanded
distribution of insecticide-treated bed nets, more preventive treatment
for pregnant women, increased use of the maligned pesticide DDT, and
support for poor nations that cannot afford the best new therapies.
Tackling nearly 100% of today’s malaria problem would cost just
one-sixtieth of the price of the Kyoto Protocol. Put another way, for each
person saved from malaria by cutting CO2 emissions, direct malaria
policies could have saved 36,000. Of course, carbon cuts are not designed
only to tackle malaria. But, for every problem that global warming will
exacerbate — hurricanes, hunger, flooding — we could achieve
tremendously more through cheaper, direct policies today. (Bjorn Lomborg,
Economic Times)
How anyone can do the math, recognize real problems and still think
gorebull warming is real remains a mystery and yet this is what Lomborg
claims to do. Perhaps he's just playing the ratbags at their own game.
Report:
Cost of rapid CO2 cuts "manageable" - Rapidly reducing
greenhouse gas emissions over the next decade to curb global warming could
cost less than 1 percent of world gross domestic product by 2030, a report
from management consultants McKinsey & Co said Monday. (Associated
Press)
A single dollar spent on doing nothing but harm is unaffordable and
there is nothing but harm to come from attempts to constrain emission of
an essential trace gas.
Apparently not a joke: Meat
to be removed from hospital menus as NHS tells patients to ring GPs to cut
carbon emissions - Patients should phone their GP rather than drive in
for a visit, according to National Health Service guidelines unveiled
today.
Ministers want family doctors to hold more 'phone-in' surgeries to help
the environment by cutting carbon emissions from cars.
They also want hospitals to achieve their green targets by reducing the
amount of meat they serve to patients in wards. (Daily Mail)
NZCPR
Weekly: The Cold Winds of 2008 - This week's NZCPR Weekly examines how
global warming mania has been able to establish such a stronghold in New
Zealand, the NZCPR Guest Commentary by Lord Christopher Monckton questions
pronouncements by the global warming guru Al Gore, and the poll asks
whether NZ's emissions trading scheme should be put on hold - permanently!
(NZ Centre For Political Debate)
Stimulus
Plan: Non-Existent Unemployed Climate Modelers Get $140 Million -
President Barack Obama’s trillion dollar stimulus plan, has morphed into
an appropriations bill devoid of debate. The process forgoes any pretense
of targeting unemployed people and resources.
For instance, the bill reads “Provided further, That not less than
$140,000,000 shall be available for climate data modeling.” This raises
the question of how many unemployed climate modelers are out there
pounding the pavement. (The Foundry)
Oh Susan... New
Study Shows Climate Change Largely Irreversible - A new scientific
study led by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reaches a
powerful conclusion about the climate change caused by future increases of
carbon dioxide: to a large extent, there’s no going back.
The pioneering study, led by NOAA senior scientist Susan Solomon, shows
how changes in surface temperature, rainfall, and sea level are largely
irreversible for more than 1,000 years after carbon dioxide (CO2)
emissions are completely stopped. The findings appear during the week of
January 26 in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. (NOAA)
1,000-year forecasts? Do you suppose she really believes PlayStation®
Climatology has value over even 1,000 days? At present models can't even
agree on the likely state of the El Niño Southern Oscillation 1,000 hours
hence and that's a relatively simple and moderately well-understood
cycle.
Funny, peculiar variety: Global
warming impacting monsoon trend in India: study - Thiruvananthapuram (PTI):
Increasing global warming has had an adverse impact on the monsoon
activity over peninsular India in the last five decades resulting in
decline in number of monsoon depressions and weakening of the monsoon
current, according to a senior meteorologist.
The strength of low level monsoon winds through the region had decreased
by about 20 per cent during the last 50 years, P V Joseph, a former
director of India Meteorological Department (IMD), said.
The finding was that the sea surface temperature of the equatorial central
Indian Ocean has increased by about 1.5 degree Celsius, which was much
higher than anywhere else in the global tropics, he said.
"This phenomenon is feared to have had an adverse impact on the
Indian monsoon by creating an area of increasing rainfall near the equator
which would weaken the monsoon heat engine (the vertical Monsoon Hadley
Cell that drives the monsoon circulation over the subcontinent),"
Joseph said in a paper presented at the 'National Workshop on Global
Warming and its effect on Kerala" here last week.
All-India average air temperature had also increased by 0.6 degree Celsius
in the last century. This was comparable to the global average.
The observed change in climate has been two ways -- decadal change (a few
decades of increase followed by a few decades of decrease) and long term
trends, either decreasing or increasing.
The annual number of monsoon depressions and the monsoon rainfall of south
Kerala had witnessed strong decreasing trends. However, reason for this
had to be studied in depth, the paper said.
The sea surface temperatures over both the Arabian Sea and the Bay of
Bengal had increased during the last 50 years.
Monsoon dates in Kerala and the number of tropical cyclones in a year in
the Indian seas did not have any long term trend but had long period
oscillations in the last 100 years, he said. (The Hindu)
Other researchers blame the Asian Brown Cloud (by way of cooling the
equatorial central Indian Ocean) for a reduction in Indian Summer
Monsoon Rainfall and yet these guys suggest the ECIO SST has increased
by 2-3 times the global average. It can't have done both over the same
period in the same region fellas.
Advocacy
Threatens Scientific Integrity - Physicists, as well as the entire
scientific community, should be concerned about the harm that advocacy is
doing to scientific integrity. Certain aspects of the current discourse on
climate change exemplify this harm. (Robert E. Levine, Forum on Physics
& Society)
"Warming
freezes the Southern Ocean," Another Mann-made Climate Change -
In late January 2009, the once-respected “science” journal Nature
published the results of a computer model apparently showing that nearly
all of the Antarctic continent had not cooled over the past 50 years, as
the real-world observational data showed, but had warmed instead. The
newly-created “warming” was achieved not by direct observation, which
has long produced inconvenient cooling, but by “statistical
climate-field-reconstruction techniques to obtain a 50-year-long,
spatially complete estimate of monthly Antarctic temperature anomalies.”
(Christopher Monckton, SPPI)
Spinning furiously: Professor
takes part in landmark climate change study - Scott Rutherford, an
assistant professor in the department of environmental science at Roger
Williams University, is co-author of a scientific paper that made
international news last week with its findings of warming in Antarctica,
where earlier studies had tracked more cooling.
The paper in the journal Nature was picked up in hundreds of publications
and Web sites as far away as Australia and South Africa.
“It’s kind of neat,” Rutherford said last week of all of the
attention.
Rutherford had studied with one of the key authors, Michael Mann of
Pennsylvania State University, a speaker at last fall’s Honors
Colloquium on Climate Change at the University of Rhode Island. Other
co-authors in the study represent prestigious institutions around the
country such as the University of Washington, the National Center for
Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., NASA’s Goddard Institute for
Space Studies in New York City and NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in
Maryland. (Providence Island Journal)
Possible
natural explanation found for West Antarctica's warming - South Pole -
In 2008, scientists from the British Antarctic Survey reported a layer of
volcanic ash and glass shards frozen within an ice sheet in western
Antarctica [the same place the one degree Fahrenheit warming has been
reported]. The volcano beneath the ice sheet "punched a hole right
through" due to its heat and force. This geologic event (a volcano)
may prove to be the source of the recent warming seen in West Antarctica
in what has otherwise been reported as a 50-year cooling trend seen in
East Antarctica. (TGDaily)
Eye-roller: Antarctic
sea creatures hypersensitive to warming - ROTHERA BASE, Antarctica -
Thriving only in near-freezing waters, creatures such as Antarctic sea
spiders, limpets or sea urchins may be among the most vulnerable on the
planet to global warming, as the Southern Ocean heats up.
Isolated for millions of years by the chill currents, exotic animals on
the seabed around Antarctica -- including giant marine woodlice and sea
lemons, a sort of bright yellow slug -- are among the least studied in the
world.
Now scientists on the Antarctic Peninsula are finding worrying signs that
they can only tolerate a very narrow temperature band -- and the waters
have already warmed by about 1 Celsius (1.6 Fahrenheit) in the past 50
years.
"Because this is one of the most rapidly warming areas on the planet
and because the animals are so temperature sensitive...this marine
ecosystem is at higher risk than almost anywhere else on the planet,"
said Simon Morley, a marine biologist at the British Antarctic Survey at
Rothera.
"A temperature rise of only 2-3 degrees (Celsius) above current
temperatures could cause these animals to lose vital functions," he
said. (Reuters)
Alaska
Climate Change - The climate of Alaska has changed considerably over
the past 50-plus years. However, human emissions of greenhouse gases are
not the primary reason.
Instead, the timing of the swings of a periodic, natural cycle-the Pacific
Decadal Oscillation (PDO)-has made a strong imprint on the observed
climate of Alaska since the mid-20th century. Despite its established
existence and influence, this natural cycle is often overlooked or ignored
in zealous attempts to paint the current climate of Alaska as being one
primarily molded by the emissions from anthropogenic industrial
activities. In truth, the climate of Alaska and the ecosystems influenced
by it have been subject to the cycles of the PDO and other natural
variations since the end of the last ice age (some 12,000 years ago) and
likely for eons prior. It is primarily these natural cycles that are
currently shaping Alaska's long-term climate and weather fluctuations. (SPPI)
United
States and Global Data Integrity Issues - Issues with the United
States and especially the global data bases make them inadequate to use
for trend analysis and thus any important policy decisions based on
climate change. These issues include inadequate adjustments for urban
data, bad instrument siting, use of instruments with proven biases that
are not adjusted for, major global station dropout., an increase in
missing monthly data and questionable adjustment practices. (Joe D’Aleo,
SPPI)
Vote
of no confidence for temperature charts - part 2 - ... He [Hansen]
actually says, in the second paragraph, “The hardest part is trying to
influence the nature of the measurements obtained, so that the key
information can be obtained.”
To me this sounds like spin for “The hardest part is making the numbers
show what I want them to”. Let’s see how long it takes for that
sentence in the NASA GISS website to get changed. (Read N Say)
The
other global warming - Even if we contain the greenhouse effect, says
a Tufts astrophysicist, we'll have another heat problem on our hands
Human civilization will heat up the planet; the glaciers will melt and the
seas will rise. It's a familiar refrain by now, with a familiar solution:
stop pumping out the greenhouse gases that trap the sun's heat.
But even if we bring the greenhouse effect under control, says a Tufts
astrophysicist, the earth will warm up anyway, thanks to a completely
different source of heat that we create ourselves.
Over the next 250 years, calculates Eric J. Chaisson in a recent paper,
the earth's population will start generating so much of its own heat -
chiefly wasted from energy use - that it will warm the earth even without
a rise in greenhouse gases. The only way to avoid it, he says, is to
rethink how we generate energy. (Bina Venkataraman, Boston Globe)
And atmospheric motion will defeat that, just as it does 'enhanced
greenhouse'.
More fun with 'puter games: Global
warming could unleash ocean 'dead zones': study - Global warming may
create "dead zones" in the ocean that would be devoid of fish
and seafood and endure for up to two millennia, according to a study
published on Sunday.
Its authors say deep cuts in the world's carbon emissions are needed to
brake a trend capable of wrecking the marine ecosystem and depriving
future generations of the harvest of the seas.
In a study published online by the journal Nature Geoscience, scientists
in Denmark built a computer model to simulate climate change over the next
100,000 years. (AFP)
German
coalition at loggerheads over global warming test - Germany's
coalition government on Monday was at loggerheads over plans to dump iron
sulphate in the South Atlantic to see if it can absorb greenhouse gases
and help stop global warming.
Research Minister Annette Schavan, who is a member of the CDU, gave the
test the green light Monday saying "after a study of expert reports,
I am convinced there are no scientific or legal objections against the...
ocean research experiment LOHAFEX."
However, a spokesman for the environment ministry, whose head Sigmar
Gabriel is a member of the SDP, later said in the statement that the
ministry "regrets the decision" to approve the LOHAFEX test.
An expedition set sail from Cape Town in South Africa on January 7 and is
poised to drop six tonnes of the dissolved iron over 300 square kilometres
(115 square miles) of ocean. (Agence France Presse)
Antarctica
research suspended - Scientists have been ordered to suspend their
controversial Antarctica 'ocean fertilization' experiment. Science
correspondent Julian Rush reports.
Scientists on board a German polar research ship off Antarctica have been
ordered by the German government to suspend their controversial
"ocean fertilisation" experiment - because it may be in breach
of an international treaty.
A British team is part of the joint Indian-German expedition in the
Southern ocean. The researchers want to drop iron into the sea to create a
bloom of plankton some 300 square km in size to see if it might one day be
a way to reduce global warming. (Channel 4 News)
New
Weblog By Bruce Hall On “Decadal Occurrences Of Maximum Statewide
Temperature Records” - A very informative weblog has been posted
today by Bruce Hall on the “Decadal
Occurrences Of Maximum Statewide Temperature Records“. This is a
valuable contribution to the analysis of long term climate extremes.
(Roger Pielke Sr., Climate Science)
A
New Paper From Model Based Parameterizations To Lookup Tables: An EOF
Approach By Leoncini et al paper 2008 - We have a new research paper
that has been published. This paper applies a new methodology that we
reported on in Pielke Sr., R.A., T. Matsui, G. Leoncini, T. Nobis, U.
Nair, E. Lu, J. Eastman, S. Kumar, C. Peters-Lidard, Y. Tian, and R. Walko,
2006: A new paradigm for parameterizations in numerical weather prediction
and other atmospheric models. National Wea. Digest, 30, 93-99. (Roger
Pielke Sr., Climate Science)
Still confusing essential trace gas with atmospheric pollution: Satellites
to study atmospheric CO2 - Scientists said they will look at how to
reduce global warming with help from two new satellites.
Researchers at the University of Edinburgh will study data from the
instruments that will measure CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere.
The satellites are being launched by NASA and the Japanese Aerospace
Exploration Agency, and give region-by-region accounts of Earth's carbon
emissions and also highlight areas of the planet which are absorbing the
most CO2.
The vessels, known as The Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO) and The
Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite (GOSAT), will provide fresh
information on surface emissions and absorption of CO2.
They will take in remote regions such as the Amazon basin, Siberian taiga,
Alaskan tundra and African forests. (Press Association)
Europe wants Obama to give your money to China, India: EU
to pressure US, emerging countries on climate change - BRUSSELS —
Eager to take the lead on climate change, the European Union aims to pile
pressure on the United States and big emerging countries to sign up to an
ambitious strategy to reduce greenhouse gases.
Last month European leaders approved an ambitious climate change action
plan which the 27-nation bloc hopes will become a model for international
negotiations in Copenhagen in December.
"We will do everything to make (Copehagen) a success," European
Commission chief Jose Manuel Barroso told reporters on Friday. "The
problem is to know whether the others are ready to do what we have been
doing." (AFP)
Recycling
Climate Change for Profit - Albert Schweitzer said, “As we acquire
more knowledge, things do not become more comprehensible, but more
mysterious.” Public knowledge of climate and climate change is growing
slowly every day, but as Schweitzer anticipated it is creating more
mystery.
Most people, including most scientists recently involved in the subject,
are not even at the point climate science was 30 years ago.
The major cause of this lag is the excessive focus on CO2, an
infinitesimal part of a vast and complex system. The Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports are primarily responsible as they
convinced the world of global warming due to CO2, while effectively
ignoring major components such as the sun. I have said the IPCC focus on
CO2 is akin to saying my car is not running well and I am going to
determine the cause by ignoring the engine (sun), the transmission (water
vapor), and most other mechanical parts and focus on one nut (CO2) on the
right rear wheel. Worse, they only look at one thread of the nut, the
human portion of CO2. The ease with which they have achieved this degree
of focus is frightening, but understandable because it was premeditated.
(Tim Ball, CFP)
Obama’s
Order Is Likely to Tighten Auto Standards - WASHINGTON — President
Obama will direct federal regulators on Monday to move swiftly on an
application by California and 13 other states to set strict automobile
emission and fuel efficiency standards, two administration officials said
Sunday.
The directive makes good on an Obama campaign pledge and signifies a sharp
reversal of Bush administration policy. Granting California and the other
states the right to regulate tailpipe emissions would be one of the most
emphatic actions Mr. Obama could take to quickly put his stamp on
environmental policy.
Mr. Obama’s presidential memorandum will order the Environmental
Protection Agency to reconsider the Bush administration’s past rejection
of the California application. While it stops short of flatly ordering the
Bush decision reversed, the agency’s regulators are now widely expected
to do so after completing a formal review process.
Once they act, automobile manufacturers will quickly have to retool to
begin producing and selling cars and trucks that get higher mileage than
the national standard, and on a faster phase-in schedule. The auto
companies have lobbied hard against the regulations and challenged them in
court. (New York Times)
Allowing states to set individual standards for national products
makes about as much sense as allowing states to set railway gauges,
electrical appliance voltage or international treaties. In short, it's a
total nonsense. Someone is not thinking.
Timing
of stricter U.S. standards worries automakers - DETROIT: Automakers
said Monday that they were working toward President Barack Obama's goal of
reducing fuel consumption, but rapid installation of stricter emissions
standards could force them to drastically cut production of larger, more
profitable vehicles in a time of severe financial duress.
Obama ordered the government on Monday to reconsider whether California
and other states could regulate vehicle emissions and help control
greenhouse gas emissions, a reversal of a position taken by the Bush
administration.
The announcement came as General Motors and Chrysler are borrowing
billions of dollars from the government to avoid bankruptcy, and as Toyota
prepares to report its first operating loss in 70 years. Shortly after the
president spoke, GM said it would cut 2,000 jobs at plants in Michigan and
Ohio because of slow sales. (Nick Bunkley, IHT)
Facing the Oil
Problem - A call for an energy policy that would spark outside-the-box
basic research, end dependence on foreign oil, and reduce death and
destruction on the nation's highways. (Charles F. Doran, Johns Hopkins
Magazine)
A
nice old dust up? - On Thursday, German economy minister Michael Glos
was expressing "serious misgivings" about the EU's emissions
trading scheme, complaining that it could cost jobs if it went ahead in
its current form. His own scientific advisory board is urging the repeal
of strict limits for CO2 emissions, and an easing of the system in order
to stabilise the price of permits.
This may or may not be connected with an announcement yesterday that the
German energy giant RWE has decided to build no more new power plants in
western Europe, as the EU's emissions trading scheme has rendered new
projects "unprofitable". (EU Referendum)
Please
keep your babies safe — new vaccine information for parents - If
only it was possible to help every new parent understand and trust doctors
on this one.
For those of us healthcare professionals who were practicing as recently
as the 1970s and early 1980s, the latest news from the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention (CDC) went right through our hearts. The CDC just
reported that a 7-month old infant died, and another four became seriously
ill from Haemophilus influenzae type B (Hib) last year in Minnesota (which
tracks illnesses more closely than many states). (Junkfood Science)
Obesity
'can be caught - just like a cold' - OBESITY can be "caught"
from another individual in the same way as a cold with the virus spread by
dirty hands, scientists suggest.
The condition has been linked to a highly-infectious virus that causes
sniffles and sore throats. (Courier-Mail)
Apparently infects dogs, too: Fat
dogs seized by RSPCA - The RSPCA has seized two dogs from their owner
after she was accused of feeding them too much. (Daily Telegraph)
And the RSPCA is severely infected by the fat police. I don't give
them money to harass people for pampering pooches, no matter how
misguided said pamperers might be -- they've had their last donation
from me.
Zealots
rampant - No drug, not even alcohol, causes the fundamental ills of
society. If we're looking for the sources of our troubles, we shouldn't
test people for drugs, we should test them for stupidity, ignorance,
greed, and love of power. -- P. J. O'Rourke (1992) (Number Watch)
'Walking
and talking' may put kids at risk - NEW YORK - Children who walk while
talking on their cell phone may be too distracted to cross the street
safely, a new study suggests.
In tests that had 10- and 11-year-olds walk in a simulated
"virtual" neighborhood, researchers found that when the children
talked on a cell phone as they traveled, they paid less attention to
traffic and were more likely to step into the path of a virtual car.
The effects were seen regardless of how much experience a child had in
using a cell phone or in being pedestrian, according to Despina Stavrinos
and colleagues at the University of Alabama at Birmingham.
"Cell phones are not necessarily bad for children to carry and
use," the researchers write in the journal Pediatrics.
"However," they add, "our results suggest that just as
drivers should limit cell phone use while driving, pedestrians -- and
especially child pedestrians -- should limit cell phone use while crossing
streets." (Reuters Health)
Greens'
War Against All Chemicals Will Do Little To Reduce Our Risks - A
report from a panel appointed by Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger says that
California should expand pollution prevention initiatives, add "green
chemistry" to public school curricula and offer public access to
comprehensive information about the chemicals in consumer products.
The report, part of a plan by the California Environmental Protection
Agency to eliminate many supposedly toxic materials, is more appropriate
for a wish list sent to Santa Claus than an attempt at serious public
policy.
It recalls H.L. Mencken's observation that for every complex problem there
is an answer that is clear, simple and wrong.
For starters, the governor and members of his panel seem oblivious to the
fact that we live in a sea of chemicals — and that, in fact, our bodies
are actually comprised of them — and also to the toxicologists' credo,
"the dose makes the poison."
Many of the alarms raised recently about chemicals, from those in rubber
duckies and plastic bottles to pesticides used in agriculture, are
completely bogus, while most of the others represent only negligible
risks.
Pseudo-scares and the wrongheaded (and often very costly) responses to
them — as in these latest recommendations from the governor's panel —
are wasteful, if not actually harmful. (Henry I Miller, IBD)
January 26, 2009
BBC Newsnight -
Warming up President Obama’s inaugural speech? - What should the BBC
do if the new US President’s references to global warming in his
inaugural speech don’t quite come up to expectations? (Harmless Sky)
Cut
and Paste Journalism - BBC bosses today tried to make excuses for the
cut-and-paste job by BBC science journalist, Susan Watts, as discovered by
Tony at Harmless Sky recently. Answering criticism on Watts’ blog,
Newsnight Editor Peter Rippon said:
We did edit sections of the speech to reflect the elements in it that
referred to Science. The aim was to give people an impression or montage
of what Obama said about science in his inauguration speech. This was
signposted to audiences with fades between each point. It in no way
altered the meaning or misrepresented what the President was saying. You
can look for yourself above.
If this is true, it means that the editorial team at BBC Newsnight are
shockingly naive. If that is true, then we would like to know, what are
they doing producing the networks flagship current affairs magazine
programme?
Even if we give them the benefit of the doubt with respect to their
editorial oversight, by which we mean that we accept that they are naive,
the feature drips with the kind of ideological prejudice that any
run-of-the-mill eco-warrior can muster. This is not news, nor is it
analysis. It is projection. (Climate Resistance)
Global
Cooling Under-reported, Says SPPI - WASHINGTON -- The Earth has shown
an under-reported cooling trend for eight straight years, raising serious
questions about the accuracy of the UN’s climate projections, since not
one of the computer models on which it relies had predicted so long and
steep a cooling, says a new review paper -- Temperature Change and CO2
Change – A Scientific Briefing --from the Science and Public Policy
Institute, a Washington, D.C. think tank. (BUSINESS WIRE)
If
Michael Mann had been a corporate accountant . . . - ... he would have
been in jail by now. (Australian Climate Madness)
Oh my... O'Malley
Tries Again On Global Warming - Gov. Martin O'Malley will sponsor
legislation to commit Maryland to a 25 percent reduction in greenhouse gas
emissions by 2020.
...
"It's really a kumbaya moment." (WBAL Radio) [em added]
| O'Malley
to push bill to reduce state's production of climate-warming pollution
(Baltimore Sun)
Refusing
to Feel Europe's Pain - A policy colleague from Washington state just
left me a message to let me know a state official there just publicly
insisted that Europe had actually suffered no costs from its failed
experiment with cap-and-trade. Let's leave it to the natives to have some
fun with it, but while keeping an eye peeled for the fallout, because
that's a . . . what's the word I'm look- . . . oh, right, a lie. (Chris
Horner, Planet Gore)
Shocked,
Shocked at the New York Times - Well this one caused a quick
double-take this morning. NYT writer and Dot Earth blogger Andy Revkin
complains in the paper today, just like Sens. Olympia Snowe (R., ME) and
Jay Rockefeller (D., WV) before him, that people speaking out are getting
in the way of efforts to impose a particular agenda on you:
Mr. Obama's political foes have already seized on the cooling of public
concern. Marc Morano, the communications director for the Republican
minority on the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, has been
sending out e-mail alerts, sometimes several a day, highlighting stories
on winter weather and other surveys suggesting a shift in public
attitudes.
Yeah. How dare he. English-to-English translation: hey, we’re working
that corner! Such distaste is awfully rich for anyone from Team Alarmist
given how that’s “what they do.” (Chris Horner, Planet Gore)
Indoctrination online: Worldwatch
Climate Symposium online - On January 15, leading thinkers,
scientists, and policymakers convened in Washington, D.C. to discuss the
significance of 2009 for the Earth's climate. Authors of State of the
World 2009: Into a Warming World engaged an audience of more than 150
people on the state of the science, the gaps between science and policy,
and practical solutions to help avert the worst effects of climate change
-- all in advance of critical climate negotiations in Copenhagen in
December 2009. (Environmental Law Prof Blog)
Stephen
Schneider’s sea level alarm without scientific merit, reports SPPI -
WASHINGTON -- Claims by Stephen Schneider, a biologist, that melting
Greenland ice will drown today’s coastlines and trigger a worldwide
belief in the need for action to combat imagined “catastrophic global
warming” are scientifically-unjustified and unjustifiable, says the
Science and Public Policy Institute – a Washington, D.C. research
organization. (BUSINESS WIRE)
Are climate
change investors living in a fool’s paradise?
fool’s par·a·dise: “a state of happiness that is temporary and
insubstantial because it is based on illusions or unrealistic hopes” -
Encarta® World English Dictionary [North American Edition] © 2007
Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved. Developed for Microsoft by
Bloomsbury Publishing Plc.
I am struck by the diversity of risk analyses being carried out by
investors in today’s climate change market place. Whether it’s
‘carbon’* market conferences and publications, ‘ethical
investments’, insurance company projects or the activities of financial,
legal and engineering institutions, it seems at first glance that they
have it all covered. Many financial, political, procedural, legal and
technical issues are addressed. Anything that might pose a risk to the
market and the hundreds of billions of dollars being poured into one of
the greatest enterprises in human history – ‘fighting’ global
climate change – appears to be examined.
It looks on the surface like an investment and legislative dream come
true, combining the public’s desire to ‘save the planet’ and
compensate for recent stock market losses with helping corporations
fulfill their ‘corporate social responsibilities’. It even satisfies
the natural desire of politicians to be seen to be leading their nations
to safety and a supposedly green, prosperous future.
On closer examination however, one notices something remarkable.
Practically without exception, all of these organizations, many of them
among the most successful and respected in the world, completely ignore
the risk that the very foundation of all of these activities might be
shown to be faulty. Like many of those who were caught off guard by the
subprime mortgage crisis, those involved in the rapidly expanding climate
change industry are not asking the most fundamental of questions:
• What if the science that supposedly backs concerns over carbon dioxide
(CO2) emissions cannot be justified?
And, even more important to the investment, legal and political community:
• What if the public at large come to believe that the whole thing is a
gigantic scam? What if it becomes common knowledge that we can’t stop
climate change and all of the great and glorious plans to restrict CO2 and
other greenhouse gas emissions are seen as a complete waste? (Tom Harris,
CFP)
Climate Modelers Gone
Wild - Roger Pielke Jr, however, is a scientist. And over at his blog,
Prometheus, he is making some global climate modelers look silly. In
yesterday’s post, Pielke commented on a new study in the journal Nature,
which suggests that Antarctica is in fact warming, whereas before the icy
continent was thought to be cooling. (William Yeatman, Cooler Heads
Digest)
About that: Using Red again - The
Antarctic visibly warms up - John Brignell has several times,
including recently, pointed out the use of red in charts and maps for
heightened propaganda, here is another excellent example from the
Antarctic:
Richard
Black back on the case
The continent of Antarctica is warming up in step with the rest of the
world, according to a new analysis. Scientists say data from satellites
and weather stations indicate a warming of about 0.6C over the last 50
years.
Writing in the journal Nature, they say the trend is "difficult to
explain" without the effect of rising greenhouse gas levels in the
atmosphere.
In the new analysis, a team of US scientists combined data from land
stations with satellite readings "We have at least 25 years of data
from satellites, and satellites have the huge advantage that they can see
the whole continent," said Eric Steig from the University of
Washington in Seattle. "But the [land] stations have the advantage
that they go back much further in time.
"So we combined the two; and what we found, in a nutshell, is that
there is warming across the whole continent, it's stronger in winter and
spring but it is there in all seasons."
Voila! Case proven!
Or is it?
Here is what Ellen and Lonnie Thompson said about Antarctic Temperature
records in 2003:
ICE CORE PALEOCLIMATE HISTORIES FROM THE ANTARCTIC PENINSULA: WHERE DO WE
GO FROM HERE?
Ellen Mosley-Thompson, Lonnie G. Thompson, Byrd Polar Research Center,
Department of Geological Sciences, The Ohio State University, Columbus,
Ohio.
It is essential to determine whether the strong 20th century warming in
the Antarctic Peninsula (AP) reflects, in part, a response to
anthropogenically driven, globally averaged warming or if it is consistent
with past climate variability in the region. The necessary time
perspective may be reconstructed from chemical and physical properties
preserved in the regional ice cover and ocean sediments. Only three
multi-century climate histories derived from ice cores in the AP region
have been annually dated with good precision (± 2 years per century). The
longest record contains only 1200 years and the three histories do not
provide a coherent picture of 20th century climate variability.
Temperature records for Antarctica are sparse and short with few
extending prior to the International Geophysical Year (1957-58).
This is particularly true for the continental interior. The longest and
most dense network of meteorological records is in the Antarctic
Peninsula region where the temperature record at Orcadas (South Orkney
Islands) extends to 1903.
King et al. [this volume] review the surface temperature records in the
Peninsula that extend to the late 1940s and the upper air measurements
that began in 1956. Their analyses demonstrate marked differences
between the temperature trends in the AP and the rest of the continent
(East and West Antarctica).
Jones et al. [1993] also noted that temperature variations in
the AP region are poorly correlated with those on the main part of the
continent and concluded that extending the Antarctic temperature
record by using the longer temperature histories from the Peninsula would
be inappropriate.
"The Plateau Remote (PR) record contains some longer-term (~century
scale) oscillations with a brief (~3 decades), but strong cooling in the
early 17th century.
Conditions remain at or above the long-term mean from 1660 to 1780
after which a gradual cooling trend persists until 1870 after which
conditions warm rapidly, peaking at the turn of the 20th century. Since
that time the δ18O record indicates a cooling trend to the
present.
The PR δ18O record, like those from South Pole, does
not show 20th century 18O enrichment (warming),
[Mosley-Thompson, unpublished data]. Similarly, the recently published
isotopic record from Berkner Island [Mulvaney et al., 2002] also does
not show a 20th century warming.
Domack et al. [this volume] report their cores contain a Medieval Warm
Period (1.15 ka to 0.7 ka), a Little Ice Age signal (0.7 ka to
~0.15 ka) and 200-year oscillations in the regional climate/oceanographic
conditions."
(Isn't it strange then that we are told the LIA and MWP were confined
to the N. Hemisphere and even disposed of altogether by Mann et al)
The pdf can be downloaded from this
link.
I don't think anyone could say the Thompsons are "deniers"....
Regards
Dennis Ambler.
This could get entertaining... The
Orbiting Carbon Observatory and the Mystery of the Missing Sinks -
Picture a tree in the forest. The tree "inhales" carbon dioxide
from the atmosphere, transforming that greenhouse gas into the building
materials and energy it needs to grow its branches and leaves.
By removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, the tree serves as an
indispensable "sink," or warehouse, for carbon that, in tandem
with Earth's other trees, plants and the ocean, helps reduce rising levels
of carbon dioxide in the air that contribute to global warming.
Each year, humans release more than 30-billion tons of carbon dioxide into
the atmosphere through the burning of fossil fuels for powering vehicles,
generating electricity and manufacturing products. Up to five-and-a-half
additional tons of carbon dioxide are released each year by biomass
burning, forest fires and land-use practices such as slash-and-burn
agriculture. Between 40 and 50 percent of that amount remains in the
atmosphere, according to measurements by about 100 ground-based carbon
dioxide monitoring stations scattered across the globe. Another estimated
30 percent is dissolved into the ocean, the world's largest sink.
But what about the rest? The math doesn't add up. For years, scientists
have sought to find the answer to this mystery. Though scientists agree
the remaining carbon dioxide is also "inhaled" by Earth, they
have been unable to precisely determine where it is going, what processes
are involved, and whether Earth will continue to absorb it in the future.
A new NASA satellite scheduled to launch in February 2009 is poised to
shed a very bright light on these "missing" sinks: the Orbiting
Carbon Observatory. (NASA News)
... as previous estimates are exposed as the wild guesses they are.
Slow news day? NASA
study links severe storm increases, global warming - The frequency of
extremely high clouds in Earth's tropics - the type associated with severe
storms and rainfall - is increasing as a result of global warming,
according to a study by scientists at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in
La Canada Flintridge. (Pasadena Star-News)
They are talking about this month-old dubious
release. Now, we have no doubt there are both seasonal and cyclical
changes in deep convective cloud formation but 5 years of data isn't
much to hang your hat on, much less claim gorebull warming associations.
AB32
cripples state’s ability to compete in global economy - As a new
member of the California State Assembly, I have introduced my first bill
to suspend AB32 — the so-called California Global Warming Solutions Act
of 2006.
In 2006, on a party-line vote, legislative Democrats passed AB32 over the
objections of Republicans. Authored by then-Assembly Speaker Fabien Núñez,
ostensibly to combat the effects of global warming, AB32 forces businesses
to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by the year 2020.
Appealing to the politically correct crowd of 2006, AB32 was hailed far
and wide by left-leaning political elites. They could not have envisioned
our economic downturn or the devastating effects of AB32 on California’s
economy and it’s environment — or could they?
There have been economic slumps in past decades and subsequent recoveries.
But there are major differences between then and now. (The Union)
Jym Ganahl and Bob
Wagner post presentation interview - Ridin the Wave with Dave has a
post presentation interview of the recent Global Warming Presentation. It
is nice to see people in the media are finally starting to take on this
issue, and address the real science. If you are a member of a civic
organization, Jym has a great presentation debunking GW, and of course I
am always willing to give my presentation as well. For those of you who
don't know who Jym Ganahl is, he is the Channel 4 Meteorologist. (The
Internet Skeptic)
Global
warming skeptics on video discussing how they have been vilified -
Below is a report from 20/20 about credible scientists who debate Global
Warming. John Stossel discusses the professional and personal attack on
these educated men who dared to stick with their research and beliefs.
There is a lot of debate in the scientific community, but many scientists
have been silenced out of fear. (Baltimore Weather Examiner)
Industry
heat on Rudd ETS stance - The introduction of emissions trading ahead
of our major trading competitors will make life more difficult for our
mining industry and its workers.
LAST Wednesday will be remembered as the day the world-wide economic
meltdown hit our shores.
Yes, there have been the obvious signs of stock exchanges plunging, banks
being rescued and superannuation dwindling before our eyes but this time
it was something more tangible - jobs.
Thousands of jobs were slashed from the workforce. Employees, without
warning, were called in and told to pack up and leave. The layoffs were
across the board _ manufacturing, retail sales, media, banking and,
perhaps most significantly, mining.
Geelong suffered with CSR Viridian closing down and shedding 80 jobs and
work on our tallest building, WaterMarque, being put on hold indefinitely.
The mining boom is, for now, over. The Chinese juggernaut which has driven
the fortunes of our mining industry for the past few years has slowed with
the inevitable results - mines closed and miners sacked. (Geelong
Advertiser)
Glacier
Slowdown in Greenland: How Inconvenient - In this week’s Science
magazine, science writer Richard Kerr reports on some of the goings-on at
this past December’s annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union.
While he didn’t cover our presentation at the meeting in which we
described our efforts at creating a reconstruction of ice melt across
Greenland dating back into the late 1700s (we found that the greatest
period of ice melt occurred in the decades around the 1930s), Kerr did
cover some other recent findings concerning the workings of Greenland’s
cryosphere in his article titled “Galloping Glaciers of Greenland Have
Reined Themselves In.” (WCR)
Reply
By Pielke Et Al To The Comment By Parker Et Al. On Our 2007 JGR paper
“Unresolved Issues With The Assessment Of Multi-Decadal Global Land
Surface Temperature Trends” - In 2007, we published the paper Pielke
Sr., R.A., C. Davey, D. Niyogi, S. Fall, J. Steinweg-Woods, K. Hubbard, X.
Lin, M. Cai, Y.-K. Lim, H. Li, J. Nielsen-Gammon, K. Gallo, R. Hale, R.
Mahmood, S. Foster, R.T. McNider, and P. Blanken, 2007: Unresolved issues
with the assessment of multi-decadal global land surface temperature
trends. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D24S08, doi:10.1029/2006JD008229.
The is a Comment by Parker et al in press in JGR-Atmospheres on our 2007
paper. It is Parker, D. E., P. Jones, T. C. Peterson, and J. Kennedy
(2009), Comment on ‘Unresolved Issues with the Assessment of
Multi-Decadal Global Land Surface Temperature Trends’ by Roger A. Pielke,
Sr. et al., J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1029/2008JD010450, in press. (Roger
Pielke Sr., Climate Science)
The
Origin of Increasing Atmospheric CO2 - a Response from Ferdinand Engelbeen
- After yesterday’s post about manmade vs. natural sources of CO2, I
received the following e-mail from Ferdinand Engelbeen. I’ve reproduced
that e-mail below, and made a couple of comments (also in
italics)….I’m at a conference, so I posted this quickly…sorry for
any typos… and thanks to Ferdinand for taking the time to respond. - Roy
(Roy W. Spencer)
Correlation
demonstrated between cosmic rays and temperature of the stratosphere -
This offers renewed hope for Svensmark’s theory of cosmic ray modulation
of earth’s cloud cover. Here is an interesting correlation published
just yesterday in GRL. (Watts Up With That?)
"Renewed hope"? I must admit that seems a very strange way
of putting it. The Svensmark Effect exists or it does not. It is
significant or it is not. Either way it will be confirmed or not in time
but it has little (nothing) to do with "hope".
Despite
the hot air, the Antarctic is not warming up - A deeply flawed new
report will be cited ad nauseam by everyone from the BBC to Al Gore, says
The measures being proposed to meet what President Obama last week called
the need to "roll back the spectre of a warming planet" threaten
to land us with the most colossal bill mankind has ever faced. It might
therefore seem peculiarly important that we can trust the science on which
all the alarm over global warming is based, But nothing has been more
disconcerting in this respect than the methods used by promoters of the
warming cause over the years to plug some of the glaring holes in their
scientific argument.
Another example last week was the much-publicised claim, contradicting all
previous evidence, that Antarctica, the world's coldest continent, is in
fact warming up, Antarctica has long been a major embarrassment to the
warmists. Al Gore and co may have wanted to scare us that the continent
which contains 90 per cent of all the ice on the planet is heating up,
because that would be the source of all the meltwater which they claim
will raise sea levels by 20 feet.
However, to provide all their pictures of ice-shelves "the size of
Texas" calving off into the sea, they have had to draw on one tiny
region of the continent, the Antarctic Peninsula – the only part that
has been warming. The vast mass of Antarctica, all satellite evidence has
shown, has been getting colder over the past 30 years. Last year's sea-ice
cover was 30 per cent above average. (Christopher Booker, Daily Telegraph)
More
on Antarctica and “Consistent With” - (Roger Pielke, Jr.,
Prometheus)
Funny to see them reaching for facts: Steve
Connor: Sceptics, scientists and global warming - The cable news
network CNN has sacked its science team, and one of the consequences has
been a number of embarrassing programmes about how the exceptionally cold
weather in North America this winter contradicts global warming and
supports the idea that we are actually due for or a period of global
cooling, if not a full-blown ice age. (The Independent)
As it happens they are right (for once), there is no proof of
long-term cooling to be had from recent weather events (nor of gorebull
warming from any weather events either). Sadly this new-found desire for
facts will likely last only until summer.
Turnbull's
climate gamble - THE battle over climate change policy is set to
escalate dramatically, with the Opposition Leader to outline an
alternative method of reducing greenhouse gases the Coalition claims will
not threaten jobs or business.
The move comes as the Government forges ahead today with its emissions
trading scheme in spite of the global financial crisis.
The Opposition Leader, Malcolm Turnbull, will announce a three-pronged
policy of greenhouse gas reduction that will impose no direct costs on
businesses or homes and require no behavioural change, and aims to
eradicate divisions in the Coalition over climate change. It will also
enable the Coalition to oppose Labor's scheme as economically damaging
during the financial downturn. (Sydney Morning Herald)
Federal
battle over economy, environment - BOTH sides of politics were
yesterday grappling for control of the economic and environmental high
ground amid pessimism about the outlook for employment and financial
markets.
Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull abandoned any earlier pretence that the
economic crisis would be tackled in a bipartisan way, declaring the Rudd
Government's $4 billion partnership with the big four banks to fund
commercial property projects would merely pad the banks' balance sheets
without saving a single job. (Canberra Times)
Rudd's
economic disaster - DESPITE the international fiscal crisis, Prime
Minister Kevin Rudd is still hell-bent on pursuing anti-business policies
that he and senior ministers well know will cost even more Australians
their jobs. (Piers Akerman, Daily Telegraph)
After
the Age of Oil - On top of the other problems plaguing the world, such
as global warming and the current financial meltdown, there's a third
pressing issue that threatens to bring the good life to an end: The world
is fast running out of oil.
Given that crude oil makes up 36.4 per cent of the world's energy
consumption, the seriousness of shortages cannot be underplayed. Our
reliance on oil is almost total. It fuels 100 per cent of air and sea
transport and most of our land transport. Without oil there is no
petrochemical industry. Agriculture, manufacturing, building materials,
the clothes we wear, the food we eat and the medicines we take depend on
oil.
Running out of oil is a question of when -- not if. (Montreal Gazette)
To some extent they are right -- about 'conventional' oil.
Fortunately this is largely irrelevant as we have centuries worth of
readily accessible carbon supplies in coal alone and it is not too
difficult to create liquid fuels from these. Then there's shale, methane
hydrates... the age of carbon has really only just begun, which is why
misanthropic greenies are so desperate to paint carbon as pollution
rather than the globe's life support system.
Not
Driving Drives Oil Prices Downward - If you are looking for a reason
why oil demand and oil prices are so lackluster, consider this: US drivers
are staying home, and they are doing so in record numbers.
According to the latest data from the Federal Highway Administration, the
number of miles traveled in November 2008 fell by 5.3 percent compared to
the year-earlier month. As noted by blogger Mark J. Perry this is the
thirteenth consecutive month that traffic volume has declined. And Perry
notes, this change “represents one of the most significant adjustments
to driving behavior in American history.” Furthermore, the decline in
traffic volume over the 12-month period ending November 2008, is the
biggest annual decline recorded since the federal government began
collecting data in 1971. (Robert Bryce)
How about the decline in Chinese demand? China is undergoing a rapid
slowdown which is reflected in the inflow of resources. Even the
previously bullet-proof Australian mining sector is laying off workers
and closing mines due to reduced Chinese demand so why should oil demand
be any different? Sorry, not convinced American drivers control global
oil demand.
Idiots: Environmentalists
Hail Pushback Of South Dakota Power Plant - The U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA) filed objections to an air quality permit a South
Dakota state agency had granted for a large coal-fired power plant, a move
environmentalists hailed as the beginning of a new era on coal powered
plants.
“This is a signal that the Obama administration is taking a much harder
look at coal power from the previous administration,” Darrell Gerber, a
program coordinator for the group Clean Water Action, told the New York
Times.
"EPA is signaling that it is back to enforcing long-standing legal
requirements fairly and consistently nationwide," said Bruce Nilles,
head of the Sierra Club's initiative to block coal power plants, told
Reuters.
Navajo Nation Steps Up
to Supply America's Energy Needs - Greenwire has a long lead story
(subscription required) in today's edition by Daniel Cusick about the
plans of the Navajo Nation to build three huge new coal-fired power plants
totaling 5,300 megawatts in order to exploit their enormous coal
resources. These new plants could supply enough electricity for
approximately four million homes in the rapidly growing cities of the
Southwest. (Myron Ebell, CEI)
A
Better Shade of Green - DURING Senate hearings on his nomination as
secretary of energy, Steven Chu, the Nobel laureate physicist, reiterated
his and President Obama’s support for a cap-and-trade program as a
cost-effective method to address climate change. Under such a program, a
limit is set on emissions, and polluters can emit carbon dioxide and other
greenhouse gases only by obtaining permits.
That’s good policy. However, Dr. Chu may find the path to cap and trade
made more difficult by the well-intentioned advocates of a national
“renewable portfolio standard,” which would require energy companies
to produce specific amounts of electricity largely from wind, solar and
geothermal energy.
A renewable portfolio standard is said to be needed for creating and
improving renewable energy technologies. In practice, however, it does
little to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and makes energy production
excessively expensive.
Coal-fired power plants produce more than 83 percent of the electricity
sector’s carbon dioxide emissions. But because coal is cheaper than
natural gas or oil, it is the least likely to be displaced by solar or
wind power.
Natural gas has a relatively low carbon content. But it is likely to be
the first to be displaced by renewable sources of energy because it is
more expensive than coal. That means that even a renewable portfolio
standard as high as 20 percent would reduce emissions by only a small
fraction of what is needed to lower the risk of catastrophic climate
change. (New York Times)
Eliminate
DOE for Deficit Reduction - Thirty one years ago the Department of
Energy (DOE) was established during the Carter Administration. They
currently have 16,000 federal employees, and approximately 100,000
contract employees. Their proposed budget is up 4.7% from 2008. No one
seems to know why the DOE was founded. The reason given 31 years ago was
“to lessen our dependence on foreign oil”. Instituted on 8/4/77, the
DOE is asking for 25.2 billion in discretionary funding in the US annual
budget for 2009.
Certainly our dependence on foreign oil wasn’t 65 % thirty-one years
ago. And thirty-one years from now, unless we’re allowed to drill in the
US, our dependence will be much higher than 65 %. Currently, OPEC owns
well over 70 % of existing oil producers. There is no agency controlling
what OPEC can charge for a barrel of oil. There is no entity that can stop
OPEC from gouging at will if it deems it is the most profitable route.
Drilling in the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) of the US, as well as the
Alaskan National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) will significantly reduce our
dependence on foreign oil. The DOE is unnecessary for elimination of that
dependence. Right now, OPEC controls how much a barrel of oil will cost,
and how much we will pay at the pump.
Elimination of 25.2 billion/yr will push America towards a balanced
budget. In fact, if one looks at the current Executive Departments (15),
many can be axed from the list, especially the DOE. Necessary departments
such as Defense, Treasury, Security, Justice, Veterans Affairs, and Health
and Human Services should stay. Most others add huge amounts of government
jobs which produce nothing, and could at least have their expenditures
whittled down. (Kevin Roeten, Opinion Editorials)
Emissions
Fight Squeezes Obama - WASHINGTON -- The state of California and the
automobile industry are pressing the Obama administration to decide
whether states may impose their own limits on autos' greenhouse-gas
emissions, an issue that pits President Barack Obama's allies in the labor
and environmental movements against one another. (Wall Street Journal)
NADA
complains of double-regulation of fuel economy - The patchwork would
exist in thirteen states, Washington, D.C., and Bernalillo County , NM ,
which account for over 40% of the nation's new car market. Pennsylvania
would not be part of the patchwork because it bases compliance on
complying in California .
An automaker could comply in California and offer the exact same choice of
vehicles in another CARB state, and yet still not be in compliance, solely
due to differing consumer demand for different types of vehicles.
If the patchwork were to take effect in all 50 states, it would result in
a 50-state patchwork, as an automaker would still have to manage 50 unique
state fleets to individually meet CARB's standard 50 times.
The patchwork would create the "cross border sales loophole," as
CARB's regulation does not regulate cars imported from non-CARB states
that are registered in CARB states.
The patchwork reopens the SUV loophole; and
Several automakers and potentially new entrants from China and India would
be exempt from CARB's regulation until 2016, provided they limit their
sales in California. (National Automobile Dealers Association)
Brown
welcomes announcement of new nuclear sites - Prime minister claims:
"Nuclear is crucial to our low carbon future"
The Nuclear Decommissioning Authority (NDA) today announced that it is
willing to provide land for new nuclear plants at Sellafield, Wylfa,
Oldbury and Bradwell, removing another of the potential barriers to
government plans for a new fleet of nuclear reactors.
Speaking on a visit to the Sellafield plant in west Cumbria, prime
minister Gordon Brown welcomed the NDA's decision arguing that a new
generation of nuclear plants would provide a multi-billion pound boost to
the UK economy while also helping to cut carbon emissions.
"Nuclear is crucial to our low carbon future; it is crucial to our
energy security and at the same time it represents a massive opportunity
for the UK economy and jobs," he said. "Industry are investing
billions into the UK economy, jobs are being created and supply chain
opportunities are developing." (James Murray, BusinessGreen)
Cape
Wind and Its Discontents - The lead editorial in the Wall Street
Journal today, entitled “Blowhards” and excerpted below, is a
heartwarming tale of green hypocrisy and aggrieved NIMBYism. It details
the efforts of some of our favorite environmentally holier-than-thou
Democrats to prevent a wind farm in Nantucket Sound. (Edward John Craig,
Planet Gore)
OMGBUGZINMAIFOODZ!
YUCK! - Bug Girl called it. When the Scientific American piled on with
alarm about cochineal, she called them on it. As a professor of
entomology, she knows her bugs. She’s probably heard every scare there
is about perfectly harmless little bugs. People are squeamish and easily
grossed out by creepy things they don’t understand and the thought of
eating bugs… “OMGBUGZ!” (Junkfood Science)
Lunch
box police - Well, it’s happened. School principals in Australia
want teachers to have the power to police lunch boxes from home to remove
any offending cookies or chips that are deemed by the State Government as
unhealthy. Victorian Principals Association chief Fred Ackerman has backed
the move, according to the Herald Sun, saying teachers need the authority
to enforce ‘healthy eating’ habits. (Junkfood Science)
National
Patient Registry - The push to create a nationalized electronic
medical records system has been stepped up with a massive influx of
another $20 billion in government funding and new mandates. Independent
studies estimate the real costs to taxpayers will run at least $75 billion
to $100 billion over the next ten years, as CNN Money just reported. The
goal is to put the health records of all citizens into a government
computer network within the next five years. The medical records from
every doctor office, clinic, hospital, laboratory, pharmacy and diagnostic
facility in the country would be interconnected “to ensure the
uninhibited flow of health data” among all stakeholders and federal
agencies, according to the Department of Health and Human Services
Department. (Junkfood Science)
Um, no: Recommended
cholesterol level may be too high - NEW YORK - Many patients who
suffer a heart attack have levels of "bad" LDL cholesterol well
below recommended limits, supporting efforts to revise current guidelines
to include lower target levels, new research shows. (Reuters Health)
What it really means is that attempting to use cholesterol levels as
an indicator is and always has been a nonsense.
Pilots'
radiation exposure may damage genes - NEW YORK - Airline pilots'
exposure to radiation because of the long periods they spend at high
altitudes may raise their odds of developing genetic abnormalities that
could contribute to cancer, a new study suggests.
A number of studies have looked at whether airline crews are at increased
risk of various cancers because of frequent exposure to cosmic radiation
-- radiation that is mostly blocked by the earth's atmosphere but exists
at higher levels at high altitudes. Those studies have come to conflicting
results, however.
This latest study, published in the journal Occupational and Environmental
Medicine, looked at whether airline pilots tend to have a higher rate of
genetic abnormalities known as chromosome translocations. These genetic
alterations naturally become more common as people age, but they also
arise from exposure to radiation, which can lead to cancerous changes in
body cells.
Researchers led by Dr. Lee C. Yong, of the National Institute for
Occupational Safety and Health, analyzed blood samples from 89 airline
pilots and a comparison group of 50 university professors of the same age.
They found that, overall, chromosome translocations were not more common
among the pilots. (Reuters Health)
So either professors fly as much as commercial pilots or there is
nothing to this, is there. That didn't stop them trying to make
something of a flying-radiation damage correlation though.
Finally, a silver lining: Bond
money crunch freezes out environmental nonprofits - California's ocean
of red ink is threatening its pursuit of a green future.
When the state froze bond money spending last month, most of the public
attention focused on roads, levees and other public works projects that
were put on hold. But the freeze also devastated conservation groups in
the region that were counting on bond money to build trails, plant trees,
clean waterways and close land deals.
Not only is the loss of this money shutting down projects, it's forcing
many environmental nonprofit groups to lay off staff or close. Those that
spent their own money and were awaiting state reimbursement have been
particularly hard-hit. (Sacramento Bee)
Federal
agents investigate fertilizer producers for Calif. organic farms -
SACRAMENTO, Calif. -- Federal agents this week searched a major producer
of fertilizer for California's organic farmers, widening concern about the
use of synthetic chemicals in the industry.
The raid Thursday targeted Port Organic Products Ltd. of Bakersfield,
Calif. Industry sources estimate the company produced up to half of the
liquid fertilizer used on the state's organic farms in recent years.
The Bee reported in December on a state investigation that caught another
large organic fertilizer maker spiking its product with synthetic
nitrogen, which is cheap, difficult to detect - and banned from organic
farms.
Since then, the organic industry and state officials have taken several
steps to catch violators in California, which produces nearly 60 percent
of the U.S. harvest of organic fruits, nuts and vegetables.
California Certified Organic Farmers, the state's top organic certifier,
last week mandated inspections of fertilizer makers that sell to its
clients. Meanwhile, Earthbound Farm, the nation's largest producer of
organic greens, is stepping up a new testing program for the chemicals its
farmers use. In addition, state fertilizer inspectors may get additional
auditing powers and the state Senate Food and Agriculture Committee has
scheduled a hearing on the issue Feb. 3.
As Thursday's raid indicates, work remains to improve a patchwork
regulatory system that presumes manufacturers tell the truth about their
products. On Thursday at the Eco-Farm conference in Monterey, frustrated
farmers and fertilizer makers alike called for stronger oversight.
(McClatchy Newspapers)
Synthetic nitrogen? Never mind...
January 23, 2009
Zero-Calorie
Sin? - If you thought the food nannies’ appetite for dictating what
beverages you may enjoy would be satisfied by their crusade against
regular, sugar-sweetened soda, think again. Their new battle cry is
shaping up to be, “None of the calories but all of the sin.” (Steven
Milloy, FoxNews.com)
Climate
Confusion - As a new president takes office and elevates global
warming alarmism to official federal policy, much of America is
experiencing record low temperatures. While the deep freeze amounts to
little more than irony, Americans should nevertheless take what could well
be a last opportunity to reconsider the cliff off which Barack Obama, Al
Gore and the rest of the global warming industry want us to jump. (Steven
Milloy, FrontPageMagazine.com)
Profiles
in Cowardice - The intimidation tactics and belittling words of those
in global warming alarmism are only a means to cloak the weaknesses of
their arguments, especially now that the scientific and economic evidence
has found a broader, more receptive audience -- check the latest poll
results if you don't believe me. (Paul Chesser, American Spectator)
Of 20 options gorebull warming ranks dead last: Economy,
Jobs Trump All Other Policy Priorities In 2009 - As Barack Obama takes
office, the public’s focus is overwhelmingly on domestic policy concerns
– particularly the economy. Strengthening the nation’s economy and
improving the job situation stand at the top of the public’s list of
domestic priorities for 2009. Meanwhile, the priority placed on issues
such as the environment, crime, illegal immigration and even reducing
health care costs has fallen off from a year ago. (PEW)
Dumb arithmetic of the moment: How
Green Is My Orange? - BRADENTON, Fla. — How much does your morning
glass of orange juice contribute to global warming?
PepsiCo, which owns the Tropicana brand, decided to try to answer that
question. It figured that as public concern grows about the fate of the
planet, companies will find themselves under pressure to perform such
calculations. Orange juice seemed like a good case study.
PepsiCo hired experts to do the math, measuring the emissions from such
energy-intensive tasks as running a factory and transporting heavy juice
cartons. But it turned out that the biggest single source of emissions was
simply growing oranges. Citrus groves use a lot of nitrogen fertilizer,
which requires natural gas to make and can turn into a potent greenhouse
gas when it is spread on fields.
PepsiCo finally came up with a number: the equivalent of 3.75 pounds of
carbon dioxide are emitted to the atmosphere for each half-gallon carton
of orange juice. But the company is still debating how to use that
information. Should it cite the number in its marketing, and would
consumers have a clue what to make of it?
PepsiCo’s experience is a harbinger of the complexities other companies
may face as they come under pressure to calculate their emission of carbon
dioxide, a number known as a carbon footprint, and eventually to lower it.
(New York Times)
Bottom line is: who cares? There is no need for anyone to even be
interested in how much gorebull warming potential exists since it is an
entirely fictitious construct with no real world application. The only
reason this exists is to provide a cudgel with which misanthropists
might beat humanity. Flip 'em the bird and get on with life.
What a crock! Increasing
weather losses: proof of climate change or not? - The string of
natural catastrophes that wreaked havoc in 2008, costing the global
economy $225 billion and leaving insurers with their second costliest year
in history, graphically highlights the increasing risks to businesses of
extreme weather events.
Many companies are now grappling with the consequences of more frequent
and more intense extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, tornadoes,
floods and rainstorms.
January saw the heaviest rainfall in nearly a century to hit Queensland,
Australia. The resulting heavy flooding to major coalmines disrupted
production for months, pushed up the global price for coking coal and cost
insurers billions of dollars. (Lloyd's)
Unfortunately for them I live in Queensland and tend to take note of
what happens in my state -- recent storms, for example, were pretty
ordinary early monsoon storms (we just haven't had a lot of them in the
last decade or so). As a result of greenie policies restricting bush
clearing and opening decent residential land to accommodate the literal
millions of people moving to this state over the same period of
unusually quiet storm seasons we have a lot of very poorly sited housing
now -- some of that got clobbered as the inevitable storms returned and
plenty more will do so in the near future. If a return to 'normal'
seasonal storm activity is 'climate change' then it's a really good
thing since we get our water supply from these very events and water
storage infrastructure hasn't kept up with population influx (greenies,
again).
Parenthetically, mines are laying off workers due to the global
economic downturn and a current oversupply of resources, including coal
-- there is no flooding-induced shortage pushing up prices.
Tropical cyclone activity has been so sparse we now have a large
population base with no experience of the power of these tropical
storms, when we do get hit south of the Tropic again, as we inevitably
will, it is going to hurt and hurt big. It will not have anything to do
with gorebull warming.
Nude Socialist: One
last chance to save mankind - With his 90th birthday in July, a trip
into space scheduled for later in the year and a new book out next month,
2009 promises to be an exciting time for James Lovelock. But the
originator of the Gaia theory, which describes Earth as a self-regulating
planet, has a stark view of the future of humanity. He tells Gaia Vince we
have one last chance to save ourselves - and it has nothing to do with
nuclear power
Your work on atmospheric chlorofluorocarbons led eventually to a global
CFC ban that saved us from ozone-layer depletion. Do we have time to do a
similar thing with carbon emissions to save ourselves from climate change?
Not a hope in hell. Most of the "green" stuff is verging on a
gigantic scam. Carbon trading, with its huge government subsidies, is just
what finance and industry wanted. It's not going to do a damn thing about
climate change, but it'll make a lot of money for a lot of people and
postpone the moment of reckoning. I am not against renewable energy, but
to spoil all the decent countryside in the UK with wind farms is driving
me mad. It's absolutely unnecessary, and it takes 2500 square kilometres
to produce a gigawatt - that's an awful lot of countryside.
What about work to sequester carbon dioxide?
That is a waste of time. It's a crazy idea - and dangerous. It would take
so long and use so much energy that it will not be done.
Do you still advocate nuclear power as a solution to climate change?
It is a way for the UK to solve its energy problems, but it is not a
global cure for climate change. It is too late for emissions reduction
measures. (New Scientist)
D'oh! Energy Neglect
Hurting Poverty Fight: U.N. Climate Chief - NEW DELHI - Giving energy
to the poor should have been a Millennium Development Goal and a
"glaring neglect" of the sector is holding back the world's
fight against poverty, the head of the U.N. climate panel said on
Wednesday. (Reuters)
Hello! Where were you? We've been pointing out for years how the
absurd climate boogeyman and Western ecochondria have been harming the
poor. Get out of the way and get affordable energy to everyone!
Wood And Dung Fires Feed
Asia's Brown Cloud - LONDON - Wood and dung burned for home heating
and cooking makes up most of a huge brown cloud of pollution that hangs
over South Asia and the Indian Ocean during the winter months, researchers
said on Thursday.
The study in the journal Science solves the mystery of what makes up the
soot in the brown haze linked to hundreds of thousands of deaths -- mainly
from lung and heart disease -- each year in the region, they said.
"Doing something about this brown cloud has been difficult because
the sources are poorly understood," said Orjan Gustafsson, a
biogeochemist at Stockholm University.
Gustafsson led a Swedish and Indian team that used a newly developed
radiocarbon technique to measure atmospheric soot particles collected from
a mountaintop in western India and on the Maldives.
They found that two-thirds of the particles in the cloud was made up of
so-called biomass, or organic matter like wood or dung, and the rest from
fossil fuels.
The effects of the cloud, which towers up to 5 km above the ground, on
regional climate warming were significant, Gustaffson said. (Reuters)
Testimony instead of votes
on global warming - At last Wednesday’s meeting of the Joint
Committee on Energy at the state Capitol, lawmakers heard expert testimony
from scientists and policy experts who challenged conventional views on
global warming and the real-world experience of global warming policies.
But, the day before the hearing, the newly ensconced Democratic speaker of
the House of Representatives tried to shut it down, citing an alleged
rules violation in how the meeting was originally scheduled. But after
some consultation with state Senate President Bob Johnson and other
senators, Speaker Robbie Wills allowed the hearing to proceed but with
limitations: it would only be a “informational meeting” for members;
no votes would be recorded.
Dr. Richard Ford, an environmental economist at UALR and member of the
Governor’s Commission on Global Warming, had originally requested the
hearing. He and several other members of the GCGW opposed several of the
recommendations in the Commission’s recently released policy report. In
it, the Commission recommended that Arkansas lawmakers support a carbon
tax, a regional “cap-and-trade” scheme, and renewable energy portfolio
mandates for Arkansas utilities, along with other tax increases.
When the GCGW began its work, it did so with one major assumption: Global
warming is man-made. Consequently Ford and other like-minded commission
members were not allowed to debate the science of global warming.
In his opening remarks, Ford told lawmakers the Commission hadn’t
followed the intent of it statutory charter, which required it to “study
the scientific data, literature and research on global warming to
determine whether global warming is an immediate threat to the citizens in
the state of Arkansas.” For Ford it was simple: In order to get the
policies right, the group had to get the science right. He also explained
that none of the 54 policy recommendations in the report included a
cost-benefit analysis. (David J. Sanders, Arkansas News)
EU Climate Cash Windfall For
Industry In Downturn - LONDON - European factories are cashing in on
an unexpected benefit from wilting output, selling surplus carbon
emissions permits worth about 1 billion euros ($1.29 billion) to raise
funds on the carbon market.
A recession in Europe will dent industrial output this year and this will
sap energy demand and carbon emissions, leading to a surplus of permits
among big polluters including steel and cement makers.
Companies from some of the European Union's most polluting industries are
now raising funds on the carbon market to help them weather the credit
crisis. (Reuters)
Consistent
With Chronicles, Antarctic Edition - A new paper is out in Nature that
argues that the Antarctic continent has been warming. In an AP news story,
two of its authors (one is Michael Mann from the Real Climate blog) argue
that this refutes the skeptics and is “consistent with” greenhouse
warming: (Roger Pielke, Jr., Prometheus)
Scientists,
Data Challenge New Antarctic ‘Warming’ Study - ‘It is hard to
make data where none exist’
Comprehensive Data Round Up Debunks New Antarctic ‘Estimate of
Temperature Trends’
Washington, DC: A new study on Antarctic temperatures – which is
contrary to the findings of multiple previous studies - claims "that
since 1957, the annual temperature for the entire continent of Antarctica
has warmed by about 1 degree Fahrenheit, but still is 50 degrees below
zero.”
Despite the fact that the study was immediately viewed with major
skepticism by scientists who are not skeptical of anthropogenic global
warming claims, many in the media pounced on the study as a chance to
attack those skeptical of man-made climate doom. According to the release
of the study, “The researchers devised a statistical technique that uses
data from satellites and from Antarctic weather stations to make a new
estimate of temperature trends. […] The scientists found temperature
measurements from weather stations corresponded closely with satellite
data for overlapping time periods. That allowed them to use the satellite
data as a guide to deduce temperatures in areas of the continent without
weather stations.” (EPW)
Modeling
Aerosol-Radiation-Cloud And Precipitation Processes In The Mediterranean
Region By Kallos Et Al. 2008 - One of my colleagues, who I have the
highest respect for, Professor George Kallos of the University of Athens,
has another excellent study of a weather and climate issue, which is
reported on below. (Roger Pielke Sr., Climate Science)
Weblogs
By My Coauthors Of Our Rejected EOS Forum Article - There are weblogs
by my co-authors on our rejected submission to EOS which Climate Science
weblogged on yesterday; see An Obvious Double Standard Adopted By The AGU
Publication EOS
Their weblogs are “of consensus and consistency“ by Fergus Brown and
”Your opinions, please” by James Annan. (Roger Pielke Sr., Climate
Science)
Real
Climate [Gavin Schmidt] Response To The Climate Science Post “Comments
On Real Climate’s Post “FAQ on climate models: Part II” -
Further Reply By Gavin Schmidt to this Climate Science posting [his reply
to my comment #150]. (Roger Pielke Sr., Climate Science)
I'm not sure whether to commend Roger's attempts to bring science to
a propaganda site or wonder at his naivety in trying to do so...
Calendar-date stress kills trees? Old-Growth
Forests Dying Off in U.S. West - Tree deaths have doubled, and global
warming may be the cause, experts say
THURSDAY, Jan. 22 -- Trees in old-growth forests in the Western United
States are dying at twice the rate they were a few decades ago, and
experts suspect regional warming is to blame.
The report, led by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), found that the
increase in tree deaths has included trees in a variety of forests,
elevations and sizes. Species have included pine, fir, hemlock and other
coniferous trees. In addition, the rate of new tree growth has not
changed, according to the report in the Jan. 23 issue of Science. (HealthDay
News)
Seasons now arrive two days earlier than they used to, one study
from scientists at the University of California, Berkeley, and Harvard
University concluded. Not only have average worldwide temperatures been
rising for the last 50 years, according to the report, but the hottest
day of the year has shifted to almost two days earlier.
Really? According to that 'study' all seasons are arriving 2
days earlier -- i.e. there is absolutely no change in season length or
order, merely that the day of year, an entirely human construct
to begin with, has drifted slightly. Are we now to believe trees obsess
over human's time concept and are dying of stress induced by calendar
dates? Puh-lease!
<chuckle> Must be running out of things to worry about: Spring
Arriving Earlier, Study Finds - WASHINGTON - Looking forward to
spring? The good news is that it is coming two days earlier on average,
but so are summer, autumn and winter, researchers said on Wednesday.
They found that on average, the hottest day of the year in temperate
regions has moved forward by just under two days, and so has the coldest
day of the year.
While the consequences of this shift are not clear, it is worrying,
Alexander Stine of the University of California, Berkeley and colleagues
said. (Reuters) [em added]
Hollywood
Henry Waxman Promises Cap and Trade by Memorial Day - If Hollywood
Henry Waxman has his way, we might have to cancel the Indianapolis 500
this year. At least, he claims to be racing to adopt a “cap and trade”
anti-global warming bill through his committee by the time the engines rev
on Memorial Day. (Christopher C. Horner, Human Events)
Socialists just can't get away from wealth transfer schemes: EU
To Propose $200 Billion Climate Tax On Rich Nations - BRUSSELS/LONDON
- Rich nations could raise $200 billion in climate funds through a levy on
their greenhouse gases from 2013-2020 to help poor countries prepare for
global warming, the European Union will say next week.
The plan is set out in an EU paper outlining the bloc's position ahead of
U.N.-led climate talks in Copenhagen in December, meant to agree a new,
global climate treaty.
The fund-raising idea is the most specific yet from any rich country or
bloc on how to persuade developing nations to agree binding, concrete
steps to slow their greenhouse gas emissions -- one of the key obstacles
in climate talks so far.
The draft paper to be published next week, and seen by Reuters, calls on
rich countries to pay for developing countries to cut their greenhouse
gases, called mitigation, and prepare for unavoidable warming, called
adaptation. (Reuters)
Until relatively recently Americans at least knew that the path to
social justice and equality is paved with wealth generation (even in
parlance Americans spoke of "making a dollar", not
"redistributing" [read: stealing] someone else's). Sadly even
the US appears infected with the disease of socialism and without rapid
and radical course correction faces inevitable decline and decay.
Offshore Drilling Plan To Go
Ahead: Interior Dept - WASHINGTON - A proposal issued in the final
days of the Bush administration to expand offshore drilling in previously
banned areas will move forward under the administration of U.S. President
Barack Obama, an Interior Department spokesman told Reuters on Wednesday.
(Reuters)
Lights
Out: Playing Energy Politics Will Backfire on JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie
Dimon - BusinessWeek named Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan Chase, as one
of the "Best Managers of 2008" for steering the bank clear of
most of the subprime mortgage icebergs that wrecked many of his
competitors.
Unfortunately, the managerial skills that enabled Dimon to avoid the worst
of the subprime mess are completely missing when it comes to energy
policy.
Expressing frustration about U.S. energy policy and its dependence on
foreign oil at the Yale University CEO Summit last December, Dimon said,
“We need a real energy policy and it’s going to have to include taxing
people on energy so that energy costs stay up and people buy smaller cars
and smaller homes.”
Speaking on a leadership panel at the Centennial Global Business Summit
last October at Harvard University, Dimon also called for higher taxes on
energy. He criticized political leaders for lack of leadership “we
don’t have the fortitude to tax oil, or to tax BTUs” and he proposed
“taxing oil as it's pumped from the ground, rather than simply taxing
gasoline at the pump.”
By calling for tax increases on traditional energy sources, Dimon is
joining the war against fossil fuels while displaying a textbook
description of a limousine liberal.
Most troubling, however, is this: Dimon is using the vast political and
financial resources of JPMorgan to bring his energy policy vision to
reality. (Tom Borelli, Townhall)
British
government schemes to undermine European emissions law - UK officials
want to weaken European proposed laws that would limit the UK's emissions
– but which they say will boost bills and cut supplies
The UK government is lobbying to water down proposed EU legislation to
impose tough new emission limits on power plants in order to guarantee
Britain's energy security and keep down electricity prices.
Whitehall is warning, according a briefing document leaked to green
campaigners and seen by the Guardian, that electricity prices would
increase by 20% if the proposed legislation isn't changed. It is also
concerned that the new rules would threaten the security of the UK's
electricity supply. (The Guardian)
Coal Will Still
Be King - But can capturing and storing it make it climate friendly? -
"Coal plants are factories of death," declared NASA climate
modeler James Hansen in a letter to President Barack Obama and First Lady
Michelle Obama. Last year, Rep. Henry Waxman (D-Calif.), now chairman of
the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, introduced the
"Moratorium on Uncontrolled Power Plants Act of 2008." That bill
would have placed a moratorium on issuing permits for new coal-fired power
plants that don't have the ability to capture and store carbon dioxide
emissions. Since that technology is still being tested, it means that no
new coal-fired power plants would have been permitted. In early 2008,
Obama told the editorial board of the San Francisco Chronicle, "If
somebody wants to build a coal-powered plant, they can. It's just that it
will bankrupt them because they're going to be charged a huge sum for all
that greenhouse gas that's being emitted."
Why the opposition to coal? After all, the U.S. is energy independent with
respect to this resource, with 275 billion tons in proven reserves, which
is more than enough to meet our energy needs for hundreds of years. The
chief problem is that burning coal produces carbon dioxide emissions which
are warming the planet. Burning coal emits 10 percent more carbon dioxide
than oil and 60 percent more than natural gas. (Ronald Bailey, Reason)
The 'it' of which Bailey writes is carbon dioxide, which renders the
entire question moot -- there is simply nothing climate unfriendly about
carbon dioxide. This is such a stupid game.
The
cost of the biofuel boom on Indonesia's forests - The clearing of
Indonesia's rainforest for palm oil plantations is having profound effects
– threatening endangered species, upending the lives of indigenous
people, and releasing massive amounts of carbon dioxide, writes Tom
Knudson from Yale Environment 360, part of the Guardian Environment
Network
Helping
peanut butter heads prevail - Hopefully we won’t have a repeat of
the tomato hysteria of 2008. Not only did widespread misinformation and
continuation of media scares cause a nationwide panic that devastated the
country’s farmers and tomato industry, countless people needlessly
feared a “tomato death.” Many people may still feel a bit of
trepidation about enjoying a tomato salad.
This month, the media hasn’t missed an opportunity to continue to
heighten scares over “tainted” peanut butter. Few consumers have heard
that the source of this outbreak of salmonella (salmonella typhimurium)
has already been traced by epidemiologists at state health departments,
the CDC and FDA to a single food plant in Blakeley, Georgia (Peanut
Corporation of America), which supplies bulk peanut butter ONLY to food
manufacturers and commercial institutions. This plant does not sell
consumer products, like jars of peanut butter.
No national brand of peanut butter is affected. “There is no indication
that any national name brand jars of peanut butter sold in retail stores
are linked to the PCA recall,” states the FDA.
Those jars of peanut butter in your pantry and peanut butter cookies and
PB&Js your mother makes have not been linked in any way to this
outbreak. (Junkfood Science)
Want
to lose weight? Don't count on pills - CHICAGO - Users of Alli, the
first weight-loss drug approved for sale over-the-counter in the United
States, are finding what they likely suspected all along: pills are no
magic substitute for diet and exercise.
Yet as Americans engage in the New Year's tradition of resolving to shed
pounds, the market for diet aids is expected to remain firm, even as the
economy is mired in recession. (Reuters)
Obesity
epidemic shows perils to health reform - CHICAGO - For years, Bob
Clegg's insurance company paid out some $3,000 a month for doctor visits,
drugs and medical devices to treat the health problems caused by his
obesity.
In September 2007, when his weight peaked at 380 pounds (172 kg), he had
gastric bypass surgery, and now his health issues -- joint pain, sleep
apnea and esophageal problems -- have vanished, and so have the medical
bills.
But even though the surgery -- in which the stomach is made smaller and
part of the intestine is bypassed -- has saved his insurance company
money, Clegg, who now weighs 240 pounds (108 kg), had to pay the $20,000
cost out of his own pocket.
"It wasn't until the doctor said my sleep apnea was at a point where
we seriously had to consider a tracheotomy that we talked about gastric
bypass," said Clegg, 54. "The irony is that insurance would pay
for the tracheotomy, but not the surgery." (Reuters)
Reforms
unlikely to defeat obesity - CHICAGO - Even as the Obama
administration recognizes obesity as one of the nation's top health
threats, any efforts to reform the U.S. healthcare system will likely not
go far enough to combat the condition.
"Obesity is one of many competing demands placed on the healthcare
system. It has got our attention, but there just aren't great ideas about
what to do about it," said Eric Finkelstein, a health economist at
RTI International and author of "The Fattening of America: How the
Economy Makes Us Fat."
"It's individual behavioral changes that are needed and that's
difficult to deal with on a federal level," he said. (Reuters)
Trials
for Parents Who Chose Faith Over Medicine - WESTON, Wis. — Kara
Neumann, 11, had grown so weak that she could not walk or speak. Her
parents, who believe that God alone has the ability to heal the sick,
prayed for her recovery but did not take her to a doctor.
After an aunt from California called the sheriff’s department here,
frantically pleading that the sick child be rescued, an ambulance arrived
at the Neumann’s rural home on the outskirts of Wausau and rushed Kara
to the hospital. She was pronounced dead on arrival.
The county coroner ruled that she had died from diabetic ketoacidosis
resulting from undiagnosed and untreated juvenile diabetes. The condition
occurs when the body fails to produce insulin, which leads to severe
dehydration and impairment of muscle, lung and heart function.
“Basically everything stops,” said Dr. Louis Philipson, who directs
the diabetes center at the University of Chicago Medical Center,
explaining what occurs in patients who do not know or “are in denial
that they have diabetes.”
About a month after Kara’s death last March, the Marathon County state
attorney, Jill Falstad, brought charges of reckless endangerment against
her parents, Dale and Leilani Neumann. Despite the Neumanns’ claim that
the charges violated their constitutional right to religious freedom,
Judge Vincent Howard of Marathon County Circuit Court ordered Ms. Neumann
to stand trial on May 14, and Mr. Neumann on June 23. If convicted, each
faces up to 25 years in prison.
“The free exercise clause of the First Amendment protects religious
belief,” the judge wrote in his ruling, “but not necessarily
conduct.” (New York Times)
Sigh... The
fate of Canada's unicorns of the sea - What narwhals can teach us
about the climate change tipping point.
TORONTO — In these heady days of hope and audacity, the fate of some 600
narwhals in Canada’s Arctic has the makings of a cautionary tale.
These unicorns of the northern seas, creatures of legend and imagination,
regularly feed around Baffin Island in Canada’s high north. In late
September they migrate to open waters to escape the encroaching ice.
Last fall, the ice was late in forming so the whales lingered. Then it
formed in a flash, trapping them by late November in rapidly shrinking
breathing holes. Video images showed narwhals jostling to gasp for air,
their spiral tusks jutting out like exhausted pleas for help.
Canadian fisheries officials, convinced the whales were doomed to drown or
die of starvation, allowed the local Inuit to “harvest” the trapped
narwhals. They were shot, harpooned and dragged from the water in a bloody
ritual that lasted days. The meat and muktuk was a boon for the 1,300
Inuit living in Pond Inlet, for whom hunger is a too-common reality.
Animal welfare groups, meanwhile, denounced the slaughter, insisting the
government should have tried to free the whales with an icebreaker. But
the incident’s lessons run deeper.
Canadian officials chalked it up to a “misfortune of nature.”
But Inuit hunters, noting that the last mass trapping of narwhals occurred
75 years ago, blamed global warming. Arctic ice, as numerous scientific
studies tell us, is melting at an accelerated rate. Freezing comes later,
and suddenly. (Sandro Contenta, GlobalPost)
... the last time anyone noticed a mass trapping of narwhals was 75
years ago, so this must be gorebull warming at work.
Early 19th Century
British “Environmentalism” - Environmentalism is the social
movement of the “landed interest” – an interest parallel to that of
neither business nor labour. “Environmentalism” is readily
identifiable in early 19th century Britain. This essay draws from the
best-known writings of the era’s three most influential intellectuals
for a portrait of an anti-democratic, anti-liberal social movement based
in the aristocracy but claiming to represent the masses; a movement
permeated with the ideas of over-population theorist T. Malthus; a
movement benefitting from restricting land supply and suffering from
advancing agricultural technology; that fought a cultural civil war using
literary Romanticism and monkish asceticism; that was militantly
protectionist regarding agriculture; that constrained industrial progress
and spread fear of catastrophe. (William Walter Kay, Environmentalism is
Fascism)
Only
Four Years Left to Save Environmentalism - Another sure sign that
environmentalists are struggling to sustain a rational basis for their
influence emerged last week. The pages of the Observer featured the
opinion of NASA activist/scientist James Hansen in two articles [1 , 2]
and an editorial.
Barack Obama has only four years to save the world. That is the stark
assessment of Nasa scientist and leading climate expert Jim Hansen who
last week warned only urgent action by the new president could halt the
devastating climate change that now threatens Earth. Crucially, that
action will have to be taken within Obama’s first administration, he
added.
Of all the hopes pinned on Obama, ’saving the world’ has to be the
most revealing of the hoper, be it the Observer Journalist, the Observer,
or Hansen.
As we pointed out last Thursday, the environmental movement’s only
leverage is the prospect of catastrophe. It has no popular appeal in any
real sense. So when it appears that governments are ‘on-message’, or
in any way sympathetic to its concerns, the only way to sustain its
undemocratic and unaccountable influence is to escalate the sense of
urgency, or their function will become redundant. (Climate Resistance)
Australian Beef
Association is Totally Opposed to any form of Emissions Trading - The
Concept is Similar to a Gambling Casino Based on Hot Air
ABA Chairman, Brad Bellinger said, “The ABA Board had met last week and
decided to oppose any form of Emissions Trading. He said that the
Australian Government will be acting like speculative fools, if it goes
down a path of trading something that cannot be accurately measured.”
He continued, “Since the 1997 Kyoto Summit, we have seen the UN try to
run a Clean Development Mechanism, - with no success. We have seen the
European Commission try Carbon Permits. They got their sums wrong and the
large power and oil companies made fortunes at governments’ expense. The
people are taxed - as they will be in Australia if we go down this mad
path.”
“We have seen the World’s bankers make complete fools of themselves
and bankrupt millions, as they trade in derivatives, which they haven’t
completely understood. Now, Emissions Trading will be even worse, as
people trade an unmeasurable commodity, as if in a gambling casino run by
the unknowing. To see it even considered as the recession deepens; - makes
one wonder,” Mr Bellinger said. (Carbon Sense Coalition)
January 22, 2009
High Noon Passes:
Global Warming Didn’t Show Up at the Inaugural - Well, the noon
temperature in Washington DC at the President Obama’s swearing-in was 28
degrees F., eight degrees colder than when Bush was sworn in eight years
ago. (Sam Kazman, Cooler Heads)
Ambition
redefined by financial wreckage - Every now and then something
unexpected transforms the political environment. For George W. Bush it was
the September 11 terrorist attacks. For Barack Obama it took place even
before he was sworn in. And it came from an unlikely quarter.
Last week’s report by the normally sub-radar Congressional Budget Office
projecting a $1,200bn deficit for 2009 and $1,000bn fiscal deficits as far
as the eye can see, sent shock waves through Washington, which look set to
redefine what is possible for most of Mr Obama’s first term.
Just a few weeks earlier – and even amid the growing wreckage of the
deepening US recession – Mr Obama’s transition team still felt
confident enough to signal that they saw the financial meltdown as an
opportunity to push through a “big bang” package of election promises.
These included a decisive move towards universal healthcare, enactment of
a “cap and trade” system to tackle global warming and big new
investments in education, infrastructure, scientific research, and
expanding the size of the US military. Then the CBO dropped its fiscal
bombshell.
Suddenly the crisis threatened to overwhelm everything. “Do not
underestimate the deep psychological impact the CBO numbers have had on
Washington,” says Bill Galston, a leading scholar of US politics and
former Clinton White House official. “All of a sudden, it has become the
gatekeeper of what is possible. If something fails the fiscal test, then
it doesn’t look very possible any more.” (Edward Luce, Financial
Times)
Obama
demands action to tackle "a warming planet" - "We will
harness the sun and the winds and the soil to fuel our cars and run our
factories"
President Obama delivered some broad promises for environmentalists and
green businesses in his inauguration speech yesterday, referring to the
challenge presented by global warming and explicitly highlighting
renewable energy as one of the key components of his administration's
economic stimulus package.
In a speech heavy on symbolism, President Obama focused on the hard road
ahead for both America and the wider world. He committed to "roll
back the spectre of a warming planet," striking a strong contrast
with his predecessor, whose administration repeatedly quashed reports
confirming global warming fears, worked to stop regulators from using
existing legislation to combat climate change, and refused to sign up to
international agreements to curb carbon emissions. (Danny Bradbury and Tom
Young, BusinessGreen)
President Obama
Already Addressing Global Warming - Anyone who lives in the nation’s
capital knows that it has been FREEZING, with well below average
temperatures. Even today, inauguration day, started out with the wind
chill in single digits. It’s good to know that the president already is
seeking to fulfill his promise to halt global warming. After all, as
candidate Barack Obama told us in his June speech celebrating having
locked up the Democratic Party nomination. (Doug Bandow, CEI Open Market)
Beyond
Belief - Despite years of media bombardment about the imminent dangers
of global warming, the alarmists are losing ground. Fewer Americans are
buying into the myth. (IBD)
Anxiety
Grows in Global Warming Alarmist Camp - Heartland Institute media
monitors have noted on several occasions that climate-change alarmists are
finding it increasingly difficult to maintain their position that human
activity has warmed Earth to crisis proportions.
Polar bears keep growing in numbers, Antarctic ice keeps expanding,
deserts keep receding, temperatures keep easing, the ranks of science
skeptics keep multiplying. It's tough to scare people with that kind of
sound-science evidence.
Now the folk at DeSmogblog - created like so many alarmist sites for the
sole purpose of attacking conservatives, libertarians and global warming
skeptics - is getting really worried. (Heartland Institute)
An
Obvious Double Standard Adopted By The AGU Publication EOS - In the
January 20, 2009 issue of the AGU publication EOS, there is Feature
article by P.T. Doran and M. K. Zimmerman titled “Examining the
Scientific Consensus on Climate Change”. (Roger Pielke Sr., Climate
Science)
Predicted
Climate Cooling - Another Example Of Overstating Our Understanding Of
Climate Science - There have been claims that the Earth is entering
period of strong climate cooling; e.g. see Earth
on the Brink of an Ice Age
Such predictions of cooling, however, are no more substantiated by
skillful validated predictions of this cooling, than are the IPCC
predictions of more-or-less uniform global warming. (Roger Pielke Sr.,
Climate Science)
We've already warned everyone to treat the Pravda item with extreme
caution - this is what we said 10 days ago:
This item was also submitted to JunkScience.com by Fegel, an
author unknown to us but apparently from Portland, Oregon. He appears to
be a frequent contributor to Pravda and has anti-American, anti-Israeli
rants scattered about the web, sometimes under the handle "cloudmessenger".
His scientific credentials, if any, are unknown.
Predictions are very hard to make -- especially about the future, as
Yogi Berra is reported to have said. This is particularly true where
climate is concerned and we can not predict future temperature trends.
Increasing
Atmospheric CO2: Manmade…or Natural? - I’ve usually accepted the
premise that increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations are due
to the burning of fossil fuels by humans. After all, human emissions
average around twice that which is needed to explain the observed rate of
increase in the atmosphere. In other words, mankind emits more than enough
CO2 to explain the observed increase in the atmosphere.
Furthermore, the ratio of the C13 isotope of carbon to the normal C12 form
in atmospheric CO2 has been observed to be decreasing at the same time CO2
has been increasing. Since CO2 produced by fossil fuel burning is depleted
in C13 (so the argument goes) this also suggests a manmade source.
But when we start examining the details, an anthropogenic explanation for
increasing atmospheric CO2 becomes less obvious. (Roy W. Spencer)
Blair
calls for 2020 carbon targets for developed world - Former prime
minister argues that setting "interim targets" for 2020 at
Copenhagen later this year would show emerging economies the West is
serious about cutting emissions
Former prime minister Tony Blair today closed the World Future Energy
Summit in Abu Dhabi by calling on the developed world to agree to tough
"interim" carbon emission targets for 2020 at climate change
talks in Copenhagen later this year.
Blair said that while all countries the bulk of the obligation for
ensuring that target is met should fall on developed economies, and as
such they should demonstrate their commitment to tackling climate change
by signing up to a separate interim target for 2020.
He argued that "an interim target for the developed world would send
a clear signal" to emerging economies that the West is willing to
invest in cutting emissions, making it easier for negotiators to convince
large emerging economies such as China and India to sign up to the
agreement.
Blair did not say at what level the interim targets should be set, but any
discussion on the topic that does take place in Copenhagen is likely to be
based on the EU's commitment to cut emissions by 20 per cent on 1990
levels by 2020. (Tom Young, BusinessGreen)
Sell-off
forces EU carbon to record lows - EUAs hits record low of €11.60 as
watchers warn market has "detached" from oil prices
The price of carbon credits in the EU's emissions trading scheme reached a
record low for the current phase of the scheme of just €11.60 as many of
the large scale emitters covered by the scheme continued to offload their
EUA carbon credits.
The price of EUAs has been on a steady slide since the start of the year
when they stood just shy of €16 a tonne and market watchers are
concerned that the price of carbon is no longer tracking oil prices.
Rising oil prices typically lead to an increase in the price of carbon, as
they tend to result in energy producers switching from gas to more carbon
intensive coal – a scenario that leads to increased demand for carbon
credits.
However, the price of carbon has failed to track recent fluctuations in
the oil price, prompting fears that any increase in demand for credits
from energy companies arising from changes in the oil price is being
outweighed by the on-going sell off of credits amongst heavy industries
fearful that the recession will lead to reduced production levels. (James
Murray, BusinessGreen)
Khosla
shuns CCS in favour of coal-to-cement - Leading Silicon Valley venture
capitalist touts new technology capable of turning waste CO2 into building
cement
A new breed of carbon capture technologies capable of turning CO2
emissions into cement could soon provide a cost effective alternative to
high profile, but as yet unproven, carbon capture and storage (CCS)
systems, according to one of the world's leading clean tech venture
capitalist.
Speaking at the World Future Energy Summit in Abu Dhabi today, Vinod
Khosla, a leading silicon valley venture capitalist who in recent years
has become a major investor in clean technologies, said that CCS
technologies were simply too expensive to achieve mainstream adoption and
as such more cost effective alternatives are required.
"I believe CCS is too expensive and so we are looking at a technology
that turns CO2 into cement building materials," he said, adding that
he had invested an undisclosed sum in California-based Calera, a company
that pioneers CO2-to-cement technology.
Calera has been in stealth mode for a number of years, its website stating
only that it is "dedicated to reversing global warming and ocean
acidification by trapping the greenhouse gas, carbon dioxide, in the built
environment".
However, the company has now provided fresh details of its plan to pull
carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere and sequester it in cement that can
be used as a building material. (Tom Young, BusinessGreen)
Almost funny: Warming
in Antarctica Looks Certain - Antarctica is warming.
That is the conclusion of scientists analyzing half a century of
temperatures on the continent, and the findings may help resolve a climate
enigma at the bottom of the planet.
Some regions of Antarctica, particularly the peninsula that stretches
toward South America, have warmed rapidly in recent years, contributing to
the disintegration of ice shelves and accelerating the sliding of
glaciers. But weather stations in other locations, including the one at
the South Pole, have recorded a cooling trend. That ran counter to the
forecasts of computer climate models, and global warming skeptics have
pointed to Antarctica in questioning the reliability of the models.
In the new study, scientists took into account satellite measurements to
interpolate temperatures in the vast areas between the sparse weather
stations.
“We now see warming is taking place on all seven of the earth’s
continents in accord with what models predict as a response to greenhouse
gases,” said Eric J. Steig, a professor of earth and space sciences at
the University of Washington in Seattle, who is the lead author of a paper
to be published Thursday in the journal Nature. (New York Times)
This is the lower-troposphere
time series for the southern polar region and this is the mid-troposphere.
Warming is conspicuous by its absence.
And this tells you pretty much all you need to know about the
'study':
In this Letter, we use statistical climate-field-reconstruction
techniques to obtain a 50-year-long, spatially complete estimate of
monthly Antarctic temperature anomalies. In essence, we use the spatial
covariance structure of the surface temperature field to guide
interpolation of the sparse but reliable 50-year-long records of 2-m
temperature from occupied weather stations. Although it has been
suggested that such interpolation is unreliable owing to the distances
involved, large spatial scales are not inherently problematic if there
is high spatial coherence, as is the case in continental Antarctica.
From this (and a couple of dozen mostly coastal measuring sites) they
claim they have teased out a West Antarctic warming of approximately one
one-hundredth of one degree per year. Most impressive is that Nature
felt it worth publishing. Speaks volumes, really.
Follow
Up On Today’s AP Article By Seth Borenstein Entitled “Study:
Antarctica Joins Rest Of Globe In Warming” - An AP
article was released today which reports on a Nature paper on a
finding of warming over much of Antarctica. I was asked by Seth Borenstein
to comment on the paper (which he sent to me). I have been critical of his
reporting in the past, but except for the title of the article (which as I
understand is created by others), he presented a balanced summary of the
study. (Roger Pielke Sr., Climate Science)
Termite
Insecticide Found to be Potent Greenhouse Gas - An insecticide used to
fumigate termite-infested buildings is a strong greenhouse gas that lives
in the atmosphere nearly 10 times longer than previously thought, UC
Irvine research has found.
Sulfuryl fluoride, UCI chemists discovered, stays in the atmosphere at
least 30-40 years and perhaps as long as 100 years. Prior studies
estimated its atmospheric lifetime at as low as five years, grossly
underestimating the global warming potential.
The fact that sulfuryl fluoride exists for decades – coupled with
evidence that levels have nearly doubled in the last six years –
concerns study authors Mads Sulbaek Andersen, Donald Blake and Nobel
Laureate F. Sherwood Rowland, who discovered that chlorofluorocarbons in
aerosol cans and other products damage the ozone layer. That finding led
to a worldwide ban on CFCs. (A to Z of Clean Technology)
If we were them we wouldn't remind anyone about the CFC
farce, since it's about as bad as 'science' gets.
Do More Greenhouse
Gases Raise The Earth’s Temperature? - "Do More Greenhouse
Gases Raise The Earth’s Temperature? That is the critical climate
question and the one that I have agonised over most because even if human
CO2 only increased the global air temperature permanently by a small
amount then over a long enough period of time the effect would accumulate
and could be dangerous." (Stephen Wilde, Co2sceptic)
Blame
Corn Harvesters For The Crash Of Flight 1549 - CHURCHVILLE VA—Did
global warming dump U.S. Airways flight 1549 into the Hudson River by
attracting more geese to New York airports? Time Magazine says yes. Time
notes a four-fold increase in airplane bird strikes since 1990, and blames
global warming and destruction of wild bird habitat for the increased
collisions.
Time reached the wrong conclusion. Research indicates we should blame the
prosaic corn harvester—and perhaps our attempt to expand corn production
for biofuels. Canada geese numbers have increased five-fold since 1970 for
one overwhelming reason —farmers’ expanding use of those big corn
picker-shellers. The big bright-colored harvesters now roar across the
fields every autumn, picking the ears and shelling the corn kernels. With
millions of tons of loose corn, some inevitably trickles to the ground,
where the geese cheerfully snack it up. (Dennis T. Avery, CGFI)
Green
energy tariffs to get cheaper - Good Energy announces it is to cut
green tariff by 7.5 per cent on back of falling wholesale electricity
prices
One of the UK's leading providers of green energy has today announced that
it is to cut its tariffs and predicted that other providers could soon
follow suit.
Good Energy said that will cut its standard electricity and gas tariffs
for both business and domestic customers by 7.5 per cent from the end of
this month. The company said that the move would save the average domestic
dual fuel customer £62 a year.
Juliet Davenport, chief executive of Good Energy, said that the company
was due to start paying less for its renewable power in 2009 and was now
looking to pass that saving on to customers.
The drop in renewable energy prices has been prompted by cuts in wholesale
electricity prices, which have fallen around 40 per cent from last year's
peaks as a result of plummeting oil and gas prices. (James Murray,
BusinessGreen)
Britain
under fire for failing to join renewable energy league - Britain's
attempts to position itself as a centre for the green power industry
suffered a blow today when it emerged that ministers have refused to
commit the country to a new international body set up to promote renewable
power.
The German environment secretary, who came up with the idea for the
International Renewable Energy Agency, said he was disappointed countries
such as the UK and America were dragging their feet. (The Guardian)
UN-backed
body confirms plans for global aviation emissions cap - Top
International Civil Aviation Organisation official says inclusion of
aviation in European emissions trading scheme will not affect plans for
global cap-and-trade scheme
The UN-backed International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) last week
confirmed it is pressing ahead with plans for an international carbon
emissions cap-and-trade scheme for the aviation industry, despite the
emergence of a growing number of potentially rival regional schemes.
Speaking at a meeting of global transport ministers in Tokyo, Roberto
Kobeh Gonzalez, president of the ICAO's Council, told news agency Reuters
that EU proposals to include aviation in its regional emissions trading
scheme (ETS) would not derail the organisation's plans to build a
framework that could underpin a global scheme.
The EU's plans have attracted plenty of criticism from the aviation
industry, which fears that the potential inclusion of airlines in regional
trading schemes, such as the EU scheme and planned similar initiatives in
Australia, South Korea and the US, would increase costs and create a
skewed competitive landscape that penalises those airlines operating in
certain territories.
US airlines have already threatened to take legal action against the EU
scheme, while The Association of Asia-Pacific Airlines has also voiced
concerns over a scheme it believes would adversely affect long-haul
flights from Asia. (James Murray, BusinessGreen)
Exclusive:
UK government poised to set out CCS rules - Top official reveals
definition on what constitutes a "carbon capture ready" power
station is just weeks away
The UK government will make an announcement in the next few weeks on what
power companies must do to ensure their plants are ready to be fitted with
Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) in the future, completing the groundwork
for the long-anticipated decision on whether to approve plans for a new
generation of coal-fired power stations.
Speaking to BusinessGreen.com on the sidelines of the World Future Energy
Summit in Abu Dhabi, Bronwen Northmore, director of cleaner fossil fuels
policy in the UK's Department of Energy and Climate Change, said that a
decision on what constitutes a "carbon capture ready" plant was
in the pipeline.
"We've been consulting on capture readiness in the past few months
and we'll be making a policy announcement in the next few weeks," she
said.
The government has said previously that it will only grant approval for
new coal-fired power plants, including the proposed plant at Kingsnorth
Kent if they are "carbon capture ready". (Tom Young,
BusinessGreen)
Why
it's time to throw some light on the energy efficient lighting row -
With the Daily Mail attempting to whip up opposition to energy saving
light bulbs, many businesses would be forgiven for asking if green bulbs
really are such a good idea. BusinessGreen.com trains its spotlight on a
surprisingly complex debate
The Daily Mail campaign against the removal of incandescent bulbs from UK
shops earlier this month ricocheted through the media, generating comments
and criticisms from all sides of the debate and leaving consumers and
businesses in a state of confusion as to where the truth lies in this
complex topic.
After all, as The Guardian pointed out with glee, only a year ago The Mail
had been running enthusiastic free giveaways of the very bulbs they were
now criticising.
So where does the truth really lie? Are energy efficient Compact
Fluorescent Lights (CFL) a cost-saving no brainer, or as The Mail claims
are they an inferior product to traditional alternatives with added health
risks thrown in?
Let's start with the big picture. (John May, BusinessGreen)
Struggling
Schwarzenegger eyes enviro rule roll back - California governor angers
environmental groups with proposal to ditch green planning rules in order
to accelerate job-creating infrastructure projects
Tensions are rising between environmental groups and California's Governor
Schwarzenegger as he seeks to rein in environmental protection measures in
an attempt to kickstart the economy.
Schwarzenegger has built himself a reputation as a world leader on
tackling climate change and has imposed some of the most stringent green
regulations anywhere in the US since he took office.
However, his state's budget crisis is now so severe that some reports
claim the government will run out of money next month - a scenario that
prompted Schwarzenegger to write to President-Elect Obama earlier this
month, asking him to "Waive or greatly streamline National
Environmental Protection Act (NEPA) requirements consistent with our
statutory proposals to modify the California Environment Quality Act (CEQA)
for transportation projects".
CEQA demands that an environmental review is undertaken before any project
requiring Government approval can go ahead.
The move was seized upon by green groups as evidence that the Governor was
seeking to roll back important environmental protections in an attempt to
accelerate state capital investment projects. (Danny Bradbury,
BusinessGreen)
Industry
Scrambling to Comply with Child Safety Act - The children’s book
industry is currently dealing with a new and pressing challenge that is
threatening publishers, bookstores, libraries and schools. It’s not the
economy or school spending or reading rates—it is a recent act of
Congress, which has blindsided the industry with the implementation of
stiff safety standards on all children’s products, and whose application
to books is vague. It has left many publishers, retailers and industry
groups scrambling to interpret the law and determine what kinds of
compliance will be required, and at what cost. (Karen Raugust, Publishers
Weekly)
Government
scientific adviser: GM may help feed growing population - Bob Watson
to argue research is needed to determine whether GM crops can help feed
growing population in world affected by climate change
One of the government's chief scientific advisers will wade into the
debate on genetically modified (GM) foods later today, by arguing that
they could make a valuable contribution to feeding the growing global
population as the climate continues to change.
Speaking as part of a debate on the role of GM to mark the opening of the
Science Museum's new Future Foods exhibition, Bob Watson, chief scientific
adviser at Defra, will make the case for further scientific trials to
gauge the risks and benefits GM crops could deliver.
"People are asking how we will be able to feed the world’s growing
population during a time of dangerous climate change," he will say.
"While GM food is clearly not the whole answer, it may contribute
through improved crop traits such as temperature, drought, pest and
salinity tolerance. Hence additional scientific studies will allow us to
assess the risks and benefits."
The comments will be roundly condemned by many green groups which have
long opposed so-called "frankenfoods" and in some cases even
taken direct action to disrupt scientific trials for GM crops.
However, advocates of GM are increasingly arguing that modified crops with
improved yields may represent one of the most effective means of feeding a
growing population, avoiding the need to resort to yet more intensive
agricultural techniques and further deforestation. (James Murray,
BusinessGreen)
January 21, 2009
Oh dear... 9
Ways NASA Can Tackle Climate Change - Scientists tell Pres. Barack
Obama how the space agency could help solve the world's number one problem
NASA could be one of the nation's most potent weapons in battling climate
change. The space agency has conducted decades of research into weather,
life-support systems and the atmospheres of other planets providing it
with unique skills to address this problem.
It would be easy for policymakers to overlook NASA as they map out a
strategy for solving Earth's biggest environmental woes. But here are some
important reasons why they shouldn't. (SciAm)
... gathering data from space is a worthwhile enterprise only
if you do something useful with it. That does not include proliferating
hysterical nonsense about gorebull warming.
Bizarrely, NASA's GISS does not use satellite data to
guesstimate global temperature but prefers to perform voodoo
incantations over appallingly corrupt near-surface amalgams.
One should wonder why a space agency declines to use data sourced at
least partly from its own satellites, data virtually free of urban heat
island contamination and with the greatest and most uniform global
coverage by far, while promoting its space-borne observation platforms
as a solution to a problem like enhanced greenhouse when its space-borne
platforms demonstrate observed atmospheric trends can not possibly be
due to enhanced greenhouse in the first place.
Met
Office forecasts a supercomputer embarrassment - A new £33m machine
purchased to calculate how climate change will affect Britain, has a giant
carbon footprint of its own
For the Met Office the forecast is considerable embarrassment. It has
spent £33m on a new supercomputer to calculate how climate change will
affect Britain – only to find the new machine has a giant carbon
footprint of its own.
“The new supercomputer, which will become operational later this year,
will emit 14,400 tonnes of CO2 a year,” said Dave Britton, the Met
Office’s chief press officer. This is equivalent to the CO2 emitted by
2,400 homes – generating an average of six tonnes each a year. (The
Times)
What
happened to the climate consensus? - CAN we all agree – yet – that
the issue is settled?
Scientists DON’T all agree the planet is warming precipitously, or that
humans are responsible for that supposed warming. In fact, more and more
experts in a number of fields have been speaking up to challenge the
supposed scientific "consensus" on climate change.
As the headlines scream out the latest sensational warning – a NASA
scientist now predicts U.S. President-elect Barack Obama has just four
years to save the planet – let’s not forget that last month, more than
650 international scientists went on record as dissenting from the
man-made global warming findings of the United Nations Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (Chronicle Herald)
Lawrence
Solomon: Obama’s America — a denier nation - Americans will have
two messages for Barack Obama at his inauguration today: We love you but
don’t blame us for climate change.
In a national survey released on the eve of Obama’s inauguration by
Rasmussen Reports, the U.S. polling company, a majority of Americans —
51% — now believe that humans are not the predominant cause of climate
change. Only 41% blame humans and 9% aren’t sure. Just one month ago,
the same pollster found that just 43% of Americans let us humans off the
hook while 46% blamed humans and 11% were not sure. Last July, fully 50%
blamed humans. (Financial Post)
Certainly worth featuring again: The
Contradictions of the Garnaut Report - The present world financial
crisis has seen the great economist John Maynard Keynes making a comeback,
with even a fiscal conservative like Kevin Rudd espousing Keynesian
deficit finance. Keynes is also remembered for his remark that “madmen
in authority, who hear voices in the air, are distilling their frenzy from
some academic scribbler of a few years back”. That is an apt description
of the climate change mantras that led to the appointment of the Garnaut
Review, and the Review’s Final Report itself exhibits frenzy distilled
from not a few scribblers of the past, including Malthus, Jevons and
Arrhenius of the nineteenth century, Paul Ehrlich, the Club of Rome and
the IPCC’s John Houghton of the last century, not forgetting James
Hansen (of the Goddard Institute of Space Studies) and his acolyte Al
Gore.
Ehrlich and the Club of Rome confidently predicted exhaustion of all
mineral resources by 2000 if not before, and the Garnaut Report merely
extends the final date to 2100. Malthus earned fame with his theory that
while population grows “geometrically”, for example by doubling every
twenty-five years (we would say exponentially) food production grows only
“arithmetically”, that is, by the same absolute amount in every time
period.
Arrhenius took over this formulation in his celebrated paper of 1896 that
remains the cornerstone of the anthropogenic global warming (or climate
change) movement, by asserting that while atmospheric carbon dioxide
“increases in geometric progression, augmentation of the temperature
will increase in nearly arithmetic progression”. Arrhenius won a real
Nobel for proceeding to calculate that if carbon dioxide increased by 50
per cent from the level in 1896, global average temperature would increase
by between 2.9 and 3.7 degrees, depending on season, latitude and
hemisphere, with a global annual mean of 3.42 degrees. The level of carbon
dioxide has nearly increased by 50 per cent since 1896—faster it is true
than Arrhenius expected—but global temperature according to the Goddard
Institute has increased by just 0.73 degrees. (Tim Curtin, Quadrant)
You
Say It Best When You Say Nothing at All - Before Seth Borenstein tells
the woolly kids at SEJ how to spin this
claim, take a quick look at what it does and does not say.
While the harsh winter pounding many areas of North America and Europe
seemingly contradicts the fact that global warming continues unabated, a
new survey finds consensus among scientists about the reality of climate
change and its likely cause. A group of 3,146 earth scientists surveyed
around the world overwhelmingly agree that in the past 200-plus years,
mean global temperatures have been rising, and that human activity is a
significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures. . .
.
In trying to overcome criticism of earlier attempts to gauge the view of
earth scientists on global warming and the human impact factor, Doran and
Kendall Zimmerman sought the opinion of the most complete list of earth
scientists they could find, contacting more than 10,200 experts around the
world listed in the 2007 edition of the American Geological Institute's
Directory of Geoscience Departments. Experts in academia and government
research centers were e-mailed invitations to participate in the on-line
poll conducted by the website questionpro.com. Only those invited could
participate and computer IP addresses of participants were recorded and
used to prevent repeat voting. Questions used were reviewed by a polling
expert who checked for bias in phrasing, such as suggesting an answer by
the way a question was worded. . . .
Two questions were key: have mean global temperatures risen compared to
pre-1800s levels, and has human activity been a significant factor in
changing mean global temperatures. About 90 percent of the scientists
agreed with the first question and 82 percent the second. In analyzing
responses by sub-groups, Doran found that climatologists who are active in
research showed the strongest consensus on the causes of global warming,
with 97 percent agreeing humans play a role. Petroleum geologists and
meteorologists were among the biggest doubters, with only 47 and 64
percent respectively believing in human involvement.
Any details about what was actually asked would be enlightening, because,
at least as reported, the prompt-and-response prima facie actually
say nothing (“human activity,” “a role,” “involvement”), and
are already being spun as saying everything (that the very authors find
this necessary tells you what you need to know about the results’
worth). Despite much pre-buttal in the release about the integrity of the
questions, the actual questions were not provided. Surely they will be in
the journal article when published. (Chris Horner, Planet Gore)
Comments
On Real Climate’s Post “FAQ on climate models: Part II” - Real
Climate has a weblog titled “FAQ
on climate models: Part II”.
Climate Science has a response to several of the questions that are posed
there as well as questions for Gavin Schmidt [who wrote the Real Climate
Q&A]. Climate Science has already posted on Part I of the Real Climate
FAQs; see Real
Climate Misunderstanding Of Climate Models, which Gavin has either not
seen, or cared to respond to. In either case, he continues to incorrectly
communicate important aspects of modeling on Real Climate. (Roger Pielke
Sr., Climate Science)
The
Politics of Big Science - As the federal government has inserted
itself into the sciences, the underlying principles of science research
and conduct have been damaged. The conduct of science, the conduct of many
scientists, and the standards of evidence in science, has declined over
decades. It is not limited to the ongoing global warming scandal but
certainly includes it. (Michael R. Fox, Hawaii Reporter)
What
the Solar Cycle 24 ramp up could look like - Guest post by David
Archibald
With respect to the month of minimum, it is very likely that Solar Cycle
24 has started simply because Solar Cycle 23 has run out. Most solar
cycles stop producing spots at about nineteen years after solar maximum of
the previous cycle. Solar Cycle 23 had its genesis with the magnetic
reversal at the Solar Cycle 22 maximum. As the graph above shows, Solar
Cycle 23 is now 19 years old. Only 9% of the named solar cycles produced
spots after this. (Watts Up with That?)
Jones et al 2009: Studies
Not "Independent" - One of the ongoing Team mantras has been
that the Mann hockey stick has been supported by a "dozen independent
studies". Obviously, I've disputed the claim that these studies are
"independent" in any non-cargo cult use of the term
"independent". A new article by Jones and multiple coauthors
(Holocene 2009) comments on this issue. (Steve McIntyre, Climate Audit)
realclimate and
Disinformation on UHI - In a recent CNN interview discussed at RC
here, Joe D'Aleo said:
Those global data sets are contaminated by the fact that two-thirds of
the globe's stations dropped out in 1990. Most of them rural and they
performed no urban adjustment. And, Lou, you know, and the people in your
studio know that if they live in the suburbs of New York City, it's a lot
colder in rural areas than in the city. Now we have more urban effect in
those numbers reflecting — that show up in that enhanced or exaggerated
warming in the global data set.
Gavin Schmidt excoriated this claim as follows:
D'Aleo is misdirecting through his teeth here. … he also knows that
urban heat island effects are corrected for in the surface records, and he
also knows that this doesn't effect ocean temperatures, and that the
station dropping out doesn't affect the trends at all (you can do the same
analysis with only stations that remained and it makes no difference).
Pure disinformation. (Steve McIntyre, Climate Audit)
New CO2 Truth-Alert: Elevated
CO2: How Sweet it is ... for Sugarcane!
Click
here to watch short videos on various global warming topics. Embed any
Truth Alert video on your own web page or to watch it on YouTube in a
higher resolution.
New Major Report
CO2,
Global Warming and Coral Reefs: Prospects for the Future: The ongoing
rise in the air's CO2 content has been predicted to
play havoc with earth's coral reefs in two different ways: (1) by
stimulating global warming, which has been predicted to dramatically
enhance coral bleaching, and (2) by lowering the calcium carbonate
saturation state of seawater, which has been predicted to reduce coral
calcification rates. We evaluate the likelihood of such claims in a new
major review paper.
Editorial
Coral Reefs and
Climate Change: Unproved Assumptions: What are they? ... and what do
they suggest about climate-alarmist claims relating to the future of
earth's corals?
Medieval
Warm Period Record of the Week
Was there a Medieval Warm Period? YES, according to data
published by 657
individual scientists from 384
separate research institutions in 40
different countries ... and counting! This issue's Medieval Warm
Period Record of the Week comes from New
Zealand's Western South Island. To access the entire Medieval Warm
Period Project's database, click
here.
Subject Index Summary
Temperature
(Urbanization Effects - North America): What have we learned about the
urban heat island effect from data obtained in North America?
Plant Growth Data
This week we add new results (blue background) of plant growth responses
to atmospheric CO2 enrichment obtained from
experiments described in the peer-reviewed scientific literature for: Corn,
Epilithic
Lichen, Petunia,
and Sugar
Maple/Quaking Aspen.
Journal Reviews
Floods of the
Mississippi River System: What has caused the majority of them in
modern times?
High-Flow and
Flood Trends of UK Rivers: Are their magnitudes increasing, as climate
alarmists suggest they should be?
Erosive Rainfall
Anomalies of Southern Italy: How have they responded to earth's
"unprecedented" modern warmth?
A Century of
Parana River Streamflow Data: To the beat of what drummer does the
river's flow rate rise and fall?
Soil Microbial
Respiration: How does it respond to rising temperatures?
(co2science.org)
Oil Prices
and Oil Demand: The Need For Stable Prices - In reality, we can
recognize peaks and valleys only after the fact. For example, looking back
we can see the “dot com” bubble, or spike, that occurred in the year
2000. The NASDAQ, currently at about 1,500, reached 5,000, a level that
will probably not be seen again for decades, if ever.
Similarly, due to the recent rapid price decline, we can now look back at
the oil price bubble, or spike. Between early 2007 and late 2008, oil
futures rose from about $50 per barrel to about $150 per bbl and then fell
to less than $50. This brief duration of high prices appears more like a
spike than a bubble.
The brief duration of the spike gives us an unusual opportunity to learn
something of the lag time that exists between a change in price and the
resulting impact on demand. While no rigorous study of the lag time is
possible because of the dynamic nature of the various economic factors at
work, we can get some sense of this element by comparing the demand data
with the price performance. This comparison is shown in the following
graph. (William R. Edwards, Energy Tribune)
Oil Price
Over $100, in a Blink - The Cassandras are out in force these days.
Some are true believers. Others are masochistic oil men. They claim that
the recent price of oil -- at almost $150 -- was a “spike” fomented by
speculators. And now that the oil price is down, it will never go over
$100 again, it may even go down to $10 or it will stay at $30, forever.
Some of these analysts have written for this publication. How US-based
speculators, as blamed by a recent TV show, can cause the wild ride
towards $150 oil, is mystifying. This was supposed to happen while world
oil consumption was more than four times that of the US. Big, bad oil is
no longer blamed for the price hike?
The analysts are right on one thing. There was never really a rational
reason for $150 oil. Headlines ruled and speculators did ride them. But
oil at $40 is also irrational, fed by headlines about the economic crisis.
There are three main reasons why oil cannot stay at $40 or even $70.
(Michael J. Economides, Energy Tribune)
Coal
industry 'at risk with no cash support' under carbon reduction scheme
- THE $60 billion coal industry is at risk without greater support for
clean coal, the Opposition warned yesterday after the nation's only
commercial project in the field said it would be unviable under the
proposed emissions trading scheme.
The Australian revealed yesterday that ZeroGen had warned Resources
Minister Martin Ferguson that the Rudd Government's carbon pollution
reduction scheme would be a "significant barrier" to the
development of clean coal.
ZeroGen is understood to have laid off or redeployed staff from its
corporate division recently. The company would not comment yesterday, but
said in a statement there had been "no reductions from project
staffing, and none are planned".
Gas suppliers say they can provide cleaner energy than conventional
coal-fired electricity for less than renewables if clean coal is delayed.
Coal industry sources warned of a bleak future without greater support for
clean coal research. (The Australian)
Abu
Dhabi has second thoughts about London Array and wind power - Fresh
doubts have emerged over Britain’s plans for a huge expansion of
offshore wind power after Abu Dhabi said yesterday that it was
reconsidering the viability of a £3 billion scheme to build the world’s
largest offshore wind park in the Thames Estuary.
The London Array project, a plan to build 341 turbines with the capacity
to generate 1,000 megawatts of electricity – more than that produced by
most of the nuclear reactors in Britain – has been in trouble since last
May, when Shell pulled out of the project, citing spiralling costs. (The
Times)
Give them money to employ people to do nothing useful? Wind
Power Jobs To Double In EU By 2020 - BRUSSELS - Employment in the wind
power industry will more than double in the European Union to around
330,000 in 2020, according to a report issued on Tuesday.
The European Wind Energy Association (EWEA) also called for greater
investment in the renewable energy sector as governments seek to stimulate
economic recovery.
"Wind power not only has the potential to satisfy the increasing
electricity demand in a sustainable manner, it is also a significant and
vital stimulus to economies," EWEA Chief Executive Christian Kjaer
said. (Reuters)
Electric
cars will need lots of financial support - report - Electric cars have
a big role to play in reducing the world's greenhouse gas emissions, but
it's going to cost a lot, according to a new report. It could even push
automakers into further trouble.
For electric and hybrid vehicles to achieve their environmental potential,
the world's governments will need to step in with high levels of financial
support for consumers and industry, according to a report by the Boston
Consulting Group, a management consulting firm. And the cost savings in
fuel won't be nearly enough to provide the incentive without that
government cash.
Electric vehicles could realistically make up a significant fraction of
the world's car market in the foreseeable future, but not nearly a
majority, according to BCG. "The costs of creating an automotive
market dominated by electric and hybrid cars are prohibitively high,"
said the report. (CNNMoney.com)
We
are all now abnormal and all shall have a pill - No, it’s not your
imagination. They really said that.
As news media reported (verbatim from the press release), a new study
published in the American Heart Journal found that nearly two-thirds of
patients admitted to hospitals for heart attacks and cardiovascular events
had low LDL-cholesterol levels, indicating they were not at high risk for
heart problems. Yet — in another extraordinary example of ad-hoc
reasoning — the authors concluded that since most heart attacks are
occurring in people with low cholesterol levels, that this provided
support for lowering the LDL-cholesterol goals even further. (Junkfood
Science)
Inaugural
edition of Grand Rounds - Grand Rounds, a weekly gathering of the best
medical blog articles hosted by a different blogger every Tuesday, is now
up at MedPageToday. In this issue, medical bloggers writing “from the
trenches” submitted a wide range of ideas for healthcare reform. They've
been compiled into the top ten suggestions to policy makers in Washington.
(Junkfood Science)
From
mad to worse - Christopher Booker reports yet
another case of hapless toilers, who have had their livelihoods taken
from them by bureaucratic theft, and then been turned into criminals for
trying to carry on their forefathers’ trade of centuries. What they did
was perfectly reasonable to an unbiased observer. They caught hake, which
were plentiful, and sold them for food. Remarkably, in fact, it is not
even a crime any more. They were forced by poverty into trying to disguise
the fact that they were carrying out what has always been perfectly
legitimate trade. And what about that judge? The judiciary sit on their
large stipends and more than comfortable pensions, telling people on the
breadline, who have had their livings taken by legitimised theft, that
they are acting out of greed. And can it really be true that the fishermen
themselves “were not permitted to speak in their own defence.” Is this
what has become of British justice, to say nothing of natural justice?
(John Brignell, Number Watch)
January 20, 2009
Interesting... 44%
Say Global Warming Due To Planetary Trends, Not People - Al Gore’s
side may be coming to power in Washington, but they appear to be losing
the battle on the idea that humans are to blame for global warming.
Forty-four percent (44%) of U.S. voters now say long-term planetary trends
are the cause of global warming, compared to 41% who blame it on human
activity.
Seven percent (7%) attribute global warming to some other reason, and nine
percent (9%) are unsure in a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone
survey.
Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Democrats blame global warming on human
activity, compared to 21% percent of Republicans. Two-thirds of GOP voters
(67%) see long-term planetary trends as the cause versus 23% of Democrats.
Voters not affiliated with either party by eight points put the blame on
planetary trends.
In July 2006, 46% of voters said global warming is caused primarily by
human activities, while 35% said it is due to long-term planetary trends.
In April of last year, 47% of Americans blamed human activity versus 34%
who viewed long-term planetary trends as the culprit. But the numbers have
been moving in the direction of planetary trends since then. (Rasmussen
Reports)
Al got
a Nobel for "efforts to build up and disseminate greater
knowledge about man-made climate change, and to lay the foundations for
the measures that are needed to counteract such change" and
Jimmy has just
been honored by the AMS for "clear communication of climate
science in the public arena" -- while public skepticism
increases. Who knew those two were doing such a great job? Certainly
they are having a much more positive effect than I gave them credit for.
IPCC
Teams Up with WorldWatch to Attack Obama - The “policy neutral”
IPCC is once again making a mockery of its role of an arbiter of
scientific information, in favor of all out political advocacy. EurActiv
reports the details: (Roger Pielke, Jr., Prometheus)
Questions
for Obama's science guy - IN NOMINATING John Holdren to be director of
the Office of Science and Technology Policy -- the position known
informally as White House science adviser -- President-elect Barack Obama
has enlisted an undisputed Big Name among academic environmentalists, one
"with a resume longer than your arm," as Newsweek's Sharon
Begley exulted when the announcement was made. Holdren is a physicist, a
professor of environmental policy at Harvard, a former president of the
American Association for the Advancement of Science, the director of the
Woods Hole Research Center, and the author or co-author of many papers and
books.
He is also a doom-and-gloomer with a trail of erroneous apocalyptic
forecasts dating back nearly 40 years -- and a decided lack of tolerance
for environmental opinions that conflict with his.
The position of science adviser requires Senate confirmation. Holdren's
nomination is likely to sail through, but conscientious senators might
wish to ask him some questions. Here are eight: (Jeff Jacoby, Boston
Globe)
How the
world was bullied into silence - One of the most disturbing aspects of
the global warming scam is the number of prominent people and entire
segments of society bullied into silence. Consider the case of Dr. Joanne
Simpson described as follows. “the first woman in the world to
receive a PhD in meteorology, and formerly of NASA, who has authored more
than 190 studies and has been called “among the most preeminent
scientists of the last 100 years.” Then consider her statement. “Since
I am no longer affiliated with any organization nor receiving any funding,
I can speak quite frankly….As a scientist I remain skeptical...
The main basis of the claim that man’s release of greenhouse gases is
the cause of the warming is based almost entirely upon climate models. We
all know the frailty of models concerning the air-surface system.” No,
we don’t all know the frailty of the models! Certainly most of the media
and thereby the public and politicians don’t know, otherwise the latter
would not be planning completely unnecessary, incredibly expensive and
society altering policies. But the opening comment is actually frightening
and speaks to why the scam has progressed so far. “Since I am no
longer affiliated with any organization nor receive any funding, I can
speak quite frankly.”
Undoubtedly, there are positions and times when people are muzzled;
national security is a good example. I sympathize with young people
starting out on careers. I understand the pressure of maintaining a family
and paying mortgages. But none of this should apply to science. It’s a
measure of the degree to which climate change has become political. It’s
also a measure of the degree of bullying that has occurred. Why would a
scientist in an organization directly involved in climate science not feel
free to speak out? But they are not the only ones who have kept quiet.
Entire segments of society have either remained silent or taken evasive
action. Few had the courage to even ask for a full and open debate. Now
everything is changing as the claims of warming are offset by the
realities of cooling. (Tim Ball, CFP)
Struggle
over climate change on the horizon - Wasn’t all that warm fuzziness
over the election of Obama just so... so... warm and fuzzy?
Now for cold and hard-edged. That describes the emotions over the
intragovernmental fights that get going in earnest this week. The most
immediate are over the nature of the economic stimulus, or who has the
longest reach. When that is settled within the next couple of months, the
struggle moves on to harder issues, such as the massive rework of
environmental law and regulation.
The most serious struggle will be over climate change, or the regulation
of carbon emissions. You can forget all the chit chat about finding a
consensus on this one: the coal people and the enviros are in this match
until one side is carried out.
For now, it appears that most of the enviros working within the
legislative process intend to use a cap-and-trade programme to reduce
carbon emissions. That is, large carbon dioxide emitters such as
coal-based utilities will be able to buy the right to produce CO2. Those
who, one way or another, are deemed to have reduced carbon emissions can
sell emission rights to the emitters. The programme would be designed so
that over time the supply of carbon rights becomes tighter, the price
higher, and the incentive to reduce carbon emissions even greater. Climate
change moderates, polar bears have more ice, and so on.
Wall Street and Chicago always like the creation of trading markets for
new assets, especially if they can be inefficiently priced by the
professionals. So while the coal people hate climate legislation, a lot of
traders see an opportunity. (Financial Times)
Weather
and climate: noise and timescales - A few days ago, an alarmist
nicknamed Tamino (Grant Foster) wrote a shallow posting about the
extrapolation of trends: What if?
Foster argues that one can't blindly extrapolate trends, especially not
the cooling ones. Well, I agree with the first part of the sentence but
unlike Foster, I think that one should blindly extrapolate neither cooling
nor warming trends. I agree that the absence of a warming trend since 1998
(and the fact that 2008 was the coolest year since 2000; and it was also
cooler than 1998, of course) doesn't mean that we know that there won't be
any warming in the next 50 years. But in the same way, the existence of
some warming in the last 100 years doesn't mean that there will be the
same - or even much larger - warming in the 21st century. (The Reference
Frame)
Facts
debunk global warming alarmism - THE National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration reported that October in the US was marked by 63 record
snowfalls and 115 lowest-ever temperatures.
Over the past few years, similar signs of colder than usual weather have
been recorded all over the world, causing many people to question the
still fashionable, but now long outdated, global warming alarmism. Yet
individual weather events or spells, whether warmings or coolings, tell us
nothing necessarily about true climate change.
Nonetheless, by coincidence, growing recognition of a threat of climatic
cooling is correct, because since the turn of the 21st century all real
world, long-term climate indicators have turned downwards. Global
atmospheric temperature reached a peak in 1998, has not warmed since 1995
and, has been cooling since 2002. Some people, still under the thrall of
the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change's disproved projections of
warming, seem surprised by this cooling trend, even to the point of
denying it. But why? (Bob Carter, The Australian)
Another deceptive and largely irrelevant Antarctic Peninsula piece: Antarctic
ice shelf set to collapse - WILKINS ICE SHELF - A huge Antarctic ice
shelf is on the brink of collapse with just a sliver of ice holding it in
place, the latest victim of global warming that is altering maps of the
frozen continent.
"We've come to the Wilkins Ice Shelf to see its final death
throes," David Vaughan, a glaciologist at the British Antarctic
Survey (BAS), told Reuters after the first — and probably last — plane
landed near the narrowest part of the ice.
The flat-topped shelf has an area of thousands of square kilometres
(miles), jutting 20 metres (65 ft) out of the sea off the Antarctic
Peninsula. (Reuters)
The Wilkins has persisted a little longer into the Holocene than
might have been expected because it lies between Alexander, Charcot, and
Latady islands. The region shows no discernable atmospheric
temperature trend over the last 30 years. Basically the southern
hemisphere is cool to neutral, the tropics are pretty ordinary while
there has been slight warming in the northern temperate grading to
interesting warming in the northern frigid zone. Of course we hear a lot
about the 5-10% of the globe behaving at least partially as climate
models suggest it should but about 10% kind of right always used to be
read as ~90% dead wrong -- I believe "epic fail" is how my son
would term it.
Runway-Loving Birds Are Risk
To Planes In Antarctica - Air traffic experts are seeking ways to
scare off the south polar skuas, a large and aggressive brown seabird, but
without harming them. The birds are protected by the 47-nation Antarctic
Treaty, which declares the frozen continent a nature reserve.
At the British Rothera research station on the Antarctic Peninsula, about
100 skuas often sit on the 900 meter (3,000 ft) gravel runway. The odd
penguin or seals can also be hazards. (Reuters)
Imagine that -- even Polar critters like to be warm...
“Hudson
air crash caused by ‘global warming’” - The scare: In late
January 2008, Time magazine blamed the bird-strike that brought down an
Airbus passenger aircraft in the Hudson River, New York, on “global
warming”. This was the latest in a long series of articles in
scientifically-unaware mainstream news media, blaming real or imagined
climate events on “global warming”. Such alarmism defies Occam’s
razor, the philosophical principle by which the simplest explanation of an
event is nearly always the true explanation. The Time article said that
“Wildlife mitigation” was the official term for avoiding bird strikes.
A report published in June 1988 by the Federal Aviation Administration had
found that since 1990 the number of bird strikes had quadrupled, from
1,759 in 1990 to a record 7,666 in 2007. According to Time, “Officials
cite a number of possible causes for the increase”, including “habitat
destruction and climate change”, which “have disrupted migratory
patterns”. Time adds, “Al Gore should be very proud of himself.”
(Christopher Monckton, SPPI)
Oh boy... Global
warming may cut protein in plants - Plants may give us fewer of the
nutrients we need to survive if global warming is not controlled, a
visiting expert says.
Fossil expert Dr Scott Wing, who was in New Zealand to speak at the
Greenhouse Earth Symposium at Te Papa last week, said a study suggested
ancient plants may have made less protein as CO2 levels rose.
If the theory is correct, insects were left hungrier when plants made less
of the protein they needed to live.
The phenomenon could affect humans if plants begin cutting protein again.
Fossil records show insects began eating more plants about 55 million
years ago, when the planet suddenly warmed up.
Dr Wing, who is the curator of fossil plants at the Smithsonian
Institution in Washington, acknowledged there may have been more insects
around to eat the plants. (New Zealand Herald)
... this guy sees an upswing in the number of fossilized
insect-damaged leaves from a period of higher atmospheric CO2
and assumes this means the same number of insects had to eat more to
consume sufficient protein. Most biologists equate such signs with
increased biological activity in a life-friendly period.
Here's one for interpretation: Survey:
Scientists agree human-induced global warming is real - While the
harsh winter pounding many areas of North America and Europe seemingly
contradicts the fact that global warming continues unabated, a new survey
finds consensus among scientists about the reality of climate change and
its likely cause. (University of Illinois at Chicago)
It's
time to pray for global warming, says Flint Journal columnist John
Tomlinson - If you're wondering why North America is starting to
resemble nuclear winter, then you missed the news.
At December's U.N. Global Warming conference in Poznan, Poland, 650 of the
world's top climatologists stood up and said man-made global warming is a
media generated myth without basis. Said climatologist Dr. David Gee,
Chairman of the International Geological Congress, "For how many
years must the planet cool before we begin to understand that the planet
is not warming?"
I asked myself, why would such obviously smart guy say such a ridiculous
thing? But it turns out he's right. (Flint Journal)
Indonesia Delays
Forest-Carbon Rules - SINGAPORE - Indonesia has delayed releasing
complete regulations on using carbon credits to protect rainforests,
preferring to fine-tune rules that could earn the country billions of
dollars and curb the pace of climate change. (Reuters)
Record
Temperature Data At The Weblog Hall Of Record - Bruce Hall has an
excellent presentation of temperature records in the United States on his
weblog “Updating Statewide Monthly Temperature Extremes”.
Among his valuable comments, he writes
“The U.S. analysis showed that the late 1990s were indeed hot and had
a greater than normal expected level of statewide monthly records. What it
also showed, however, was that the 1930s had a much higher frequency of
those records. Finally, it showed a sharp tailing off of such extremes
beginning with the new century.
I have completed the review of the high temperature extremes through 2008
and there were no additional statewide month high temperature records. An
analysis of the 2005 - 2008 data for minimum temperature records will be
started shortly.”
His entire posting is worth reading. (Roger Pielke Sr., Climate Science)
Spinning furiously: CLIMATE
CHANGE: Don't Be Fooled by Europe's Arctic Winter - BERLIN, Jan 19 -
"Where is global warming, now that we need it?" a comedian asked
on German public television ARD. And across Europe people have been asking
the same question: if the globe is getting warmer, why is Europe freezing?
But the question really is whether recent winters taken together have been
too warm. Yes, say climate researchers, they have.
"There is a cognitive problem among the public," Mojib Latif,
climate researcher at the Leibniz Institute for Ocean Sciences at the
University of Kiel, some 300 km west of Berlin, told IPS. "Because
winters over the past 20 years have been warmer than the older average,
many now believe that this winter is particularly cold. But it is
not."
"Of course it is really cold right now," Fortunat Joos,
professor of climate and environmental physics at the University of Bern
in Switzerland told IPS. "But present temperatures represent only a
fluctuation in the trend of the past 20 years. In general, the earth is
getting warmer. (IPS)

Tibetan Glacial Shrink To Cut
Water Supply By 2050 - NEW YORK - Nearly 2 billion people in Asia,
from coastal city dwellers to yak-herding nomads, will begin suffering
water shortages in coming decades as global warming shrinks glaciers on
the Tibetan Plateau, experts said.
The plateau has more than 45,000 glaciers that build up during the snowy
season and then drain to the major rivers in Asia, including the Yangtze,
Yellow, Brahmanputra and Mekong.
Temperatures in the plateau, which some scientists call the "Third
Pole" for its massive glacial ice sheets, are rising twice as fast as
other parts of the world, said Lonnie Thompson, a glaciologist at Ohio
State University, who has collected ice cores from glaciers around the
world for decades. (Reuters)
Lonnie should know better than that. Glaciers grow and shrink through
precipitation rather than having significant direct correlation with
temperature.
Eye roller: Rising Sea
Levels Threaten East Coast - WASHINGTON - Sea levels on the United
States' mid-Atlantic coast are rising faster than the global average
because of global warming, threatening the future of coastal communities,
the Environmental Protection Agency said on Friday.
Coastal waters from New York to North Carolina have crept up by an average
of 2.4 to 4.4 millimeters (0.09 to 0.17 inches) a year, compared with an
average global increase of 1.7 millimeters (0.07 inches) a year, the EPA
said in a report. (Reuters)
Dead
On Arrival: EPA/CCSP Sea Level Rise Report Already Outdated - On
Friday, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) released a report
on the implications of future sea level rise on the mid-Atlantic coast
(from North Carolina to New York). The report was one of the series of
21-reports commissioned by the U.S. Climate Change Research Program
(recall our less than favorable reviews of another recent CCSP product).
As with most climate change “assessment reports” from large government
and intergovernmental efforts, the science in the report is stale and
out-of-date by the time the report is finally published (the EPA’s
recent documents in support of its “Advanced Notice of Proposed
Rulemaking: Regulating Greenhouse Gas Emissions under the Clean Air Act”
is a prime example). (WCR)
The
Movement Movement - One of the most toxic effects of
environmentalism’s tendency to reduce human needs and wants to problems
that need to be contained and controlled is found in the debate over
transport policy. Movement itself is threatened by demands that we reduce
our ‘impact’ on the world. We are urged not to take ‘unnecessary’
journeys and to take them in the least carbon-intensive ways, or the
carbon calculator will be used to prove our guilt. (Climate Resistance)
Another Crone article of faith: Energy
Inefficient - From plug-in cars to carbon capture to wind farms linked
to “intelligent” power grids, many of the solutions pitched to
restructure the country’s energy system and confront global warming rely
on a faith in high tech: we expect, or at least hope, that an Apollo
project, the energy equivalent of the dot.com revolution or some other
burst of creative genius will engineer the problem away.
Obviously, game-changing technologies will play a big role in cutting
America’s consumption of fossil fuels. They will also be essential to
achieving the reductions in greenhouse gas emissions that most scientists
think will be necessary to avoid the worst consequences of climate change.
But as it frames its strategy to deal with both problems, the Obama
administration cannot overlook the low-hanging fruit — the gains to be
had from making existing technologies more efficient. (New York Times)
How could The Crone get it so wrong and how fitting they
should bring up the dot.bomb era, since such a debacle is all too likely
in the current scam-rich environment. NYT's stupidity
notwithstanding we do not have a carbon crisis to deal with -- carbon is
the stuff of life and returning some to the atmosphere from whence it
came is probably the best thing humans have done and ever will do for
the biosphere.
Massive
Confusion in the New York Times - Today’s New York Times has an
editorial in which it claims that:
The plain truth is that the United States is an inefficient user of
energy. For each dollar of economic product, the United States spews more
carbon dioxide into the atmosphere than 75 of 107 countries tracked in the
indicators of the International Energy Agency. Those doing better include
not only cutting-edge nations like Japan but low-tech countries like
Thailand and Mexico.
The first problem with this set of claims is that the New York Times
confuses energy efficiency with carbon dioxide intensity of the economy.
The second error is that the New York Times uses market exchange rates as
the basis for evaluating U.S. carbon dioxide per dollar of GDP against
other countries, rather than the more appropriate metric of international
GDP comparisons using purchasing power parities.
So the New York Times makes a muddle of reality when it suggests that the
United States is an “inefficient user of energy” suggesting that 70%
of all contries are more efficient than the United States.
This is just wrong. (Roger Pielke, Jr., Prometheus)
Just say no
to oil revenues? - Petroleum production bans cost us billions that
could pay for stimulus plans and renewables
Plummeting stock and housing prices have triggered a painful recession,
America’s worst job losses since 1945, and trillions in lost national
wealth.
California is grappling with a $42-billion budget deficit. That’s more
than the GDP of 112 countries. Maryland, Virginia, New York and other
states likewise face billion-dollar budget shortfalls.
Congress and the White House want a $1-trillion “stimulus” for the
banking, auto and steel industries, roads, bridges and ports, and
“worthy” projects like water parks, parking garages and fitness
centers.
They also support expanded renewable energy programs that will require
tens of billions in subsidies and tax breaks – but provide intermittent
electricity and deliver only 5-15% of their “rated capacity” during
peak summer demand periods.
Many states have oil, gas, coal uranium and other energy and mineral
resources, within their borders or off their coasts. Development would
produce critically needed energy, reduce oil and gas imports, create
millions of jobs, buttress our national security, and generate trillions
of dollars in lease bonus, rent, royalty and tax revenues, to help pay
these bills.
California could nearly double its offshore oil production within 12-18
months, without installing a single new platform, by using directional
drilling technology to bore more wells from existing platforms. (Paul
Driessen, CFP)
Moronic Environmentalists
cheer shelving of Enbridge oilsands pipeline - CALGARY - Environmental
groups say they will keep leaning on Ontario to curb its reliance on
oilsands crude, even though Calgary-based pipeline company Enbridge Inc.
is shelving a project that would have brought more of that oil into the
province.
A report by Environmental Defence and Forest Ethics Monday said Enbridge's
$346-million Trailbreaker project would have effectively choked off
Ontario's supply of light sweet crude oil from overseas, which they
believe has fewer environmental impacts than oilsands crude. (CP)
Brazil Landless
Peasants Aim To Extend Fight To Oil - SAO PAULO - Brazil's Landless
Workers' Movement marked its 25th anniversary on Monday by pledging to
extend its fight against capitalism to ensuring the country's new oil
wealth remains in state hands.
Since state energy company Petrobras announced in 2007 it had discovered
massive light oil reserves off Brazil's southern coast, talk has swirled
that the government would take greater control over the oil wealth.
President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is considering whether to create a new
state-run oil company to manage oil production from new
"subsalt" reserves, but foreign oil firms like Royal Dutch Shell
Plc will still have a major role in production.
"The MST is ready to do what is needed to guarantee that Brazil's
oil, especially the subsalt discovery, won't be privatized. This means
battles, marches, occupations, public campaigns -- a series of
actions," Joao Paulo Rodrigues, one of the movement's leaders, told a
news conference in Sao Paulo.
The movement, probably the world's largest land reform group, is known as
the MST.
Rodrigues denied that the movement's new focus was a reaction to a loss of
supporters in the countryside, where its campaign has struggled in the
face of an agriculture boom and a lack of help from the Lula government.
(Reuters)
King
coal is on the rise once again - SCOTTISH Coal, the UK's largest
open-cast coal mining group, is back in the black and has revealed plans
to reopen old sites and bring new sites into production to meet increased
demand. (The Scotsman)
Clean
coal plan dirtied by ETS - THE Rudd Government's climate change
strategy has been thrown into disarray by a warning that clean coal will
not be viable under the proposed emissions trading scheme.
Clean coal is crucial to the Government's plans to tackle climate change,
but the chief executive of the flagship ZeroGen project has told Resources
Minister Martin Ferguson the carbon pollution reduction scheme will be a
"significant barrier" to the development of clean coal
technology.
"Australia's 5 per cent carbon reduction target accompanied by a weak
carbon price will be nowhere near sufficient to generate the scale of
investment needed to make clean coal technologies economically
viable," Anthony Tarr warns Mr Ferguson in a letter obtained by The
Australian.
More German
Biodiesel Plants Face Closure In 2009 - BERLIN - More German biodiesel
plants face closure in 2009 following government's decision to raise taxes
on green fuels and to scale back an increase in biofuel blending in fossil
fuels, a biofuels industry leader said on Monday.
Germany's biodiesel industry, Europe's largest, was working at
considerably under 60 percent of its five million-ton annual capacity,
Johannes Lackmann, chief executive of German biofuels industry association
VDB, said.
"Many medium and small size plants will have little chance of
survival this year," he told Reuters at the Green Week food trade
fair in Berlin. "I think more will close."
Germany increased taxes on biodiesel on Jan 1 this year which hit demand
in the country's domestic market. A series of biodiesel plants closed last
year, largely because taxes on green fuels had cut sales. (Reuters)
What
do healthy eating and lifestyles have in common with woo? - A
courageous article appeared in the Journal of the American Medical
Association on Wednesday. It was momentous because it may be the first
article in a mainstream medical journal to expose the similarities between
the promotion of healthy diet and lifestyle modifications for the
prevention of heart disease and premature death, and pseudoscience and
alternative modalities.
This is one medical article we won’t see reported by the media.
(Junkfood Science)
Research Exposes
the Risk to Infants from the Chemicals Used in Liquid Medicines -- A
team of medical scientists from the University of Leicester has published
research which looks into the harmful substances in liquid medicines that
premature babies are being exposed to.
Research published today (Jan 20) ahead of print in the Fetal &
Neonatal Edition of Archives of Disease in Childhood documents the
non-drug ingredients (excipients) present in liquid medicines given to
premature infants as part of their medical care. (PhysOrg.com)
Surprising new
health and environmental concerns about tungsten - In the article,
C&EN Associate Editor Rachel Petkewich notes that scientists have long
held that tungsten is relatively insoluble in water and nontoxic. As a
result, the U.S. military developed in the mid 1990s so-called "green
bullets" that contain tungsten as a more environmentally-friendly
alternative to lead-based ammunition.
But studies now show that tungsten, which is also used in welding, metal
cutting, and other applications, is not as chemically inert as previously
thought. Some forms of tungsten can move readily though soil and
groundwater under certain environmental conditions. Both the U.S.
Department of Defense and the Environmental Protection Agency now classify
the element as an "emerging contaminant" of concern. (ACS)
MPs
may be denied vote on £100 bin tax - THE GOVERNMENT has quietly
adopted powers enabling it to introduce national pay-as-you-throw rubbish
taxes of up to £100 without a vote in parliament.
The move, which was confirmed this weekend by the Department for
Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), will allow councils across
the country to impose extra charges on householders who leave out too much
non-recyclable waste.
The fact that ministers have adopted powers to impose the taxes on
millions of households without a vote in the Commons will shock MPs. They
always believed they would be able to veto the unpopular move following
trials in five pilot areas.
Last week the government also sidelined parliament to move ahead with
plans to introduce a controversial third runway at Heathrow airport.
The Tories discovered the bin tax measure in a little-noticed clause of
the Climate Change Act.
“New taxes are being imposed by arrogant and out-of-touch rulers,
showing contempt for the democratic process. The imposition of
extra-parliamentary taxation is a constitutional outrage,” said Eric
Pickles, shadow communities and local government secretary.”
Internal Whitehall documents released last year showed the government is
planning for at least two-thirds of all homes to be hit by the bin taxes.
(Sunday Times)
Nile Delta fishery
grows dramatically thanks to run-off of sewage, fertilizers - While
many of the world's fisheries are in serious decline, the coastal
Mediterranean fishery off the Nile Delta has expanded dramatically since
the 1980s.
The surprising cause of this expansion, which followed a collapse of the
fishery after completion of the Aswan High Dam in 1965, is run-off of
fertilizers and sewage discharges in the region, according to a researcher
at the University of Rhode Island Graduate School of Oceanography.
Autumn Oczkowski, a URI doctoral student, used stable isotopes of nitrogen
to demonstrate that 60 to 100 percent of the current fishery production is
supported by nutrients from fertilizer and sewage. Her research will be
reported in the Jan. 21 online edition of the Proceedings of the National
Academy of Sciences.
"This is really a story about how people unintentionally impact
ecosystems," Oczkowski said.
Historically, the Nile would flood the delta every fall, irrigate nearby
agricultural land, and flow out to the Mediterranean, carrying with it
nutrients to support a large and productive fishery. Construction of the
dam stopped the flooding, and the fishery collapsed.
"That's when fertilizer consumption in the country skyrocketed,"
said Oczkowski. "The Egyptians were fertilizing the land, and then
fertilizing the sea with the run-off. It also corresponded with a
population boom and the expansion of the public water and sewer
systems."
As a result, landings of fish in coastal and offshore waters are more than
three times pre-dam levels. While increased fishing effort in recent years
may have played some role in the recovery, Oczkowski's findings indicate
that anthropogenic nutrient sources have now more than replaced the
fertility carried by the historical flooding. (University of Rhode Island)
Army Worms
Decimate Crops In Liberia - MONROVIA - Swarms of army worms have
attacked crops in a food-producing district of Liberia, forcing the West
African state to declare a state of emergency in the area at the weekend,
the Ministry of Agriculture said on Monday.
Army worms, which can grow to around 5 centimeters (two inches) in length,
are moth caterpillars and when present in large numbers can destroy
swathes of vegetation and crops. (Reuters)
EU Fails To
Approve GM Rapeseed, Carnation Imports - BRUSSELS - EU ministers
failed to reach a majority on Monday to approve applications for importing
a genetically modified rapeseed and carnation flower, paving the way for a
default approval by the EU executive, officials said.
The rapeseed, developed by Germany's Bayer CropScience to resist certain
glufosinate-ammonium herbicides and known by its codename T25, was
discontinued from commercial planting after the 2005 season.
Only a small stock of the rapeseed remains, in Canada, and could be
exported to EU markets if approval is granted.
Bayer's application for EU approval is for use in food and feed, not for
cultivation in Europe's fields. It will now return to the European
Commission, the EU's executive arm, most probably for a default approval
in the coming weeks. (Reuters)
Chemists engineer
plants to produce new compounds -- In work that could expand the
frontiers of genetic engineering, MIT chemists have, for the first time,
genetically altered a plant to produce entirely new compounds, some of
which could be used as drugs against cancer and other diseases.
The researchers, led by Sarah O'Connor of the Department of Chemistry,
produced the new compounds by manipulating the complex biosynthetic
pathways of the periwinkle plant. This sort of manipulation, which
O'Connor and her graduate student, Weerawat Runguphan, report in the Jan.
18 issue of Nature Chemical Biology, offers a new way to tweak potential
drugs to make them less toxic (and/or more effective). (PhysOrg.com)
January 19, 2009
I lost the bet: Geese
Pose Big Risk at Airports in Region - For years, airport officials
have removed shrubs and trees that attract birds. They have tried to scare
them away with music, pyrotechnics and cannons. They have even raided
birds’ nests and culled the adults with shotguns.
Still, birds, often geese, sometimes end up in plane engines, causing
inconvenience, or worse: They are a leading suspect in the nearly
disastrous ditching of a US Airways jet on Thursday.
...
Nevertheless, the danger of bird strikes “is an ongoing problem, and it
will always be a problem,” said Steven D. Garber, a biologist who was a
consultant to the Port Authority in the 1990s.
And it may become more so — despite efforts at mitigation. “There is
evidence both in North America and in Europe that birds are shifting their
territories,” said Joel L. Cracraft, curator in charge of the department
of ornithology at the American Museum of Natural History. “And that
has been correlated with global warming.” (New York Times) [em
added]
On Thursday I was rash enough to claim even The Crone was
unlikely to be stupid enough to try to associate a plane ditching in the
frigid Hudson with gorebull warming... It isn't the first time I have
been accused of irrepressible optimism.
The
Flight 1549 blame game (updated) - It didn't take long for the
warmists to blame the US Airways crash on global warming, which is, after
all, deemed responsible for anything bad. Time Magazine, which was once
widely read, sprang into action:
While officials use radar and radio collars to track bird populations,
habitat destruction and climate change have disrupted migratory patterns.
Moreover, the populations of certain species of birds are increasing at
rapid rates, thanks to changes in food supply. The Canada-goose
population, for example, has grown 7.3% annually from 1980 to 2006.
Rush Limbaugh may have been the first person to point out that greenies
have made the protection of birds (especially waterfowl) a major priority,
and an increase in bird population is a goal they have achieved -- that
may deserve blame for the crash, if anything is to be blamed other than an
Act of God. (Thomas Lifson, American Thinker)
Hmm... 27 years with an annual increase of 7.3% is almost a 7-fold
increase in the number of geese. Even the revised "The
Canada-goose population, for example, increased 4-fold from about 1
million birds in 1990 to 3.9 million in 2008, according to Richard
Dolbeer, one of the report's co-authors." indicates roughly a
6% annual increment in the number of geese. So either gorebull warming
is very good for wildlife (which would be true if gorebull warming
actually existed) or someone is deliberately encouraging an increase in
hazardous critters.
Jimmy's slipped right off his trolley: President
'has four years to save Earth' - US must take the lead to avert
eco-disaster
Barack Obama has only four years to save the world. That is the stark
assessment of Nasa scientist and leading climate expert Jim Hansen who
last week warned only urgent action by the new president could halt the
devastating climate change that now threatens Earth. Crucially, that
action will have to be taken within Obama's first administration, he
added. (Robin McKie, The Observer) | Read the full interview with James
Hansen here
The ultimate for ecochondriacs: Emission
Impossible? - 'Carbon Coach' Dave Hampton Helps Homeowners Fight
Global Warming
World-wide concern about global warming is hitting home as more and more
people try to make their houses and businesses eco-friendly and reduce
emissions of carbon dioxide.
With the European Union estimating that commercial and residential
buildings are responsible for 40% of the EU's total CO2 emissions,
governments around the continent have turned to homes to help achieve
Europe's goals of reducing 60% to 80% of CO2 emissions by 2050.
In the U.K., the government has adopted the Code for Sustainable Homes,
which aims at ensuring that all new homes built in the county be
"zero-carbon" by 2016. The Code assesses the sustainability of a
house on a six-point scale, with six being a "zero-carbon" home,
meaning its usage of energy from renewable sources offsets its carbon
emissions. The EU has yet to adopt specific regulations for low-carbon
housing.
For Dave Hampton, a Cambridge-educated engineer and self-described
"carbon coach," the new emphasis on emissions cuts represents a
business opportunity. After working on energy efficiency for over 20 years
for numerous firms, including British Gas, engineering consultants WS
Atkins, Building Research Establishment and ABS Consulting, Mr. Hampton
set himself up in business as a consultant who specializes in helping
individuals reduce their carbon footprint. "My aim is to show people
they can halve their carbon shadow just by making simple changes," he
says. (Wall Street Journal)
Green
Jobs: Fact or Fiction? - An Assessment of the Literature
Introduction and Executive Summary
I. Green Recovery, Center for American Progress
II. Job Opportunities for the Green Economy, Political Economy Research
Institute
III. Current and Potential Green Jobs in the U.S. Economy, Global Insight
IV. Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency, American Solar Energy Society
(Robert Michaels and Robert P. Murphy, Institute for Energy Research)
Does Nature’s Thermostat
Exist? A Global Warming Debate Challenge - Scientific disagreements
over just how much mankind’s carbon dioxide emissions will warm the
planet can be described with the analogy of the thermostat in your home.
You set the thermostat to a certain temperature, and if it senses (for
example) that the temperature is rising too much above that preset level,
a cooling mechanism (air conditioning) kicks in and works to push the
temperature back down.
I, and a number of other scientists, believe that nature has a
thermostatic control mechanism that “pushes back” against a warming
influence, such as the relatively weak warming from more atmospheric
carbon dioxide. (The direct warming effect of more CO2 would amount to
little more than 1 deg. F by late in this century, and is generally not
the subject of debate.)
In climate research (and engineering, and physics) a thermostatic control
mechanism is called ‘negative feedback’, and as discussed elsewhere on
my web site there are a number of studies that suggest it really does
exist in the climate system. At this point my own research suggests that
the natural cooling mechanism is most likely due to the response of clouds
to warming. While it is a bit technical, the issue is introduced in this
peer-reviewed publication. (Roy W. Spencer)
Hmm... Clearer
skies over Europe as fog halved in 30 years - Scientists discover
'massive decline' in fog, mist and haze as air quality improves, but it
may accelerate global warming
Europe has become less foggy over the past three decades, according to
scientists who have examined weather records across the continent. Fog,
mist and haze have become less frequent and have contributed, they
calculate, to between 10% and 20% of the warming trend during that period.
The change is down to reduced air pollution, the scientists think.
Robert Vautard at the Atomic Energy Commission in Gif sur Yvette, France,
and colleagues, looked at the number of "low-visibility" events,
where visibility fell to under 8km. They found a 50% drop since the 1970s,
which they call a "massive decline". (David Adam, The Guardian)
Perhaps they are looking at a real-world example of the Svensmark
Effect. Remember that conversion of water vapor to droplets (clouds
and fog) has two effects: firstly it reduces the most prolific
greenhouse gas (and hence greenhouse effect) and secondly it increases
albedo (thus reducing net surface insolation). You get a lot of 'bang
for your buck' with fog and bright cloud temperature effects.
Interesting too, how all these researchers come up with their own
angles each amounting to 'only' 10-20% of guesstimated warming (a bit
for solar irradiance, some more for reduced sulfate emissions, here a
bit for reduced cloudiness, there a bit for land use change, add a dash
for soot and mix in urban heat island...). Seems to me we are running
kind of short of 10-20%s of estimated atmospheric warming to leave any
room for an effect from increased atmospheric carbon dioxide, no? Makes
it all the harder to understand how the antis manage to keep the carbon
con going, doesn't it?
Dumb beat up of the moment: Arctic
warming pattern 'highly unusual': Report - ... "The current rate
of human-influenced Arctic warming is comparable to peak natural rates
documented by reconstructions of past climates. However, some projections
of future human-induced change exceed documented natural
variability," the scientists conclude. (Randy Boswell, Canwest News
Service)
Wow! Some virtual-world fantasies exceed documented natural
variability. Scary...
Stop it Al! Americans
suffer record cold as temperatures plunge to -40C - Americans were
today shivering as bitter arctic winds caused temperatures to plunge to
record-breaking levels in many parts of the vast country.
There are even fears that crowds planning to watch Barack Obama’s
presidential inauguration next week could suffer hypothermia and frostbite
in sub-zero conditions.
This winter has been one of the toughest in decades with temperatures
today reaching as low as -38C in large areas of the Midwest and -40C in
the coldest place. (Daily Mail)
Blasted Gore-effect is really going to hurt someone at this rate.
Gore’s church losing
followers - In 1971, perhaps entertaining thoughts of entering the
full-time ministry, Al Gore, raised in and baptized into the Southern
Baptist Church, entered the Vanderbilt Divinity School.
His sojourn was relatively brief. In three semesters, he enrolled in eight
classes. He received an “F” as his grade in five of those classes. So,
having failed out of school, he entered the family business, which was
politics. But he apparently never lost his desire to enter a ministry, and
since he couldn’t make the grade in the conventional sense, he did the
next best thing. He started his own religion.
The result was the Church of Global Warming. With Gore as its high priest,
the church was not long in establishing tenets of faith, nor in
immediately branding those who refused to worship there as apostate.
The tragedy is that Gore, in his tenure in the family business, learned
well how to work the political system, and when he turned to evangelizing
for his new church, he was able to effectively use what he learned as a
politician to grant government sanction to that church, sanction that
would have been vehemently opposed had he attempted to grant government
sanction to the church in which he grew up. (Dan Sernoffsky, Lebanon Daily
News)
Prediction
of the May 2009 UAH MSU Global Temperature Result - There
are now 30 years of satellite data on global temperature. The graph below
shows the University of Alabama Huntsville Microwave Sounding Unit (UAH
MSU) results for the period 1978 to 2008.

See larger image here.
Examination of the record shows a change in character in 2001. Prior to
that year, global temperatures tended to rise in a narrow band for a
couple of years then have a relatively rapid fall. After 2001,
temperatures tended to peak in January and then have a much wider annual
range than previously. This is shown in the following graph:

See larger image here.
The above graph overlays the month to month results for the period 2002
to 2008, a total of seven years. The larger blue line is the average. For
the last seven years, global temperature has tended to fall 0.3 of a
degree between January and May, and then rise again to December.
Departures from this are caused by El Nino and La Nina events. Just as the
2007 El Nino added 0.2C to the January 2007 result, the 2008 La Nina
reduced temperatures in the first half of 2008 by 0.3C. The following
figure shows the strength of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) which
drives the formation of El Nino and La Nina events.

See larger image here.
Another large La Nina formed in late 2008. The combination of the
annual pattern of temperature change and the current La Nina enables a
short term forecast of the UAH MSU result to be made. The combination of a
0.3c response to the current La Nina and the usual 0.3C decline from
January to May will result in a 0.6C decline to May 2009 to a result of
-0.4C (0.4C below the long term average). See PDF here.
Let’s see if David can do better than the UKMO has done in recent
years. UKMO is already talking a top 5 warmest 2009. (David Archibald,
Icecap)
Divergence
Between GISS and UAH since 1980 - Guest post by Steven Goddard
The GISS website shows the graph below, which indicates a steady, steep
warming trend over the last 30 years. The monthly average anomaly for 2008
(0.44) is 0.26 degrees warmer than the monthly average anomaly for 1980
(0.18.) (Watts Up With That?)
GISS
Divergence with satellite temperatures since the start of 2003 - By
Steve Goddard and Anthony Watts
Some of the excellent readers of the last piece we posted on WUWT gave me
an idea, which we are following up on here. The exercise here is to
compare GISS and satellite data (UAH and RSS) since the start of 2003, and
then propose one possible source of divergence between the GISS and
satellite data. The reason that the start of 2003 was chosen, is because
satellite data shows a rapid decline in temperatures starting then, and
GISS data does not. The only exception to the downward trend was an El
Nino at the start of 2007, which caused a short but steep spike.
Remembering back a couple of years, Dr. Hansen had in fact suggested that
El Nino might turn into a “Super El Nino” which would cause 2007 to be
the “hottest year ever.”
The last six years (2003-2008) show a steep temperature drop in the
satellite record, which is not present in the GISS data. Prior to 2003,
the three trends were all close enough to be considered reasonably
consistent, but over the last six years is when a large divergence has
become very apparent both visually and mathematically. (Watts Up With
That?)
Long-Range
Transport of Anthropogenically and Naturally Produced Particulate Matter
in the Mediterranean and North Atlantic: Current State of Knowledge by
Kallos et al. 2007 - There is a valuable research paper that documents
the important role of aerosols on weather and climate, with an emphasis on
their transport across long distances. The paper, by an outstanding
scientist at the University of Athens, is Kallos, G., M. Astitha, P.
Katsafados, and C. Spyrou, 2007: Long-Range Transport of Anthropogenically
and Naturally Produced Particulate Matter in the Mediterranean and North
Atlantic: Current State of Knowledge. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 46,
1230–1251. (Roger Pielke Sr., Climate Science)
Debate
flares over how to cut greenhouse gases - Attacking climate change
through a complex greenhouse gas trading system is a centerpiece of the
incoming Obama administration’s energy policy.
But economists and energy analysts of all ideological stripes are saying a
better approach to getting a cleaner atmosphere might involve a political
dirty word — tax. (Houston Chronicle)
Imaginary effects of imaginary warming... Slight
changes in climate may trigger abrupt ecosystem responses - Some of
these responses, including insect outbreaks, wildfire, and forest dieback,
may adversely affect people as well as ecosystems and their plants and
animals.
The U.S. Geological Survey led a new assessment of the implications of a
warming world on "ecological thresholds" in North America. The
report, which was commissioned by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program
and authored by a team of federal and academic climate scientists, is
based on a synthesis of published scientific literature and addresses what
research and steps are needed to help mitigate resulting effects.
An ecological threshold is the point at which there is an abrupt change in
an ecosystem that produces large, persistent and potentially irreversible
changes. (USGS)
Report calls
aerosol research key to improving climate predictions - Scientists
need a more detailed understanding of how human-produced atmospheric
particles, called aerosols, affect climate in order to produce better
predictions of Earth's future climate, according to a NASA-led report
issued by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program on Friday.
"Atmospheric Aerosol Properties and Climate Impacts," is the
latest in a series of Climate Change Science Program reports that
addresses various aspects of the country's highest priority climate
research, observation and decision-support needs. The study's authors
include scientists from NASA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration and the Department of Energy.
"The influence of aerosols on climate is not yet adequately taken
into account in our computer predictions of climate," said Mian Chin,
report coordinating lead author from NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in
Greenbelt, Md. "An improved representation of aerosols in climate
models is essential to more accurately predict the climate changes."
(NASA/GSFC)
Poor Freddy... Greenwash:
Tesco and its bizarre carbon accountancy - 'Carbon intensity' is the
new gambit for companies trying to spruce up their green images
How can Tesco increase its carbon dioxide emissions by almost 400,000
tonnes, as it did in 2007, and still claim to be "setting an
example" on climate change? Easy. By coming up with a bizarre test to
demonstrate its carbon virtue.
The latest corporate responsibility report from Britain's biggest retailer
admits to an 8.6% increase in its emissions in a single year, but says
that it increased its "floor space" by 14%, so actually its
carbon intensity "per square foot of net sales area" was down by
4.7%.
How does it get away with such a formulation? This is not, you will
notice, carbon emissions per tonne of groceries sold, or even emissions
per pound of our money handed over at the till. Just floor space. Why not
"per Bangladeshi sweatshop worker" or "per migrant
vegetable-picker working in Lincolnshire fields"? It would make about
as much sense. (Fred Pearce, The Guardian)
... actually expects a nonsense like 'carbon accounting' to make
sense. Bottom line, Freddy: the whole carbon freak show is a nonsense,
with no relevance to anything but misanthropy.
George’s
Aga Ga-Ga and the Heathrow Hoo-Haa - George Monbiot is a very confused
man. A few days ago, he announced his campaign against the Aga cooker
(because it uses lots of energy). This, he said ‘is indeed a class
war’ - the Aga is an expensive piece of kit, and therefore, you have to
be rather wealthy to own one. We thought he wasn’t entirely serious
about this campaign, it was just a rather childish attempt to prove to his
detractors at Spiked-Online that the Green movement wasn’t dominated by
the upper classes. He might just as well have shot himself in the foot to
prove that he wasn’t lame. (Climate Resistance)
Transcript available: Once
Again Climate Debate Skeptics Sway Undecided Voters in Leading Debate
Forum
NEW YORK, January 14, 2009— Intelligence Squared U.S., the Oxford style
debate series sponsored by The Rosenkranz Foundation, announced the
results of its first debate of the Spring 2009 season, "Major
reductions in carbon emissions are not worth the money." In a
dramatic shift, 25% of the undecided vote sided with the motion by the end
of the debate. In the final tally at the conclusion of the debate, a sold
out audience at Symphony Space, New York City voted 42% for the motion and
48% against. Ten percent remained undecided.
Prior to the debate, the audience at Symphony Space, New York City voted
16% for the motion and 49% against. 35% were undecided.
The results echoed a similar outcome on the proposition, "Global
warming is not a crisis," an Intelligence Squared US debate held on
March 14, 2007. The Global Warming debate produced an initial vote tally
of 29% for the motion and 57% against. At the conclusion of the debate,
the vote margins had reversed with 46% for the motion and 42% against.
The "Major reductions in carbon emissions are not worth the
money" debate will air on BBC World News March 7 and 8, 2009. The
debate can be heard on NPR beginning January 21, 2009.
Speaking for the motion were Peter Huber, author of The Bottomless Well,
Bjorn Lomborg, author of Cool It and The Skeptical Environmentalist, and
scientist and Emeritus Professor from the University of London, Philip
Stott.
L. Hunter Lovins, president of Natural Capitalism Solutions, Oliver
Tickell, author of Kyoto2 and Adam Werbach, global chief executive officer
at Saatchi & Saatchi S spoke against the motion.
John Donvan, correspondent for ABC News Nightline, moderated. (iq2)
Download
transcript (.pdf) The "Major reductions in carbon emissions are
not worth the money" debate will air on BBC World News March 7 and
8, 2009. The debate can be heard on NPR beginning January 21, 2009.
Mike Smith:
Global Warming Doom, Gloom Haven't Occurred - For more than 20 years,
we have been hearing doomsday predictions about global warming's effects
on Kansas and across the world. Locally, during the hot Kansas summer of
2006, forecasts were issued and media articles written tying that hot, dry
weather to global warming, and forecasting more extreme heat in the
future.
According to one scientist with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change, global warming in 2006 was already "kicking the heat up a
notch."
But the weather has refused to cooperate with those forecasts.
More drought? The reality: 2007 and 2008 were the two wettest years in the
history of Wichita. No area of Kansas is experiencing drought at the
present time, in spite of all that hand-wringing just two years ago.
Extreme heat? The reality: The past two years, combined, had 21 fewer days
than average with 90-degree or higher temperatures. Since 1990, there has
been a downward trend in 100-degree or warmer temperatures in Wichita.
(Wichita Eagle)
Perhaps we should ban it: Revealed:
The cement that eats carbon dioxide - Cement, a vast source of
planet-warming carbon dioxide, could be transformed into a means of
stripping the greenhouse gas from the atmosphere, thanks to an innovation
from British engineers.
The new environmentally friendly formulation means the cement industry
could change from being a "significant emitter to a significant
absorber of CO2," says Nikolaos Vlasopoulos, chief scientist at
London-based Novacem, whose invention has garnered support and funding
from industry and environmentalists. (Alok Jha, The Guardian)
If this rotten product is going to steal the stuff of life from the
atmosphere, that precious resource, carbon dioxide, perhaps we should
impose international bans for the good of life everywhere.
New Ice Age
maps point to climate change patterns - New climate maps of the
Earth’s surface during the height of the last Ice Age support
predictions that northern Australia will become wetter and southern
Australia drier due to climate change.
An international consortium of scientists from 11 countries has produced
the maps, which appear in this week’s issue of Nature Geoscience.
Dr Timothy Barrows of the Research School of Earth Sciences at The
Australian National University was responsible for the Australian sector
of the reconstruction.
“During the last Ice Age – around 20,000 years ago – sea surface
temperature was as much as 10 degrees colder than present and icebergs
would have been regular visitors to the southern coastline of
Australia,” Dr Barrows said.
The temperature was estimated by measuring changes in abundance of tiny
plankton fossils preserved on the sea floor, together with chemical
analyses of the sediment itself.
“One of our major findings was that the continent’s mid latitudes
(Canberra, Perth, Adelaide, Melbourne and Sydney) are very sensitive and
experience the greatest climate change in and out of Ice Ages. This is
where we should focus monitoring and look at past impacts of climate
change.
“In contrast, the tropical areas (north of Brisbane) change very little,
mostly less than 2 degrees.” (ANU)
Couple of points:
Firstly, yet again we see how ridiculous are claims of extreme
tropical warming potential when the change from ice age to current
interglacial involves a mere 2 kelvins change in the tropics -- the big
change in 'warming' is really 'less-colding' as tropical and temperate
zones expand polewards while ice ages involve frigid zones expanding
toward the equator. There simply is no huge equatorial warming
potential.
Secondly, note that the change from glacial to interglacial with its
net 6-9 kelvins temperature change was concurrent with atmospheric
carbon dioxide changes estimated as 200-280 ppmv. Under the IPCC's
global warming potential formula that is virtually identical forcing
(280-385 ppmv CO2 plus other gases, both pre and post
Industrial Revolution changes equating to an additional forcing of ~1.8
Wm-2) for less than one-tenth the warming (0.4-0.8 kelvins
since the Industrial Revolution). Even if atmospheric carbon
dioxide is responsible for the temperature changes it is obvious the
effect is almost exhausted and no great changes can be anticipated
regardless of how much carbon dioxide might be added in the future.
This carbon dioxide thing is such a stupid game.
Sadly demonstrating what moonbats the Tories have become: Powering
ahead: How the Tories have stolen a march on Labour with new energy policy
- The Tories' new energy policies leave Labour looking like the Luddites
they are – but there is still much to improve
You have to pinch yourself. Three years ago, when my book Heat was
published, critics lined up to tell me that the plans it contained were
"unfeasible", "unviable", "too expensive"
and "politically impossible". Now these ideas, none of which
were mine alone – such as a smart grid used to transmit information
between appliances and electricity suppliers, offshore energy parks
connected to the grid with high-voltage DC cables, universal grants for
insulation, a low-carbon heat grid – have become so mainstream that
they've been adopted as policy by the Conservative party. The theory of
energy provision has changed beyond recognition since 2006. The practice
is still stuck in the dark ages.
That the Conservatives, following the Liberal Democrats and the Greens,
can outflank Labour so easily on this issue shows how attached the
governing party has become to "sunk costs". By this I mean the
lobbying power of companies which have already made their investments and
want to squeeze every last drop out of them before they expire. (George
Monbiot, The Guardian)
What an interesting world it is when the UK Socialists are more in
touch with reality than are their Conservatives, who have been infected
with the putrefaction of greenery and are rapidly decaying into the
madness of ecotheism.
Government
accused of "blackmailing" firms over emissions trading scheme
- A number of the UK's leading firms have accused the government of
blackmailing them into accepting conditions within the forthcoming Carbon
Reduction Commitment (CRC) carbon trading scheme that will effectively
punish those firms that procure green energy.
A BusinessGreen.com investigation has learned that a number of the UK's
most high-profile firms, including Asda, BT, B&Q, the Co-operative
Group and Morrisons, are concerned about rules introduced as part of the
CRC that will ensure that much of the renewable energy they use will be
measured as having the same carbon footprint as electricity from the
national grid.
They argue that consequently firms that procure energy from many renewable
sources will not see the investment recognised through the carbon trading
scheme, which is to come into full effect from next year and affect about
5,000 firms. (Tom Young, BusinessGreen)
'Get
a grip, Geoff': Emma Thompson hits back at Hoon after he labels her
Heathrow protest hypocritical - Emma Thompson has hit back at
transport secretary Geoff Hoon today after he stuck the knife into the
hypocrisy of celebrities who campaigned against the third runway at
Heathrow.
The actress joined a motley crew of green activists in buying a patch of
land next to the proposed runway, which will see an entire village wiped
off the map.
But the straight-talking minister suggested that double Oscar-winner Miss
Thompson, who jets to America for her acting work, had to examine her own
behaviour. (Daily Mail)
"It's not against flying -- just a third runway in the face of
climate change..."
Dumb as it gets: Clearing
the air - Our addiction to cheap coal is under pressure as the climate
debate rages and business tries to profit from alternatives.
WHEN Sydneysiders flick on the power, there's every chance some of the
electricity has come from a couple of coal-guzzling power plants in the
Hunter Valley.
Eraring power station's 200-metre-high chimneys tower over Lake Macquarie,
while further west, the Bayswater station is set against beef and dairy
country near Muswellbrook.
Drawing on the region's vast coal fields, these state-government owned
giants share the title of biggest stations in the country, and supply
about half the power in NSW.
They also have the dubious distinction of being among the country's
biggest polluters, and are a hot spot for environmental protesters. After
entering service in the 1980s, their drab grey chimneys spew out more than
20 million tonnes of carbon dioxide a year. That's equal to the emissions
of 4.6 million cars. A US study last year said they were among the world's
100 biggest polluters, in a survey of some 50,000 stations.
Amid the growing concerns over climate change, one might assume these
plants were fast becoming industrial relics from a bygone era. But just
last year the State Government approved an expansion of the Eraring plant
to shore up its dwindling power supply, further inflaming environmental
tensions. (Clancy Yeates, Sydney Morning Herald)
Carbon dioxide is not an atmospheric pollutant. It is an essential
trace gas and magnificent resource. Most of the surface life in this
planet is dependent on carbon dioxide's presence in the atmosphere.
Alleged Greens want to restrict that essential resource and throttle
life on Earth. So-called Greens are not life-friendly and they most
certainly are not people-friendly, so why do well-meaning people fall
for the misanthropists' propaganda?
Putin: Chevron's Man
of the Year? - I don’t know what the situation is in other areas,
but Chevron’s use-less-energy ads, launched last fall, are still thick
and heavy in the DC area. Its campaign, dubbed “Will You Join Us?”,
shows people promising to use their cars less and “unplug things
more.” (Sam Kazman, CEI)
Moscow
and Kiev strike fresh deal on gas - Russia and Ukraine on Sunday said
that a resumption of gas supplies to Europe was imminent after they agreed
the outline of a gas supply deal for this year.
The agreement, struck by Vladimir Putin, the Russian prime minister, and
Yulia Tymoshenko, his Ukrainian counterpart, calls for both sides to
compromise on gas prices and transit tariffs, ending a bitter dispute that
has caused severe gas supply disruptions in Europe for 12 days.
The European Union gave the deal a wary reception, underscoring the damage
inflicted by the dispute on Russia’s reputation as an energy supplier
and Ukraine’s reliability as a transit route. (Financial Times)
CHAD:
Panic, outcry at government charcoal ban - N'DJAMENA, 16 January 2009
- A government ban on charcoal in the Chadian capital N’djamena has
created what one observer called “explosive” conditions as families
desperately seek the means to cook.
“As we speak women and children are on the outskirts of N’djamena
scavenging for dead branches, cow dung or the occasional scrap of
charcoal,” Merlin Totinon Nguébétan of the UN Human Settlements
Programme (HABITAT) in Chad, told IRIN from the capital. “People cannot
cook.”
“Women giving birth cannot even find a bit of charcoal to heat water for
washing,” Céline Narmadji, with the Association of Women for
Development in Chad, told IRIN.
Unions and other civil society groups say the government failed to prepare
the population or make alternative household fuels available when it
halted all transport of charcoal and cooking wood into the capital in
December in a move, officials said, to protect the environment.
Charcoal is the sole source of household fuel for about 99 percent of
Chadians, N’djamena residents told IRIN. (IRIN)
Coal’s
Newest Friend - Yesterday I commented with a slightly raised eyebrow
at comments made by Steven Chu, President-elect Obama’s choice to head
DOE, on the future of coal. Dr. Chu’s comments seemed to reflect a much
more conciliatory tone toward coal as a key part of America’s energy
future. Today’s raised eyebrow comes after reading some comments by
Henery Waxman, (D-CA), new chairman of the House Energy and Commerce
Committee, as reported in the E&E ClimateWire: (Roger Pielke, Jr.,
Prometheus)
Crunching
the Data: The Ten Most Coal-Reliant Countries - It’s easy to malign
coal. And over the past few weeks, the news has been bad. A few days
before Christmas, at a power plant operated by the Tennessee Valley
Authority, a huge holding pond failed. The resulting spill flooded some
300 acres with coal ash contaminated with a variety of heavy metals
including arsenic, lead, barium, chromium and manganese. On December 29,
James Hansen, the high-profile NASA scientist who is closely aligned with
former vice president Al Gore on the issue of global warming, sent an open
letter to President-elect Barack Obama and his wife, Michelle, in which he
called coal-fired power plants “factories of death.”
While there’s no question that other sources of energy -- particularly
nuclear and natural gas -- can provide large amounts of electric power and
do so with far less carbon dioxide emissions and pollutants than coal, the
problem remains one of scale. (Renewables are fine, but they cannot
provide the baseload power and large quantities of power needed in the
near term.) But there are significant financial, political, and structural
constraints on those alternatives to coal. And those obstacles take us
back to a familiar question: If not coal, then what?
A bit of data crunching from the latest BP Statistical Review of World
Energy yields a list of the most coal-reliant countries. And that list
provides some hints as to why achieving a global carbon emissions
reduction plan will be so difficult. (Robert Bryce, Energy Tribune)
WWF
launches push to ban oil exploration in Norway's Arctic - The
Worldwide Fund for Nature (WWF) and other environmental organisations on
Saturday launched a campaign to ban oil exploration in the Lofoten
Islands, a picturesque archipelago in Norway's Arctic.
"This campaign is aimed at telling the Norwegian government that it
is not acceptable to open up this area to oil exploration," WWF
spokesman Clive Tesar told AFP.
Norway is the world's fifth-biggest oil exporter, but it has seen its
production decline since peaking in 2001 and no major discoveries have
been made in recent years. (AFP)
Video: The
2012 Pelosi GTxi SS/RT Sport Edition (Iowahawk)
But
Who Will Drive Them? - The cornucopia of hybrid and electric vehicles
showcased at the North American International Auto Show this week suggests
that the nation’s automakers — domestic and transplanted — have
finally acknowledged the need to deliver the fuel-efficient cars and
trucks for a future of expensive gas and increasing environmental
pressures.
But a big obstacle remains to the greening of American drivers: the price
tag. With gas prices likely to remain low as consumers grapple with
recession, drivers are going to need extra motivation to swap their gas
gluttons for the novel, environmentally friendly cars and trucks. If the
incoming Obama administration is serious about its commitment to boost the
fuel efficiency of the American fleet, it must put in place a mix of
policies, beyond tightening fuel-economy standards for carmakers, to steer
drivers to the new cars. (New York Times)
On the other hand they could do something sensible and leave it
up to consumers to drive the market buy buying vehicles that suit the
consumers needs rather than watermelons' fantasies.
Wind
Farm Off Cape Cod Clears Hurdle - BOSTON — A federal agency said
Friday that the nation’s first offshore wind farm, proposed for the
waters off Cape Cod, posed no serious environmental threat, bringing it a
major step closer to fruition.
Homeowners and boaters on the cape, including Senator Edward M. Kennedy,
Democrat of Massachusetts, have fought the project for eight years, saying
it would hurt wildlife, fishing and tourism and spoil the beauty of
Nantucket Sound.
Opponents have sued to stop the project, known as Cape Wind, and more
challenges are certain, keeping the path to construction bumpy despite
what supporters on Friday called a crucial victory.
The Alliance to Protect Nantucket Sound, a group formed to fight the
project, suggested that the Bush administration had unscrupulously rushed
to approve it before President-elect Barack Obama takes office next week.
“They wanted some kind of a legacy,” said Audra Parker, the group’s
executive director. “Cape Wind is far from a done deal, despite this
favorable report.” (New York Times)
Congratulations
to Winners of the 2008 Weblog Awards - BASED on 933,022 votes cast in
48 categories over seven days of voting winners of The 2008 Weblog Awards
have now been announced.
Veteran political blogger, columnist and author, Andrew Sullivan, won the
best blog beating the Huffington Post and others. Mr Sullivan’s blogs is
hosted by the Atlantic magazine.
Climate change sceptic, Anthony Watts, won best Science blog. Mr Watts,
and his team, focus on climate change issues and have a project auditing
US weather stations which makes for great visuals and amazing reading.
I would also like to particularly congratulate Lubos Motl for winning best
European blog and Tim Blair for winning best Australian blog. (Jennifer
Marohasy)
Congratulations
To Anthony Watts For His Well Deserved Recognition! - Anthony Watts
has won the best science weblog for 2008; see The 2008 Weblog Awards
Winners.
This is an appropriate and well deserved recognition of the importance of
Anthony’s weblog Watts Up With That, which is providing a much needed
discussion of climate science. We all should look forward to another year
of accomplishments and issues from this outstanding website! (Roger Pielke
Sr., Climate Science)
When
employers determine fitness — fireman fired for diet failure -
Remember the 280-pound fireman who was fired last summer because his
bosses said his weight made him “unfit” for duty? The world’s
strongest and fittest Olympic athletes proved that weight is no measure of
fitness, making it clear to the world what his firing was really about.
(Junkfood Science)
Government
health officials decide it’s acceptable to bully fat children - A
sickening development of the Department of Health’s Change4Life campaign
to eradicate obesity and create a "lifestyle revolution"
occurred this week. When public health officials learned that this
misguided campaign was, not surprisingly, resulting in children being
bullied, they decided that it was okay for the fat children to be
bullied... (Junkfood Science)
What
doctors are talking about with healthcare reform
If medicine becomes, as Nazi medicine did, the handmaiden of economics,
politics or any force other than one that promotes the good of the
patient, it loses its soul and becomes an instrument that justifies
oppression and the violation of human rights. — Dr. Edmund D.
Pelligrino, M.D., “The Nazi doctors and Nuremberg: Some moral lessons
revisited,” 1997.
When it comes to the future of our healthcare, having both eyes open is
especially critical. It’s easy to believe that the solutions to our
anxieties about medical care are simple. It’s even easier to miss the
profound unintended consequences for us when we look to solutions in the
wrong places. (Junkfood Science)
My
father's obesity made me into an anorexic: How a daughter's worry turned
into an eating disorder - Emma adored her father but his constant
gorging drove her to stop eating - and nearly killed her. (Daily Mail)
The
things you can perk up with a cup of coffee - 'Danger from just seven
cups of coffee a day," said the Daily Express on Wednesday. "Too
much coffee can make you hallucinate and sense dead people, say sleep
experts. The equivalent of just seven cups of instant coffee a day is
enough to trigger the weird responses." The story appeared in almost
every national newspaper.
This was weak observational data. That's just the start of our story, but
you should know exactly what the researchers did. They sent an email
inviting students to fill out an online survey, and 219 agreed. (Ben
Goldacre, The Guardian)
Players love the
game not the gore - The next time a loved one brandishes a virtual
shotgun in their favorite video game, take heart. That look of glee, says
a new study, likely stems from the healthy pleasure of mastering a
challenge rather than from a disturbing craving for carnage.
Research to be published online January 16 in the Personality and Social
Psychology Bulletin shows that, contrary to popular belief, violence does
not make video games more enjoyable. The study by investigators at the
University of Rochester and Immersyve Inc., a player-experience research
firm, found that for many people, gore actually detracts from a game's
"fun factor," decreasing players' interest and desire to
purchase a game. When designing the next generation of video games, added
the authors, developers should remember: blood does not help the bottom
line. (University of Rochester)
The
Films Are Green, but Is Sundance? - PARK CITY, Utah — If it were
possible to cleanse the planet by watching a movie, this would be the
place to do it.
IStill, a stroll here this week down Main Street — where a dozen idling
trucks were unloading supplies and equipment, while an oversize band bus,
with trailer in tow, spewed fumes outside a soon-to-be-busy party site —
framed the obvious quandary: how can you cram some 46,000 people, roughly
equivalent to a fifth of Hollywood’s total work force, into a pretty
little mountain town without contributing mightily to the problems your
films hope to solve?
The airlift alone should give pause to the likes of Mr. Udall, or to the
makers of “No Impact Man,” a documentary about the effort by a New
Yorker, Colin Beavan, and his family to live for a year without making a
net environmental impact. (New York Times)
Torn
Between Green Galas? At Least They’re a Walk Apart - IN Washington
on Monday night, the giants of the environment and conservation movements
will gather to celebrate the inauguration, but they will do it at two very
different galas — with very different philosophies. (New York Times)
Passing
The Torch Of National Safety - George W. Bush's administration
achieved what few believed possible after 9/11 — a perfect record of
keeping America safe. Will President Obama keep the streak going? (IBD)

Obama’s
Green Team - We can expect a proliferation of new regulations that
will reach into every area of American life and commerce.
What do President-elect Barack Obama’s leadership picks tell us about
the kinds of energy and environmental policies we can expect in the next
four to eight years? On balance, they suggest we are in for a radical
shift away from George W. Bush’s pro-market policies and back to the
aggressive regulatory approach favored by the Clinton administration.
Let’s take a look at Obama’s prospective appointees. (Kenneth P.
Green, The American)
More
Than An Empty Suit? - CHURCHVILLE, VA—We elected a President we
hardly knew. Barack Obama’s campaign team—and the mainstream
press—told us only that we should feel “hopeful.”
Now we seem to be relying on this man to rebuild the U.S. economy almost
from scratch. That’s highly unlikely. My former boss, Gary Seevers, was
on Nixon’s Council of Economic Advisors, and before that a top official
in Nixon’s wage-and-price-control effort. He told me that “neither the
CEA nor government price-fixing ever had a chance to succeed. The economic
data was too late and too weak, and the tools too flimsy.” Seevers
ultimately put his faith in good incentives.
Obama himself was blind-sided by the sub-prime mortgage collapse, and his
response was that he’d save the economy with a replay of Franklin
Roosevelt’s New Deal public works projects. That meant he had no real
rescue ideas. After all, U.S. unemployment was nearly 25 percent when
Roosevelt was elected, and was still at 19 percent in 1938, after six
years of Roosevelt’s “pump-priming.” Many of the public works
weren’t badly needed, and they all took a long time to plan and pay out.
Not until World War II did America finally rise out of the Depression.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are still guaranteeing high-risk mortgages for
poorly-qualified buyers, applauded by Barney Frank and the hard-left
Democrats. Investment does not mean buying a house the buyer can’t
afford. Investment means putting capital into your trucking firm or
computer service company and then buying the big house after the business
starts to earn income for you. Investment first, rewards second. (Dennis
T. Avery, CGFI)
Organic
food tied to Puna Rat Lungworm outbreak -- more cases reported -
Another case or Rat Lungworm disease has been diagnosed in the
Kapoho-Kalapana area of Puna and more unreported cases have been revealed.
The outbreak has been tied to organic farming. (Andrew Walden, Hawai`i
Free Press)
January 16, 2009
Browner:
Redder Than Obama Knows - Incoming White House energy-environment czar
Carol Browner was recently discovered to be a commissioner in Socialist
International. While that revelation has been ignored by the mainstream
media and blithely dismissed by her supporters, you may soon be paying the
cost of Browner’s political beliefs in your electricity bill. (Steven
Millioy, FoxNews.com)
Obama’s
anti-oil team - The president-elect is poised to hand environmental
policy to people who want to punish petroleum
The environmental lobby is positively rapturous over Barack Obama’s new
“Green Dream Team,” appointed to stomp out our carbon footprint. In
sharp contrast to the president-elect’s relatively moderate — if not
downright stale — picks for other cabinet posts, the green teamers are
widely regarded as unwavering in their devotion to more stringent
regulations and steeper taxes. To the extent they accomplish their goals,
Canada will suffer as America’s foremost petroleum supplier and leading
trading partner. (Diane Katz, Financial Post)
As part of our "looking at loonies" series: Dr.
John P. Holdren
John P. Holdren is Professor of Environmental Policy at the Kennedy School
of Government and in the Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences at
Harvard University. He is the director of the Woods Hole Oceanographic
Institution Research Center and board chairman of the American Association
for the Advancement of Science. He will serve as the President’s science
adviser as director of the White House Office of Science and Technology.
The videos are from a conference at the Kennedy School of Government in
2007. The title of the lecture is “Global Climate Disruption: What Do We
Know, What Should We Do?” (By The Fault)

Jackson
indicates resolve to move forward on carbon emission rules -
President-elect Obama’s nominee to run the Environmental Protection
Agency, Lisa Jackson, said Wednesday that she would work alongside
Congress in developing a plan to regulate carbon dioxide emissions but
that the process of combating global climate change could start at EPA.
The issue of EPA regulating carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases is a
sensitive topic on Capitol Hill. Members of both parties have expressed
nervousness at the prospect of being left out of a decision that will
affect such a large swath of the economy, particularly during a downturn.
The U.S. Supreme Court found in Massachusetts v. EPA that the agency did
have the power, under the Clean Air Act, to regulate carbon dioxide if it
so chooses. A decision that finds carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas
emissions to be a danger to the environment will “trigger the beginning
of regulation in this country on CO2,” Jackson told the Senate
Environment and Public Works Committee at her confirmation hearing.
That effort will require “extraordinary communication” between the
administration and Congress on how to proceed, Jackson said.
Jackson said her initial priorities would be determined largely by court
cases, like Massachusetts v. EPA, that have directed EPA to act. Other
court rulings require action to cut sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxide and
mercury emissions from power plants. (The Hill)
Inclusive
Science - Because their specialized knowledge confers authority,
climate scientists should make every effort to be accurate and complete
when communicating to the public about the politically divisive issue of
climate change. Unfortunately, there are several points where Alexander
Bedritsky's thought-provoking article "Meteorology and the War on
Climate Change" (Summer 2008) fails to do this.
Bedritsky states that "human activities are altering the climate at
an increasingly alarming rate." However, according to data from the
United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the rate
of planetary warming that was established in the mid-1970s has been
remarkably constant, varying only slightly from 0.17°C per decade.
(Patrick J. Michaels, Harvard International Review Fall 2008)
Go make money instead of looking for handouts ya lazy beggars! Companies
Lay Out Wishes For U.S. Carbon Law - WASHINGTON/NEW YORK - A group of
large U.S. companies, including the troubled Big Three automakers, on
Thursday offered Congress a blueprint for greenhouse gas regulation with
looser limits than President-elect Barack Obama has called for.
The U.S. Climate Action Partnership, a group of 26 big companies and
several environmental organizations, proposed reducing greenhouse gas
emissions by 80 percent from 2005 levels by 2050 through an economy-wide
cap-and-trade program.
"It will not be cheap and it will not be easy," said Jim Rogers,
chief executive of electricity supplier Duke Energy Corp, the
third-largest U.S. consumer of coal.
But Rogers and other CEOs from the group urged Congress to pass a new law
this year, saying delays will cost the battered economy more in the
long-term. (Reuters)
Sheesh! How did we decline to the point where captains of industry
have been replaced by the foot soldiers of Socialism? Once American
companies knew how it was done and that money was there for the making
but this lot seem to be infected with European socialism and simply want
to transfer wealth (from your pockets to theirs).
PIERS
AKERMAN: Cold comfort - THE rift between members of the federal
National Party and the federal Liberal Party over strategy to deal with
the Rudd Labor Government's global warming policy should not be allowed to
destroy the coalition's electoral hopes.
Senator Barnaby Joyce, who is openly derisive of the Ruddites embrace of
the theory of human-induced global warming, is an absolutist. With good
reason, he sees the government's planned emissions trading scheme as
socialism run wild, as a new tax, and as a protectionist mechanism offered
to those businesses who scramble to take up the offer of free emissions
permits now.
Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull, who opts for the "insurance''
approach to the theory of global warming advocated several years ago by
global publisher Rupert Murdoch, believes it is prudent to give the planet
"the benefit of the doubt''.
Nevertheless, he remains committed to the view that it is not smart for
Australia to lock in a design for an emissions
trading system now, when the new US administration of Barack Obama has yet
to be sworn in and before the major nations meet in Copenhagen to further
debate the issue. He also has an eye on the big businesses most affected,
mining and energy, which are agitating, as always, for some certainty -
and for a chance to grab free permits now and lock out possible future
competitors.
It's a pity big business doesn't have the same sympathy for the concerns
of the conservative side of politics. It is sheer lunacy for Australia,
which produces such a minuscule volume of so-called greenhouse gases to
consider introducing a regimen which has been universally acknowledged as
having absolutely no effect on even the theoretical effects of supposed
global warming.
It is just as insane for Australia to propose a universal model for an ETS
when it is a certainty that the incoming Obama administration, loaded as
it is with environmental activists who have proclaimed strong positions on
a cap-and-trade emissions scheme, will wish to play a lead role in the
global development of an ETS. (Geelong Advertiser)
Junk
Science on the Internet - A reporter just wrote me to ask for
reactions to this new “analysis” by the good folks at DeSmogBlog,
which reports that from 2007 to 2008 blog mentions of combinations of
“global warming” plus terms like “hoax” and “lie” and
“skeptic” have doubled, suggesting, according to DeSmogBlog,
a very significant upswing in online activity. This trend should be
troubling to US policymakers and campaigners wanting to implement new
greenhouse gas reduction strategies.
Here is my response:
I just searched “global warming” + pizza and came up with the
following:
2007 — 11,168
2008 — 24,907
Maybe there is a connection with secret Domino’s funding? ;-)
Social science this is not.
All the best,
Roger
There is indeed a lot of junk on the internet. Be careful out there.
(Roger Pielke, Jr., Prometheus)
Record-breaking
years in autocorrelated series - As Rafa has pointed out, E. Zorita,
T. Stocker, and H. von Storch have a paper in Geophysical Research
Letters,
How unusual is the recent series of warm years? (full text, PDF; see also
abstract),
in which they claim that even if we consider temperature to be an
autocorrelated function of time with sensible parameters, there is only
0.1% probability that the 13 hottest years in the list of 127 years (since
1880) appear in the most recent 17 years, much like they do in reality
according to HadCRUT3/GISS stations.
If we add a non-autocorrelated noise, typical for local temperature data,
the temperature readings become more random and a similar clustering of
records becomes even less likely because the autocorrelation that keeps
the probability of clustered records from becoming insanely low is
suppressed. This matches the reality, too, because local weather records
usually don't have that many record-breakers in the recent two decades.
What percentage of civilized planets shoot An Inconvenient Truth?
But after detailed simulations, I am confident that the main statement of
their paper about the probability in the global context - 0.1% (that would
strongly indicate that the recent warm years are unlikely to be due to
chance) - is completely wrong. (The Reference Frame)
Hillary adopts W's climate policy? 'India
need to be part of climate change agreement' - WASHINGTON: The US
Secretary of State-designate, Hillary Clinton, has said countries
including India must be made part of any agreement on climate change and
announced that the Obama Administration would appoint a Climate Change
Envoy for the purpose.
"As we move toward Copenhagen and attempt to craft a climate change
agreement, all the major nations must be part of it. You know, China,
India, Russia, and others, they have to be part of whatever agreement we
put forth," Clinton said during the course of her nomination hearing
before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee yesterday. (Economic Times)
Actually what she's saying is there will be no climate agreement
since India has already categorically refused to limit per capita
emissions below that of Western nations (i.e., a many-times GHG emission
increase).
Bush’s
Climate Negotiator Joins House Republicans -- Harlan Watson, President
George W. Bush’s chief negotiator on a global climate-change treaty,
will join the Republican staff of a House committee on energy independence
and global warming.
Watson, who works for the State Department, led the U.S. delegation’s
discussions in Poland last year on a successor treaty to the Kyoto
Protocol, which called for industrial nations to curb greenhouse-gas
emissions 5 percent from 1990 levels. The Bush administration opposed the
treaty because it didn’t include emissions limits for developing nations
such as China and India. (Bloomberg)
Interest
in global warming cooling off - It looks a lot like someone hit the
snooze button on North American action to address climate change. (Barbara
Yaffe, Vancouver Sun)
Back in Fantasia: Sun-Reflecting
Crops Could Ease Global Warming - LONDON - Farmers could help produce
cooler temperatures and limit global warming if they grow crop varieties
that reflect more sunlight into space, British researchers said on
Thursday.
Using a global climate model, they found this strategy could cool much of
Europe, North America and parts of North Asia by up to one degree Celsius
during the summer growing season, enough to make a difference in easing
heat waves and drought.
It would also translate into a 20 percent reduction in a predicted five
degree Celsius temperature rise for the region by the end of the century,
Andy Ridgwell and colleagues said in the journal Current Biology.
(Reuters)
By the way Andy, there is no "predicted five degree Celsius
temperature rise", that's merely an extreme scenario generated by a
computer model (the most extreme of the IPCC's infamous 'storylines').
Coalition
to lay out greenhouse-gas plan today - The most detailed proposal yet
by industry and environmentalists to reduce U.S. greenhouse-gas emissions
will call for raising the costs of new coal plants and rewarding nations
for protecting forests.
Rio Tinto Group, General Electric Co. and U.S. power producers will
present the plan today to a congressional committee and recommend
“urgent” action, according to a copy of the report by the 32-member
coalition obtained by Bloomberg News.

CO2
Emissions From IT Sector A Growing Concern - As global warming
concerns move beyond conventional targets such as aviation, heavy industry
and coal plants, the computing sector is falling under growing scrutiny
over total energy consumption and CO2 emissions from data centers.
Indeed, analysts say the information and communication technology (ICT)
now contributes 2 percent of global carbon emissions, and has grown to
rival aviation in its contribution to global warming.
"(The computing) industry has been profligate in electrical activity.
No one cared about CO2 over the last 10 years. Suddenly people care about
it, the availability of electricity is now a limiting factor," said
Simon Mingay, a chief analyst at Gartner Inc., during an interview with
Reuters.
Analysts project the ICT sector will grow its carbon emissions by 6
percent annually, twice the 3 percent growth seen in the aviation sector,
according to a 2008 International Air Transport Association (IATA) report.
The ICT sector growth is being driven by insatiable demand for computing
hardware, software and services. (redOrbit)
Shame
on you, Discover Magazine - Discover magazine’s January “The Year
In Science” issue contains an interview with Robert Proctor, a professor
or history at Stanford University. The Author is Michael Abrams.
Proctor’s new specialty is “agnotology,” a term he coined for “the
study of the politics of ignorance.” This is all well and fine - he has
a lot of raw material to work with since there is an abundance of
ignorance to be studied in this world.
In a previous incarnation Professor Proctor gained fame as the first
historian to testify against the tobacco industry. As a student of the
history of science, Proctor should know something about the relationship
between philosophy, logic and science. He should know something about the
logical fallacy commonly known as “hasty generalization.” But he
engages in an egregious example of this when he says:
“…in terms of sowing doubt, certainly global warming in a famous one.
You know, the global warming denialists who for years have managed to say
‘Well, the cause is not proven. We need more research.’ And what’s
interesting is that a lot of the people working on that were also the
people working on Big Tobacco.” (Climate Sanity)
Guest
Weblog By Madhav Khandekar - There is an article in Science [H/T to W.
F. Lenihan!] Historical Warnings of Future Food Insecurity with
Unprecedented Seasonal Heat David. S. Battisti and Rosamond L. Naylor
Science 9 January 2009: 240-244.
The abstract of this article reads: “Higher growing season temperatures
can have dramatic impacts on agricultural productivity, farm incomes, and
food security. We used observational data and output from 23 global
climate models to show a high probability (>90%) that growing season
temperatures in the tropics and subtropics by the end of the 21st century
will exceed the most extreme seasonal temperatures recorded from 1900 to
2006. In temperate regions, the hottest seasons on record will represent
the future norm in many locations. We used historical examples to
illustrate the magnitude of damage to food systems caused by extreme
seasonal heat and show that these short-run events could become long-term
trends without sufficient investments in adaptation.”
An excellent weblog by Pat Michaels on this Science paper is also worth
reading (see).
Madhav Khandekar has e-mailed me on this article, and graciously accepted
my invitation to post as a guest weblog his insightful comments on this
paper. Dr. Khandekar is an Environmental Consultant (extreme weather
events) and worked for 25 years with Environment Canada in Meteorology.
His weblog follows. (Roger Pielke Sr., Climate Science)
Fish
poop helps balance ocean's acid levels - The ocean's delicate acid
balance may be getting help from an unexpected source, fish poop.
The increase in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere not only drives global
warming, but also raises the amount of CO2 dissolved in ocean water,
tending to make it more acid, potentially a threat to sea life.
Alkaline chemicals like calcium carbonate can help balance this acid.
Scientists had thought the main source for this balancing chemical was the
shells of marine plankton, but they were puzzled by the
higher-than-expected amounts of carbonate in the top levels of the water.
Now researchers led by Rod W. Wilson of the University of Exeter in
England report in the journal Science that marine fish contribute between
3 percent and 15 percent of total carbonate.
And the contribution may be even higher than that, say the researchers
from the U.S., Canada and England. (Associated Press)
Pick
a Number - Any Number - Worldwatch, which aims to ‘empower decision
makers to build an ecologically sustainable society that meets human
needs’ have upped the stakes:
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - To avoid the most catastrophic effects of
climate change, world carbon emissions will have to drop to near zero by
2050…
The increase now being demanded by Worldwatch pretends to have a rational,
scientific basis… (Climate Resistance)
Depressed Carbon
Prices To Have Ripple Effects - LONDON - Tumbling prices for emissions
permits may have knock-on effects on the world's $120 billion carbon
market, including a slowing of U.N. offset supplies and a shake out in
green project developers.
Carbon offsets traded under the Kyoto Protocol and used by European
industry to meet carbon caps, representing a $32 billion market last year,
have not escaped the global economic downturn, more than halving 2-year
highs hit last summer.
That came on the back of weak energy prices, increased selling of credits
by cash-strapped firms and an anticipated drop in emissions from muted
European industrial production. (Reuters)
Given that they are worth exactly nothing...
Schwarzenegger's
bid to suspend environmental rules in budget talks irks longtime allies
- SACRAMENTO, Calif. - Like any head of state managing a severe budget
crisis, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has withstood criticism from all the
usual suspects — lawmakers from both parties, anti-tax groups, advocates
for the poor.
Now he's feeling heat from a group that has been among his staunchest
allies: environmentalists.
As Schwarzenegger and lawmakers struggle to contain a ballooning deficit,
he has insisted that any budget deal include a provision suspending state
environmental review for certain public works projects.
The governor said that would fast-track infrastructure projects and put
Californians back to work quickly. He said his proposal would accelerate
construction on 10 road projects around the state, noting at a recent news
conference: "It's about jobs, jobs, jobs."
His demand has been one of the main sticking points in budget negotiations
that so far have failed to produce a solution to the state's deficit,
despite three special legislative sessions. California's shortfall is
expected to reach nearly $42 billion by June 2010 unless lawmakers act to
close it.
Last week, Schwarzenegger vetoed a Democratic budget proposal, in part
because it lacked the environmental rollbacks he and many in the business
community desire. (Associated Press)
As if you hadn't been warned not to ever let this nonsense creep into
the books even when times are good and it can be viewed as a tolerable
waste cost. Don't do it because it is very hard to get rid of when
sacrificial surplus is not available. Misanthropic environmentalism is a
luxury good and must be expunged from the legislature.
Transport Can
Help Propel World To Greener Future - TOKYO - Shipping, airlines and
road transport need to clean up their emissions and help drive governments
toward policies to fight global warming, a top U.N. official said on
Thursday.
The transport sector accounts for more than 20 percent of mankind's carbon
dioxide emissions, and further growth is likely given rising demand for
cars, goods and travel in developing countries.
Transport will also be a key part of a broader U.N. climate pact about 190
nations will try to agree on at the end of the year during talks on a
successor to the Kyoto Protocol. (Reuters)
Paulson on Energy
Rationing - Secretary of the Treasury Henry Paulson took time out of
his busy schedule wasting 700 billion dollars of taxpayer money (and
thereby turning a credit crisis into a depression) to speak at Resources
for the Future on Monday afternoon on the subject of how markets can
address climate change and other environmental problems. (Myron Ebell, CEI)
Energy
Bubble, Anyone? - Henry Waxman Gives Public a Look at the
Corporate-Congressional Alliance that Threatens to Raise Energy Prices in
Pursuit of Private Profit
Washington, DC - Thursday’s first hearing of the U.S. House Energy and
Commerce Committee since Rep. Henry Waxman (D-CA) ousted Rep. John Dingell
(D-MI) as chairman is drawing criticism from the National Center for
Public Policy Research, which says the hearing illustrates how powerful
corporate interests are working with influential special interests and
with the liberal majority in Congress to use government to enhance private
profits at great cost to economic growth and liberty. (National Center)
Groups
sue BLM over oil and gas leases - ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. - A coalition of
environmental groups is suing the Bureau of Land Management.
They claim the agency violated several federal laws and policies in
granting oil and gas leases on more than 68,000 acres of public land in
New Mexico.
The lawsuit was filed today in federal court by the Western Environmental
Law Center, which filed a similar lawsuit in Montana last month.
(Associated Press)
Coal
Industry Digs Itself Out of a Hole in the Capitol - Support From EPA,
Energy Nominees Signals Obama Team Headed Toward Center on Matter of
Fossil Fuels and Carbon Emissions
WASHINGTON -- Big Coal is on a roll in the nation's capital, winning early
rounds this week in what promises to be a long fight over fossil fuels and
climate change.
Despite a well-funded ad campaign by environmentalists attacking the
industry, and a huge coal-ash spill in Tennessee that has led to calls for
more regulation, the industry has received positive assurances this week
from President-elect Barack Obama's nominees that the new administration
is committed to keeping coal a big part of the nation's energy source.
On Wednesday, Mr. Obama's choice to lead the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency, Lisa Jackson, described coal to a Senate panel as "a vital
resource" for the country. A day earlier, Mr. Obama's nominee to run
the Energy Department, physicist Steven Chu, referred to coal as a
"great natural resource." Two years ago, he called the expansion
of coal-fired power plants his "worst nightmare." (Wall Street
Journal)
Eastern
Europe Faces Freezing Temperatures and Russian Gas Cut-Off - With
freezing temperatures across most of Europe, there was heated anger,
especially in Eastern Europe on Wednesday, about the suspension in natural
gas deliveries from Russia through Ukraine. The gas crisis comes at a
difficult time for leading politicians, especially in Bulgaria, where some
2,000 people demanded the government's resignation on Wednesday over
allegations of corruption.
The shortages of natural gas from Russia added to anger of protesters who
braved the cold in Bulgaria's capital, Sofia, to demand the resignation of
the country's Socialist-led government. (VOA)
Gas
Shutdown Shows Need for Europe Energy Cartel: Matthew Lynn -- It is a
freezing winter. Temperatures have dropped right across Europe. Even
Madrid’s Barajas Airport was plunged into chaos by snowfalls, the first
flakes the Spanish capital has had for four years.
In the midst of that, Russian energy company OAO Gazprom is playing
politics with the continent’s gas supplies.
For the past week, a dispute with Ukraine over the shipment of gas through
its pipelines has threatened energy shortages in Europe. The European
Union managed to negotiate a compromise that got the power flowing again
yesterday. Even so, Russia’s ability to turn the power on and off has
been demonstrated again. (Bloomberg)
Russia
divides Europe with gas crisis summit - Russia has called a gas crisis
summit that will cut out the European Union.
Dmitry Medvedev, the Russian President, has invited countries hit by the
Russia-Ukraine gas dispute to a meeting planned for Saturday. But he
conspicuously failed to mention the EU. (Daily Telegraph)
The
Nuclear Option: European Gas Dispute Gives Nukes Fresh Legs - Just
when it seemed the Russia-Ukraine natural-gas dispute was solved, tempers
flared again Wednesday. Europe is still the big loser, as Russian gas
still isn’t flowing across Ukraine and to the West. The big winner?
Nuclear power. (Keith Johnson, WSJ)
Germans
to invest £20bn in new UK nuclear plants - Germany's two largest
power companies joined forces yesterday and announced an ambitious plan to
build at least four nuclear reactors in the UK at an estimated cost of £20
billion. (The Times)
Michael
McCarthy: Gordon Brown doesn't get climate change - At a stroke Gordon
Brown destroys his environmental credibility and that of his Government.
His sanctioning of Heathrow's third runway with the huge leap in the UK's
greenhouse gas emissions that will be consequent upon it will be seen as
one of his premiership-defining decisions, on a par with his failure to
call an election in October 2007. It will come back to haunt him.
It is very likely that in pushing this through, Mr Brown has been strongly
influenced by his New Best Friend, the Business Secretary, Lord Mandelson,
whom he brought back into the Cabinet, and who is strongly aligned with
the business case for expanding Heathrow and the aviation sector as a
boost to Britain's future economic performance.
But the Prime Minister of course has a mind of his own, and he would not
have agreed to such a controversial measure if he did not at heart agree
with it himself. And what his decision now proves beyond doubt is what
many environmentalists and not a few politicians (including some of those
close to him) have long suspected – that Mr Brown does not really
"get" climate change, in the way that, for example, Tony Blair
clearly did. (The Independent)
Heathrow
gets third runway and sixth terminal in £9bn deal - The biggest
airport expansion for 60 years will be approved today when the Government
gives the go-ahead to a £9 billion third runway and sixth terminal at
Heathrow.
Ministers will attempt to appease environmental groups by pledging that
the extra runway capacity will be linked to tough new emissions standards
for aircraft. Only airlines that buy the most fuel-efficient aircraft will
be granted additional slots.
However, the aviation industry is already committed to introducing more
efficient aircraft and the runway is likely to be heavily used as soon as
it opens in 2019 or 2020. An extra 600 flights a day will pass over London
and tens of thousands of extra cars will add to congestion on roads near
the airport, including the M4 and M25. (The Times)
Biofuel carbon
footprint not as big as feared, research says - Publications ranging
from the journal Science to Time magazine have blasted biofuels for
significantly contributing to greenhouse gas emissions, calling into
question the environmental benefits of making fuel from plant material.
But a new analysis by Michigan State University scientists says these dire
predictions are based on a set of assumptions that may not be correct.
(Michigan State University)
Scientists
find clean method of making fuel from manure - A university professor
and a corporate research group have jointly developed technology to
produce hydrogen for use in fuel cells from cattle dung and urine for the
first time in the world.
The new technology used by Obihiro University of Agriculture and
Veterinary Medicine Prof. Junichi Takahashi and Sumitomo Corp.'s research
group also can be applied to human waste and allows the production of
hydrogen without producing unwanted carbon dioxide.
The research may pave the way for the eventual development of household
"toilet generators."
In the process, cattle dung and urine first need to be fermented under
oxygen-free conditions to extract ammonia, which is then electrolyzed into
hydrogen and nitrogen. The hydrogen is then fed into a fuel cell along
with oxygen, where the two react to produce electricity.
Takahashi and the group spent about 2 million yen to build an experimental
apparatus, which measures 2 meters by 1 meter, that produces hydrogen from
fermented animal waste. Using the device in conjunction with a fuel cell,
they successfully produced 0.2 watt of electricity from about 20 kilograms
of cattle waste. (Yomiuri Shimbun)
That's 1kW/100mt cattle waste... I'm not sure what the dry weight of
100 metric tons of cattle waste would be but I strongly suspect burning
it would yield something rather more than 1 kilowatt.

Unsettling
observation - Remember how that fictitious claim of an epidemic of
type 2 diabetes in children that had been published in Pediatrics, the
journal of the American Academy of Pediatrics, went uncontested for years?
In fact, four years later, the journal has yet to issue a correction or
publish a letter pointing out the glaring methodological flaws in that
paper.
...
It’s hard to know what is most troubling: the fact these articles are
being published in a peer-reviewed medical journal, or that licensed
medical professionals caring for children haven’t noticed anything amiss
with the science. (Junkfood Science)
Children
are not ferrets and other fallacies of logic - If you are a ferret,
sticking your nose into a jar of Vicks VapoRub might make your nose run a
little and irritate your sinuses.
At least that’s what we can safely conclude from a recent study on 15
ferrets. The ferrets were anesthetized and intubated. Some Vicks VapoRub
had been put on the end of their endotracheal tube. Their mucociliary
function was measured and found to be decreased 35% over controls and the
mucous secretions increased 14% in the healthy ferrets and 8% in the ones
who had their tracheas artificially inflamed. The ointment did not lead to
any increase in lung congestion.
This study was conducted by pediatricians at Wake Forest University School
of Medicine in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. It was published, not in a
veterinary journal, but in Chest, the journal of the American College of
Chest Physicians.
While few people have ferrets and children are not ferrets, why is this
study being mentioned at all? It has been used to support hundreds of news
stories this week scaring parents that VapoRub is dangerous and could hurt
their kids. (Yes, there was a press release.) At MSNBC, for instance,
readers don’t learn until eleven paragraphs into the story that “the
new study” behind the “warning issued for parents” was done on
ferrets. (Junkfood Science)
A
look to the future of obesity and wellness care in the news -
Transitions can be unsettling when we don’t know what to expect, but the
picture for public health is becoming clearer with the latest news.
Health and Human Services Secretary-Designate Tom Daschle spoke to the
Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions last week,
outlining the public health priorities for the upcoming Administration.
Tim Foley at Healthcare Change Organization summarized his key goals for
reform: change the focus to preventive wellness; establish a national
health electronic database and interoperable health IT system; and fund a
National Health Services Corp to mobilize all healthcare professionals
(“all hands on deck”). Daschle ended his talk with a battle cry
calling to make wellness part of the culture in everything from education
to health, saying: “We need to make wellness cool, and prevention
hot.” (Junkfood Science)
Zealots
advancing on all fronts - The striking figure in Sandy’s analysis of
the Third Hand Smoking myth is that within a week half a million stories
appeared around the globe reporting as a scientific fact something that
had simply been invented, without any attempt at producing scientific
evidence: indeed, something that is contrary to the very laws of science.
In a cooling world, despite huge amounts of contrary evidence, the
imagined evils of carbon are propagated with ever increasing ferocity. The
crescendo in the suppression-of-alcohol campaign continues unabated and as
fast as junk statistics are debunked they are reinvented. The obesity
brigade is as ruthless as any of them in fabricating stories with no
scientific basis; frightening people into conformity. (Number Watch)
Sometimes NYT still gets it right: Where
Sweatshops Are a Dream - Before Barack Obama and his team act on their
talk about “labor standards,” I’d like to offer them a tour of the
vast garbage dump here in Phnom Penh.
This is a Dante-like vision of hell. It’s a mountain of festering
refuse, a half-hour hike across, emitting clouds of smoke from
subterranean fires.
The miasma of toxic stink leaves you gasping, breezes batter you with
filth, and even the rats look forlorn. Then the smoke parts and you come
across a child ambling barefoot, searching for old plastic cups that
recyclers will buy for five cents a pound. Many families actually live in
shacks on this smoking garbage.
Mr. Obama and the Democrats who favor labor standards in trade agreements
mean well, for they intend to fight back at oppressive sweatshops abroad.
But while it shocks Americans to hear it, the central challenge in the
poorest countries is not that sweatshops exploit too many people, but that
they don’t exploit enough.
Talk to these families in the dump, and a job in a sweatshop is a
cherished dream, an escalator out of poverty, the kind of gauzy if
probably unrealistic ambition that parents everywhere often have for their
children. (Nicholas D. Kristof, New York Times)
Zealots
advancing on all fronts - The striking figure in Sandy’s analysis of
the Third Hand Smoking myth is that within a week half a million stories
appeared around the globe reporting as a scientific fact something that
had simply been invented, without any attempt at producing scientific
evidence: indeed, something that is contrary to the very laws of science.
In a cooling world, despite huge amounts of contrary evidence, the
imagined evils of carbon are propagated with ever increasing ferocity. The
crescendo in the suppression-of-alcohol campaign continues unabated and as
fast as junk statistics are debunked they are reinvented. The obesity
brigade is as ruthless as any of them in fabricating stories with no
scientific basis; frightening people into conformity. (Number Watch)
Sometimes NYT still gets it right: Where
Sweatshops Are a Dream - Before Barack Obama and his team act on their
talk about “labor standards,” I’d like to offer them a tour of the
vast garbage dump here in Phnom Penh.
This is a Dante-like vision of hell. It’s a mountain of festering
refuse, a half-hour hike across, emitting clouds of smoke from
subterranean fires.
The miasma of toxic stink leaves you gasping, breezes batter you with
filth, and even the rats look forlorn. Then the smoke parts and you come
across a child ambling barefoot, searching for old plastic cups that
recyclers will buy for five cents a pound. Many families actually live in
shacks on this smoking garbage.
Mr. Obama and the Democrats who favor labor standards in trade agreements
mean well, for they intend to fight back at oppressive sweatshops abroad.
But while it shocks Americans to hear it, the central challenge in the
poorest countries is not that sweatshops exploit too many people, but that
they don’t exploit enough.
Talk to these families in the dump, and a job in a sweatshop is a
cherished dream, an escalator out of poverty, the kind of gauzy if
probably unrealistic ambition that parents everywhere often have for their
children. (Nicholas D. Kristof, New York Times)
USDA
unable to weed out unapproved modified foods - WASHINGTON - The U.S.
food supply is at risk of being invaded by unapproved imports of
genetically modified crops and livestock, a USDA internal audit report
released Wednesday said.
The report, released by the U.S. Agriculture Department's Office of
Inspector General, said the USDA does not have an import control policy to
regulate imported GMO animals.
Its policy for GMO crops, though adequate now, could become outdated as
other nations boost production of their own GMO crops, the report added.
(Reuters)
Free-range chickens
are more prone to disease - Chickens kept in litter-based housing
systems, including free-range chickens, are more prone to disease than
chickens kept in cages, according to a study published in BioMed Central's
open access journal Acta Veterinaria Scandinavica. (BioMed Central)

January 15, 2009
All
In - It is a bit early in the year to staking out a position in the
race for boneheaded move of the year in the climate wars, but NASA GISS
has done just that but doubling down on its prediction that 2009 or 2010
will be the warmest on record. One might think that the surprising 2008
global temperatures (i.e., surprising to folks making short-term
predictions at least) would motivate some greater appreciation for
uncertainty. Not so. Here is what NASA
GISS says:
. . . in response to popular demand, we comment on the likelihood of a
near-term global temperature record. Specifically, the question has been
asked whether the relatively cool 2008 alters the expectation we expressed
in last year’s summary that a new global record was likely within the
next 2-3 years (now the next 1-2 years). . . Given our expectation of the
next El Niño beginning in 2009 or 2010, it still seems likely that a new
global temperature record will be set within the next 1-2 years, despite
the moderate negative effect of the reduced solar irradiance. (Roger
Pielke, Jr., Prometheus)
New
fraud detection website (Niche Modeling)
Final
digit and the possibility of a cheating GISS - David Stockwell has
analyzed the frequency of the final digits in the temperature data by
NASA's GISS led by James Hansen, and he claims that the unequal
distribution of the individual digits strongly suggests that the data have
been modified by a human hand.
With Mathematica 7, such hypotheses take a few minutes to be tested. And
remarkably enough, I must confirm Stockwell's bold assertion although -
obviously - this kind of statistical evidence is never quite perfect and
the surprising results may always be due to "bad luck" or other
explanations mentioned at the end of this article.
Update: Steve McIntyre disagrees with David and myself and thinks that
there's nothing remarkable in the statistics. I confirm that if the
absolute values are included, if their central value is carefully
normalized, and the anomalies are distributed over just a couple of
multiples of 0.1 °C, there's roughly a 3% variation in the frequency of
different digits which is enough to explain the non-uniformities below.
However, one simply obtains a monotonically decreasing concentration of
different digits and I feel that they have a different fingerprint than
the NASA data below. But this might be too fine an analysis for such a
relatively small statistical ensemble.
This page shows the global temperature anomalies as collected by GISS. It
indicates that the year 2008 (J-D) was the coldest year in the 21st
century so far, even according to James Hansen et al., a fact you won't
hear from them. But we will look at some numerology instead. (The
Reference Frame)
Is
the GISS temperature index fraudulent? (Bishop Hill)
Distribution
analysis suggests GISS final temperature data is hand edited - or not
(Watts Up With That?)
Should RSS correct
their lower troposphere satellite data? - Dr Fred Singer’s, SEPP
Science Editorial (copied below) #1-09 (1/3/09) in “The Week That Was”
(TWTW), address’s the issue of the difference between University of
Alabama in Huntsville (UAH) [Christy and Norris, 2006] and Remote Sensing
Systems (RSS) (Mears and Wentz 2005) MSU lower troposphere (LT)
temperature data[1979-2007].
Dr Singer refers to the Heartland Institute publication which he edited,
“Nature Not Human Activity Rules the Climate”, where Fig’s 9a and 9b
seen below, indicate the effect of the hypothetical correction that is
required in the RSS data. (Warwick Hughes)
Critique of
Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) article in “The Age” newspaper,
Melbourne 6th October 2008, titled “Our hot, dry future” - My main
criticism of the article is that the BoM relies on Melbourne CBD rain data
to back up their regional conclusions regarding “climate change” and
drought, while the rainfall history is in fact affected by the growing
urban heat island. Melbourne Regional Office 86071 (MRO), a weather
station in Melbourne’s CBD is (a) excluded from their own High Quality
(HQ) dataset and (b) shows a negative trend of 90mm (a stunning 13% of
mean annual rain) over the last 153 years when compared to the nearest HQ
station, Yan Yean 35 km NNW. So much of what they say in “Our hot, dry
future”, is slanted by this amount, no wonder I am critical of much that
the BoM publishes. (Warwick Hughes)
Climate Debate Skeptics
Once Again Sway Undecided Vote in Leading Debate Forum
NEW YORK, NY -- 01/14/09 -- Intelligence Squared U.S., the Oxford style
debate series sponsored by The Rosenkranz Foundation, announced the
results of its first debate of the Spring 2009 season, "Major
reductions in carbon emissions are not worth the money." In a
dramatic shift, 25% of the undecided vote sided with the motion by the end
of the debate. In the final tally at the conclusion of the debate, a sold
out audience at Symphony Space, New York City, voted 42% for the motion
and 48% against. Ten percent remained undecided.
Prior to the debate, the audience at Symphony Space, New York City, voted
16% for the motion and 49% against. 35% were undecided.
The results echoed a similar outcome on the proposition, "Global
warming is not a crisis," an Intelligence Squared U.S. debate held on
March 14, 2007. The Global Warming debate produced an initial vote tally
of 29% for the motion and 57% against. At the conclusion of the debate,
the vote margins had reversed with 46% for the motion and 42% against.
The "Major reductions in carbon emissions are not worth the
money" debate will air on BBC World News March 7 and 8, 2009. The
debate can be heard on NPR beginning January 21, 2009.
Speaking for the motion were Peter Huber, author of "The Bottomless
Well," Bjorn Lomborg, author of "Cool It" and "The
Skeptical Environmentalist," and scientist and Emeritus Professor
from the University of London, Philip Stott.
L. Hunter Lovins, president of Natural Capitalism Solutions, Oliver
Tickell, author of "Kyoto2," and Adam Werbach, global chief
executive officer at Saatchi & Saatchi S, spoke against the motion.
John Donvan, correspondent for ABC News' "Nightline," moderated.
(Marketwire)
No CFLs in Sweden? Sweden
to ban mercury - Mercury is to be banned in Sweden starting June 1st,
environment minister Andreas Carlgren has announced.
The ban prohibits products containing the heavy metal from being brought
to market in Sweden.
“Mercury is now dead and buried,” Carlgren said.
The actual decision is set to be taken by the government when it meets on
Thursday.
In addition to a ban on products containing mercury, the prohibition also
means the substance can no longer be used in manufacturing or dentistry.
(The Local)
Letter of the moment: Global
government - I was in the room in The Hague in November 2000 when
then-French President Jacques Chirac hailed the Kyoto Protocol, or
"global warming" treaty, as "the first component of an
authentic global governance." Then-European Union Environment
Commissioner Margot Wallstrom seconded the sentiment when she told
London's Independent that Kyoto was "not about whether scientists
agree" but instead "about leveling the playing field for big
businesses worldwide."
In truth, and as Europe is proving, its rhetorical bluster
notwithstanding, no free society would do to itself what the Kyoto agenda
requires. Hence the increased claims that this issue "is too
important to be left to democracy." Once a group of our betters is
empowered to determine our energy - and therefore economic, sovereignty
and national security - concerns, this crowd get its way.
Kyoto, of course, was negotiated while Carol M. Browner led the
Environmental Protection Agency - and with her participation despite
unanimous Senate instruction against doing so. Her position with Socialist
International reminds us precisely why a radical like Mrs. Browner has had
a position created for her, so as to avoid disclosure and Senate scrutiny,
to lord over actual, Senate-confirmed Cabinet officials. Taxpayer
representatives should not approve funds for such a position unless and
until they receive an honest accounting of the agenda and its champions'
activities.
CHRIS HORNER
Senior fellow
Competitive Enterprise Institute
Washington (Washington Times)
Political
Climate - Incoming Secretary of State Hillary Clinton tells the Senate
that global warming "threatens our very existence" and she'll
shape a foreign policy to fight it. Pardon us, but remember Iran and the
nukes?
Clinton pledged during her confirmation hearing Tuesday that reaching
another deal like the 1997 Kyoto Accord would be one of her highest
priorities.
"America must be a leader in developing and implementing a global and
coordinated response to climate change," she told the Senate Foreign
Relations panel, even as conflict continues in Gaza, war rages in
Afghanistan and the nuclear clock ticks in Tehran.
She praised the incoming chairman, Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., as
"among the very first in a growing chorus from both parties to
recognize that climate change is an unambiguous security threat."
"At the extreme it (climate change) threatens our very existence. But
well before that point, it could well incite new wars of an old kind over
basic resources — like food, water and arable land," she said.
But the real likely result of a warmer planet would be increased plant
life from more CO2 — the basis of all life on earth — and longer
growing seasons.
Ironically, it is environmentalists, with their passion for biofuels, who
insist on using food in our gas tanks, raising food prices, consuming
arable land, polluting our water through farm runoff and promoting world
hunger.
Even so, Kerry told her, "The resounding message from the recent
climate change conference in Poland was that the global community is
looking overwhelmingly to our leadership."
Clinton's sense of urgency on climate change wasn't so apparent during the
1990s, when she was arguably President Clinton's top adviser. Even with Al
Gore warning that Earth hung in the balance, Clinton never submitted the
original Kyoto pact for ratification by the Senate. (IBD)
Obama
to give extra push to climate talks: U.N. official - TOKYO - Barack
Obama will give fresh momentum to talks for a new global pact to fight
global warming, although countries still need to clear up issues such as
funding for developing nations, a top U.N. official said on Wednesday.
(Reuters)
And we believe he should give them a huge push... right off a cliff.
Obama's
green inaugural footprint - ... Not everyone's buying it, though.
"We've had the Christmas season, and it appears we're entering the
silly season with efforts by many to look as if they're saving the
environment when they're really not doing anything but engaging in
feel-good politics," said Brian Darling of the conservative Heritage
Foundation. "In reality, this whole inaugural is going to have a
massive carbon footprint."
Darling expects to see far more gas-guzzling SUVs than bikes as people
head to inaugural balls. (WGNO)
Diplomat:
Continuity, not change, will shape Obama's foreign policy - Brussels -
Europe should expect continuity, rather than change, from president-elect
Barack Obama on key foreign-policy issues such as Iran, the Middle East
and missile defence, the United States' outgoing ambassador to the
European Union said Tuesday. And on climate change, one of the most
crucial issues on this year's global agenda, Obama will likely echo his
predecessor's insistence that any deal should also include India, Brazil
and China, Ambassador Kristen Silverberg said. (DPA)
Japanese
Report Disputes Human Cause for Global Warming - Researchers debate
each other in new study; most disagree greenhouse gases are the cause.
(Michael Asher, Daily Tech)
Expert:
Seas to rise at varying rates under global warming - Sea levels will
rise at varying rates around the world because of a quirk of the earth's
gravity linked to global warming, according to a latest study by David
Vaughan of the British Antarctic Survey as quoted by media reports
Wednesday.
"Everyone thinks sea level rises the same around the world,"
David Vaughan, a leading glaciologist, said at the Rothera Base on the
Antarctic Peninsula. "But it doesn't".
Rises could vary by tens of centimetres from region to region if seas gain
by an average of one metre by 2100 as temperatures rise, he said. (Xinhua)
The
Ice Age Cometh: Experts Warn of Global Cooling - 'Lou Dobbs Tonight'
segment dismisses manmade global warming theory -- 'effects of greenhouse
gas have a small impact on climate change.' (Jeff Poor, Business &
Media Institute)
What a crime! Carbon
capture put to the test in NSW - NSW is about to find out whether it
will be able to capture greenhouse gas emissions from its coal-fired power
stations and store them underground.
Drilling began on Monday to see if the rock 800 metres under the Central
Coast can handle having thousands of tonnes of liquefied carbon dioxide
pumped into it each week.
It is yet to be proved that carbon capture and storage, in which carbon
dioxide fumes from power stations are compressed and cooled on-site before
being buried, will work on a large scale in Australia. Most environmental
groups and some in the coal industry think it will not become effective in
time to help slow climate change. (Sydney Morning Herald)
A huge waste of energy to deny the biosphere the stuff of life. How
stupid does it get?
Oh boy... The
Human Factor: Understanding the Sources of Rising Carbon Dioxide --
Every time we get into our car, turn the key and drive somewhere, we burn
gasoline, a fossil fuel derived from crude oil. The burning of the organic
materials in fossil fuels produces energy and releases carbon dioxide and
other compounds into Earth's atmosphere. Greenhouse gases such as carbon
dioxide trap heat in our atmosphere, warming it and disturbing Earth's
climate. (PhysOrg.com)
Green panic? Plant
life not a villain in methane emissions debate -- A comprehensive
investigation of plant emissions led by University of South Australia
molecular biologist Dr Ellen Nisbet has put pay to the assertion that
plants are producing and releasing large quantities of methane into the
environment. (PhysOrg.com)
What a bizarre write up. Does it matter whether it is the tropical
forests or the wetlands beneath them that create the methane
subsequently released to the atmosphere? Or whether plants are the
source or merely the agent transferring methane to atmosphere?
“At a time when people are so concerned about the environment
and the problem of global warming, any assertion that plants could be
responsible for an increase in methane was really alarming,” Dr Nesbit
said. Why? Overgrown weeds need to be protected from bad press to
avoid harm to their self esteem? Weird.
Nations that sow
food crops for biofuels may reap less than previously thought - Global
yields of most biofuels crops, including corn, rapeseed and wheat, have
been overestimated by 100 to 150 percent or more, suggesting many
countries need to reset their expectations of agricultural biofuels to a
more realistic level.
That's according to a study led by Matt Johnston and Tracey Holloway of
the University of Wisconsin-Madison Nelson Institute for Environmental
Studies and Jon Foley of University of Minnesota, which drew on actual
agricultural data from nearly 240 countries to calculate the potential
yields of 20 different biofuels worldwide.
The analysis, publishing today (Jan. 13) in the open-access journal
Environmental Research Letters, indicates the biofuels production
potential in both developing and developed countries has often been
exaggerated. Why? Because current yield estimates, most of which are based
on data from the United States and Europe, don╒t account for local
differences in climate, soils, technology and other factors that influence
agricultural outputs. (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Wrong question, as always: Is
combating climate change worth the cost? - It's a topic that is likely
to come up more and more after President-elect Barack Obama moves into the
White House next week. Obama has said that preventing and reversing global
warming will be a top priority in his administration—a change from the
previous administration's stance that voluntary efforts would be
enough—likely through a mandatory cap-and-trade scheme.
Under that type of program, the government sets a cap or overall level for
pollution and polluters can trade licenses to pollute to keep within their
levels. But opponents of such a scheme note that such a move would
ultimately drive up energy costs, because power plant owners will pass
along to consumers the costs of staying within the mandatory limits.
So is preventing climate change worth that price, estimated by some to be
as much as 1 percent of global gross domestic product (GDP)? (David Biello,
SciAm)
While framing the question wrongly there is no hope of ever getting
the right answer. The actual question is: is it worth throwing any money
at all at the totally unachievable?
Now, before anyone starts on pie-in-the-sky claims about climate
sensitivity and our ability to influence climate this is all entirely
irrelevant. Why? Because we will never get any agreement over what
constitutes the "correct" climate even if we could change it.
There is no universally optimal climate, one which meets everyone's
preferences and requirements. Who gets to determine how much
precipitation falls where and when? Does the flood encouraging native
fish to breed trump the people's crops that will be damaged? How about
setting conditions encouraging one nation's crops but which hamper
another's? Who gets to pull the levers and twiddle the knobs on the
great climate control machine, even if we could build it?
Meteorologists:
Global Warming and Cold Weather Go Hand-In-Hand - The World
Meteorological Organization says cold weather does not mean that global
warming has abated. WMO says people should not confuse weather with
climate.
People in Europe are shivering, while people in North Asia and parts of
Australia are sweltering. Scientists say these weather extremes are to be
expected and neither phenomenon can be used as a case for or against
global warming.
Secretary-General of the World Meteorological Organization, Michel Jarraud,
says people should not confuse local weather variability with climate
change. (VOA)
Does this mean they'll stop interpreting every Summers day as a sign
of gorebull warming?
Can
El Nino Events Explain All of the Global Warming Since 1976? – Part 2
- Guest post by Bob Tisdale
INTRODUCTION
The first part of this post, Can
El Nino Events Explain All of the Global Warming Since 1976? – Part 1,
should be read prior to this the second part. Part 1 gives an overview of
the datasets used in the following, illustrates the processes that take
place during an El Nino event, and discusses the primary reasons for the
step changes in global SST anomalies that result from significant El Nino
events–those El Nino events that are not influenced by volcanic
eruptions.
In the following, the periods from January 1981 to December 1995 and from
January 1976 to December 1981 are examined. (Watts Up With That?)
How
did the El Chichón and Pinatubo volcanic eruptions affect global
temperature records? - The UAH Satellite Temperature Record With
Volcanic Noise Outliers Filtered Out
A guest post by Steven Goddard
I’ve often wondered what the UAH global temperature record would look
like if the cooling effects of the eruptions of El Chichón in April, 1982
and Mount Pinatubo in June, 1991 were removed. Large volcanic eruptions
shoot fine ash up to very high altitudes, which makes the upper atmosphere
less transparent, allowing less sunlight (SW radiation) to reach the lower
atmosphere. This has a noticeable cooling effect on the lower atmosphere
and the earth’s surface which can last for years, as can be seen in the
figures below. Note how the lower troposphere temperatures were depressed
during periods when the atmospheric transmission was also depressed.
(Watts Up With That?)
Obama's
energy pick endorses nukes, clean coal - WASHINGTON--Energy Secretary
nominee Steven Chu was greeted with warm approval from a congressional
committee during his confirmation hearing Tuesday, at which he
acknowledged the need to pursue nuclear and clean-coal energy but promoted
energy efficiency as the best means of addressing the nation's energy
challenges in the face of a dour economy.
"I feel very strongly what the American family does not want is to
pay an increasing fraction of their budget on energy costs," Chu said
before the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee. "That we do
the best we can on energy efficiency--that, in my mind, remains the lowest
hanging fruit."
Working toward producing more efficient cars and tightly sealed homes will
bring down energy consumption and costs, he said. (CNET News)
"Energy efficient cars and tightly sealed homes" means
respectively less-safe vehicles and poorly ventilated (read:
sickness-inducing) housing. It's already time to kick this twit and find
someone who cares more about people.
Parenthetically, here's the inevitable result of the EU's ecotheology:
Woman,
91, dies 'after becoming stressed over £16,000 council bill to make her
home eco-friendly' - A family have expressed their fury after the
death of their disabled 91-year-old mother who 'was forced to take out a
second mortgage to foot an unnecessary £16,000 council bill' .
The family of bed-ridden grandmother Dorothy Hacking blame Thanet Council
for 'disgusting treatment' after the pensioner became overstretched trying
to pay for work to meet government regulations to reduce CO2 emissions.
They say she was beset by stress and health problems after being left with
no option but to take out a second mortgage for the stone-cladding repairs
to make her home compliant with the Home Energy Conservation Act in
Ramsgate, Kent.
The law requires councils to reduce their CO2 emissions by almost a third
within the next decade. (Daily Mail)
Why Energy R&D
Spending by Government Cannot Succeed - Dr. Stephen Chu,
President-elect Barack Obama's selection to head the Department of Energy,
is a vocal proponent of wasting taxpayer money on research &
development for alternative energy. Dr. Chu prefers to think of state
r&d as an "investment," but "waste" is the
appropriate terminology. (William Yeatman, Cooler Heads Digest)
Canada
to talk about oil sands with Obama - TORONTO -- Canada's prime
minister said Tuesday that energy and the environmental impact of
Alberta's massive oil sands operations will be priorities when Barack
Obama visits Canada on his first foreign trip as U.S. president.
The timing of the trip has not been announced but Prime Minister Stephen
Harper told a Calgary radio station he's been in touch with members of
Obama's incoming government as the president-elect prepares to officially
take office Tuesday.
"We want to work together with the United States on environmental and
energy issues," Harper said.
"To be frank on the oil sands, we've got to do a better job
environmentally," Harper said. "At the same time, the
development of these things is pretty important, in our judgment, to North
American energy security." (Associated Press)
Hmm... Geothermal
Future - To most people the word “geothermal” means hot springs
and geysers — like parts of Iceland or Yellowstone National Park where
water is heated by the presence of magma near the surface of the earth.
But the earth’s heat lies below everywhere, and it offers a virtually
untapped energy reserve of enormous potential with a very short list of
drawbacks.
In 2006, a panel led by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology surveyed
the prospects for electricity production from enhanced geothermal systems.
Its conclusions were conservative but very optimistic. The panel suggested
that with modest federal support, geothermal power could play a critical
role in America’s energy future, adding substantially to the nation’s
store of renewable energy and more than making up for coal-burning power
plants that would have to be retired.
Following up on the M.I.T. study and a separate survey of its own, the
Bureau of Land Management issued a decision last month that would open up
as many as 190 million acres to leases for geothermal exploration and
development. These lands are mostly in the West, where hot rock lies
closer to the surface than it generally does in the East. (New York Times)
While I tend to agree that geothermal power has promise I am
concerned abut the bizarre mindset of these guys. Grievous environmental
harm from coal burning? Give it a rest, the biosphere loves previously
sequestered carbon being returned to the atmosphere, something from
which the living environment profits enormously. If the living
environment were sentient it would want humans to burn all the coal we
can get our hands on.
'Clean
coal': Law could open door to new generation of coal-burning power plants
- As President-elect Barack Obama vows to curb pollution linked to global
climate change, Illinois is moving closer to building a new power plant
that could be a showcase for burning dirty-but-plentiful coal more
cleanly.
Under legislation Gov. Rod Blagojevich signed into law Monday, the state
will provide $18 million for studies that would lay the groundwork for the
plant, proposed for a site near Downstate Taylorville.
The plant, to be built by Tenaska Inc. and MDL Holding Co. about 25 miles
southeast of Springfield, would be the nation's first large-scale test of
technology that captures heat-trapping carbon dioxide. Half of its
emissions would either be injected deep underground or piped to oil fields
in the Gulf of Mexico. (Chicago Tribune)
Hilarious Tale of
Eco-Idiocy - To this list of eco-ironies, we can add New York
Representative Eric Massa’s failed fuel cell road trip. According to
Jason Chen at Gizmodo, Massa “tried to drive a fuel cell car from NY to
DC to make an environmental point and to show how great fuel cell cars
are.” (William Yeatman, Cooler Heads Digest)
Peter
Foster: Detroit’s hybrid nightmare - Today’s alternative vehicles
are all profit graveyards or subsidy pits
The emphasis at the Detroit auto show previews this week has been on
“alternative” vehicles such as the third-generation Toyota Prius, the
almost-there Chevy Volt and other new gasoline-electric hybrids. In fact,
with gasoline prices having plummeted and U.S. (and Canadian) consumers
both cash-strapped and job-threatened, there could hardly be a worse time
to be offering vehicles that are both more expensive than, and technically
inferior to, gasoline-powered cars. But then we live in a wacky world in
which big auto bailouts are linked both to the climate change policy
juggernaut and continued reflexive calls for U.S. energy independence.
(Peter Foster, Financial Post)

The
Gas Hostages - The drama being played out by Russia and Ukraine has
been full of sudden reversals. Germans commentators argue that Europe must
take its energy security more seriously in order to avoid an encore
performance of this hostage drama. (Der Spiegel)
Europe
baffled by broken promises - The bitter gas dispute between Russia and
Ukraine descended into near-chaos yesterday, leaving European Union
diplomats baffled as promises to restart supplies fully were broken and
Moscow suggested that the US had meddled in the affair.
In a potentially alarming twist last night, Gazprom, the Russian gas
company, said it was unable to meet its legal commitments to supply
European countries with gas because Ukraine was allegedly blocking the
flow across its territory.
Russia and Ukraine both defied terms of a contract agreed last weekend
with the EU to allow an EU-backed monitoring mission to observe gas
transit, leaving people in 18 countries across the continent with supply
disruptions. (Financial Times)
Eastern
Europe Threatens to Reopen Nuclear Plants - Bulgaria, one of the
countries hardest hit by the Russia-Ukraine gas dispute, is threatening to
restart two nuclear reactors that were shut down over safety concerns two
year ago. Slovakia has threatened to do the same at its Bohunice power
plant if gas flows don’t resume soon.
The push by Bulgaria and Slovakia highlights the EU’s need to diversify
its gas supply routes. “Preparations … must begin immediately,” said
Bulgarian President Georgi Purvanov shortly after Russia cut supplies to
Europe. He was referring to reactors three and four of the Kozloduy power
plant. The closure of the reactors was a prerequisite to Bulgaria’s
entry into the EU.
Puranov recently said that under the treaty that allowed Bulgaria to join
the EU, his country has “the right to resume the operation of the two
reactors in a critical situation, and a more critical situation is hardly
possible,” he was quoted as saying by the semi-official Bulgarian News
Agency. “If the situation does not normalize,” he added referring to
Russian gas cuts, “I expect our European partners to show understanding
and not to object to such a move," Purvanov said. (Andres Cala,
Energy Tribune)
Russian
Security Plan Prompts Fears Over Future Energy Wars - The EU's
diplomatic efforts in the Russia-Ukraine crisis may have focused on
restoring the flow of gas but could it also have been trying to avoid a
more ominous escalation as predicted by a Russian security document?
(Deutsche Welle)
E.On Gets
Approval For Onshore Windfarm In Scotland - LONDON - E.ON,
headquartered in Germany, has won approval after four years to build its
biggest onshore wind farm in Camster in northern Scotland, which could
power up to 35,000 homes, the company said on Wednesday. (Reuters)
What
the news should have reported: No link between fat and risks for ovarian
cancer - Science by press release is increasingly becoming the news of
the day. A press release is sent out six weeks before a study is actually
published in a medical journal, guaranteeing reporters will jump on a
juicy story, but medical professionals won’t have had an opportunity to
read it or comment with critical analyses.
When we see this marketing tactic employed, it’s our heads up — our
baloney alert, if you will — that the science wasn’t credible in the
first place. Someone is trying to sell us something and compromise the
integrity of medical research and the peer review process.
An unpardonable example of brazen misrepresentation of a medical
“study” came out this past week when the media, in lockstep, reported
from a press release. This press release had been issued six weeks before
the study is to be published on February 15th in Cancer, the journal of
the American Cancer Society. It headlined: “Study links obesity to
elevated risk of ovarian cancer.” (Junkfood Science)
Getting
the Bed Bugs Out - Complaints about bed bugs in New York City are
rising steadily. As any health official can attest, the only good thing
about these nighttime pests is that they don’t seem to cause disease.
That doesn’t count panic attacks and the outsize frustration for
residents who try to get help from a maze of local and state
bureaucracies.
There are a lot of agencies that do a little about bed bugs, but nobody
that can help with the whole shebang. The city health department has some
information. The housing people can come take a look. The state controls
the pesticides, although not well enough to advise homeowners what works
and who exterminates carefully.
Gale Brewer, a member of City Council, has been trying for years to get
help for any family under attack. After sleepless nights and days spent
covered in calamine lotion, these exhausted people need a one-stop link or
telephone line to guide them, she rightly argues. (New York Times)
Agency
can't link Great Lakes pollution, illness - TRAVERSE CITY, Mich. —
Wrapping up an eight-year investigation of possible links between
industrial pollution and health risks in the Great Lakes region, federal
researchers said information was too sketchy and called for more study.
(Associated Press)
Recycling
a 'waste of time' unless more treatment centres are built - PEOPLE
recycling their waste could be doing so in vain because it could still end
up in landfill sites, a new report warns today.
The National Audit Office accused the Government of failing to build
enough large-scale recycling centres or incinerators to meet a 2013 EU
target to cut the amount put in landfill sites. (Evening Standard)
The
International Criminal Court's Dream of Global Justice - The
International Criminal Court in The Hague is supposed to bring war
criminals to justice, but it has yet to deliver a single verdict. Can
international law bring peace to war-torn regions -- or does it actually
hinder the peace process? (Der Spiegel)
Ha! Obama's
EPA Pick Must Restore Integrity: Senators - WASHINGTON - Lisa Jackson,
President-elect Barack Obama's choice to head the Environmental Protection
Agency, needs to restore integrity to a department that fallen into
disrepute, Democratic senators said on Wednesday. (Retuers)
Only way to make the EPA any real value is eliminate it completely
with legal barriers to ensure such misanthropic nonsense never again
contaminates human affairs.
The End of Natural History,
Tears for Its Passing - Someday natural history will start again and
the people then will see the T-Rex and the so smooth mammoth tusk and the
wonderful minerals again. They will shake their heads and ask, “What was
wrong with those people back then?” “They forgot to look up at the
stars in wonder and they forgot to teach their children the joy that is
this planet. They stole the gift of imagination from them with boring
words on plaques and a big wire antenna to stop them from thinking inside
this great glass and steel post office.”
How sad. It is enough to make you cry. (shootyoureyeout.net)
Extinct Tasmanian
"Tiger" DNA Has Clues To Demise - WASHINGTON - DNA taken
from the hair of two extinct Tasmanian "tigers" suggests the
Australian marsupials last seen 70 years ago may have become too inbred to
survive as a species, researchers reported on Monday.
The researchers used the method they used to study the DNA from extinct
woolly mammoths' hair to get a good comparison of the gene sequences from
Tasmanian tigers, formally known as thylacines, and said they hope to
study other extinct animals -- and